I Love Julie Parkes Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

4:50

I Love Julie Parkes Handicap

Date 2024-09-15

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £11,597

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (15)	Young Fire b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	138	v	231421	74	85	69	7d	—	—	+12	27.8	9/2 18%
Just 2lb higher than for York 1m2f win last Sunday and has to be on the shortlist
7 (6)	Lennox b J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	136	—	73-22	78	76	50	125d	—	—	-3	11	5/1 17%
Fair form all starts, 2nd when favourite twice this spring; needs extra on handicap debut
11 (4)	Liberty Coach b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	132	p	333441	74	83	70	29d	—	—	+8	21.5	5/1 17%
Back up 2lb but respected after a game first win from the front over C&D (good to firm)
16 (2)	Miners Gamble b J:Connor Beasley T:Brian Ellison	J:Connor Beasley T:Brian Ellison	121	p	525741	63	84	70	18d	—	—	+6	17.6	13/2 13%
Back up 4lb but still of serious interest following breakthrough win at Musselburgh (1m1f)
1 (7)	Ala Kaifi ch J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	143	t	84-147	79	78	55	29d	—	—	+2	9.4	12/1 8%
Won this race (soft) last year off 7lb lower; needs overall improvement this time round
2 (12)	Bowood b J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	142	—	847111	78	85	68	26d	—	—	+23	31.2	10/1 9%
3-3 for Ivan Furtado, all under Elle-May Croot over about 1m; scored easily last time
10 (16)	Placeholder ch J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	134	—	14-134	76	82	70	11d	—	—	+2	8.2	16/1 6%
Needs improvement on this step up from 1m but the sire gives some hope that it will suit
3 (8)	Arkendale br J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	140	—	-63504	76	82	62	41d	—	—	+3	9.1	14/1 7%
Patchy record; fair fourth of six last time and all previous turf runs had been on softer
15 (11)	Zenzic b J:Adam Farragher T:T J Kent	J:Adam Farragher T:T J Kent	126	—	40718	68	79	63	31d	—	—	+8	12.7	18/1 5%
Interesting on style of 1m Yarmouth win; perhaps brought out too quickly one week later
13 (9)	Powerful Response b J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Geoffrey Harker	129	—	149677	65	80	62	17d	—	—	+1	5	22/1 4%
Won at Nottingham in April off 3lb higher but his more recent form is not so encouraging
14 (10)	Burglar's Dream ch J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	126	tb	552547	62	83	65	3d	—	—	+1	5.7	20/1 5%
Pops up with the odd good run but remains a maiden after 14 starts
12 (14)	Can't Stop Now ch J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	131	h	-59561	67	82	55	36d	—	—	+11	15.5	20/1 5%
Did it comfortably under Mohammed Tabti at Ayr (1m2f) on latest start and he's a player
5 (3)	Harlem Nights b J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	139	—	213-85	75	82	59	12d	—	—	+5	6.7	50/1 2%
Year off before below form both starts for new connections; goes beyond 1m for first time
NR (5)	French Mistress b J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	139	h	224	75	79	52	30d	—	—	—	12.3	—
Well-related Kingman 4yo; has ability but needs some improvement on handicap debut
NR (13)	Piecederesistance b J:Cieren Fallon T:Micky Hammond	J:Cieren Fallon T:Micky Hammond	136	—	6-2742	72	83	74	23d	—	—	—	5.5	—
No win since July 2022; runner-up on the first and latest of his four starts this season
NR (1)	Tiger Beetle b J:Saffie Osborne T:Mark Rimell	J:Saffie Osborne T:Mark Rimell	135	tb	460147	71	82	76	12d	—	—	—	10.3	—
Won when returned to turf at Haydock in July and has run respectably on both starts since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Young Fire	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Lennox	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Liberty Coach	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Miners Gamble	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Ala Kaifi	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Bowood	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	17/2
Placeholder	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Arkendale	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Zenzic	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Powerful Response	22/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	22/1
Burglar's Dream	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Can't Stop Now	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Harlem Nights	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bowood

31.2

OR: 7 Form: 22 Odds: 2.2

10/1

2nd

Young Fire

27.8

OR: 6 Form: 17.1 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Liberty Coach

21.5

OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Miners Gamble

17.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 11 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Can't Stop Now

15.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Zenzic

12.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

18/1

French Mistress

12.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 6 Odds: 0

—

Lennox

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Tiger Beetle

10.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Ala Kaifi

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Arkendale

9.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Placeholder

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Harlem Nights

6.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Burglar's Dream

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Piecederesistance

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Powerful Response

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ala Kaifi Top Rated	79	78	55
Lennox	78	76	50
Bowood	78	85	68
Placeholder	76	82	70
Arkendale	76	82	62
Harlem Nights	75	82	59
French Mistress	75	79	52
Young Fire	74	85	69
Liberty Coach	74	83	70
Piecederesistance	72	83	74
Tiger Beetle	71	82	76
Zenzic	68	79	63
Can't Stop Now	67	82	55
Powerful Response	65	80	62
Miners Gamble	63	84	70
Burglar's Dream	62	83	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Burglar's Dream	3d ago	Quick return
Young Fire	7d ago	Quick return
Placeholder	11d ago	Quick return
Harlem Nights	12d ago	Quick return
Tiger Beetle	12d ago	Quick return
Powerful Response	17d ago	Fit
Miners Gamble	18d ago	Fit
Piecederesistance	23d ago	Fit
Bowood	26d ago	Fit
Liberty Coach	29d ago	Fit
Ala Kaifi	29d ago	Fit
French Mistress	30d ago	Fit
Zenzic	31d ago	Fit
Can't Stop Now	36d ago	Fit
Arkendale	41d ago	Fit
Lennox	125d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Miners Gamble	Hold Up
Bowood	Hold Up
Zenzic	Hold Up
Tiger Beetle	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 16 runners classified.