Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares)

Doncaster

3:15

Date 2024-09-15

Distance 7f6y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £48,204

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (9)	Elim b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	—	1-4634	94	111	98	24d	—	—	+2	24.9	3/1 25%
Did well to finish fourth in competitive York handicap latest and could have more to offer
8 (5)	Fair Angellica b J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	126	—	1-2101	106	119	95	70d	—	—	+8	26.2	9/2 18%
7f Listed win at Deauville last time; major player if confirming that promise
3 (7)	Doom b J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	130	—	1-3329	102	114	92	15d	—	—	+12	23.1	7/1 13%
Below par at Sandown recently but considered in view of previous Ascot Group-race form
7 (8)	Great Generation b J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	129	—	2-4140	107	116	103	42d	—	—	+10	20.6	8/1 11%
Flopped in French Group 1 last time but previous Group 3 performances were admirable
10 (2)	Queen Of Mougins b J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	-68332	93	110	95	24d	—	—	+12	22	8/1 11%
Short-headed in 7f h'cap at York latest; further improvement needed here but it's possible
2 (11)	Choisya ch J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	1-2418	103	116	94	15d	—	—	+14	22.6	9/1 10%
Disappointing in recent Sandown Group 3 but Listed winner at Haydock two starts ago
12 (6)	Ziggy's Dream b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	126	—	-14103	105	113	74	46d	—	—	+21	25	18/1 5%
Close third in Group 3 at Goodwood last time and she's in with a chance
11 (3)	Topanga b J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	126	p	506131	102	111	82	15d	—	—	+27	31.3	20/1 5%
Recent Listed winner in Germany; tougher test of credentials today but she was impressive
9 (1)	Key To Cotai ch J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	126	p	-21240	95	109	101	24d	—	—	+15	18.6	25/1 4%
3yo who has been progressive, but has something to find today and flopped last time
5 (4)	Nine Tenths b J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	130	t	-22160	98	116	77	24d	—	—	+17	20.5	25/1 4%
7f AW Listed winner in March; needs to leave last month's turf return well behind
1 (12)	Cell Sa Beela br J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	130	—	831-90	93	112	65	88d	—	—	+9	11.3	50/1 2%
Listed winner at Ascot last October but down the field on both outings this season
NR (10)	Vetiver ch J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	130	ht	-06144	105	112	-	1d	—	—	—	18.8	—
Close 4th in Group 3 at Goodwood last time and every chance she'll be in the mix once more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Elim	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	3/1
Fair Angellica	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	9/2
Doom	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Great Generation	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	13/2
Queen Of Mougins	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2
Choisya	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Ziggy's Dream	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Topanga	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Key To Cotai	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Nine Tenths	20/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Cell Sa Beela	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Topanga

31.3

OR: 13 Form: 17.1 Odds: 1.2

20/1

2nd

Fair Angellica

26.2

OR: 14 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Ziggy's Dream

OR: 13.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Elim

24.9

OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 6.9

3/1

Doom

23.1

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Choisya

22.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Queen Of Mougins

OR: 10.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Great Generation

20.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Nine Tenths

20.5

OR: 12 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Vetiver

18.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Key To Cotai

18.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Cell Sa Beela

11.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Great Generation Top Rated	107	116	103
Fair Angellica	106	119	95
Ziggy's Dream	105	113	74
Vetiver	105	112	—
Choisya	103	116	94
Doom	102	114	92
Topanga	102	111	82
Nine Tenths	98	116	77
Key To Cotai	95	109	101
Elim	94	111	98
Queen Of Mougins	93	110	95
Cell Sa Beela	93	112	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vetiver	1d ago	Quick return
Doom	15d ago	Fit
Choisya	15d ago	Fit
Topanga	15d ago	Fit
Elim	24d ago	Fit
Queen Of Mougins	24d ago	Fit
Key To Cotai	24d ago	Fit
Nine Tenths	24d ago	Fit
Great Generation	42d ago	Fit
Ziggy's Dream	46d ago	Fresh
Fair Angellica	70d ago	Fresh
Cell Sa Beela	88d ago	Fresh