Download The Raceday Ready App EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Have Not Run More Than 3 Times) (GBB)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-09-17

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 15.22s (slow by 4.82s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Khaldiya (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	2/1F	Won
2nd	Magic Basma (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Kevin Ryan	4/1	0.05
3rd	Monetize (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	16/1	1.25
4th	Primrose Path (GB) Tom Marquand · Simon & Ed Crisford	9/2	1
5th	Pageant (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	9/2	1.25
6th	Night In Paris (FR) Jamie Spencer · George Boughey	6/1	7

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Khaldiya Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	23	-	91	-	27d	—	—	-14	15.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Just beaten on debut but 3l behind Magic Basma last time; 7lb better off
6 (2)	Primrose Path Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Tom Marquand T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	92	-	86	-	19d	—	—	-5	9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Improved from her debut when beaten a neck at Newbury 19 days ago; in the mix
1 (1)	Magic Basma Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	135	—	1	-	88	-	27d	—	—	-3	15.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made a winning debut at Carlisle last month; remains open to further progress
4 (4)	Night In Paris Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:George Boughey	J:Jamie Spencer T:George Boughey	128	h	23	-	87	-	121d	—	—	-4	10.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not seen since turned over at odds-on at Ripon in May; hood on; watch market
5 (6)	Pageant Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Something to like on breeding but stable has few winning 2yo newcomers
3 (5)	Monetize Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	128	—	3	-	80	-	39d	—	—	+1	3.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Third on last month's Thirsk debut despite greenness; open to improvement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Khaldiya	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	7/4
Primrose Path	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Magic Basma	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Night In Paris	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Pageant	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Monetize	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Khaldiya

15.9

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Magic Basma

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Night In Paris

10.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Primrose Path

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4

5/1

Monetize

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Pageant

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khaldiya	—	91	—
Primrose Path	—	86	—
Magic Basma	—	88	—
Night In Paris	—	87	—
Pageant	—	—	—
Monetize	—	80	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Primrose Path	19d ago	Fit
Khaldiya	27d ago	Fit
Magic Basma	27d ago	Fit
Monetize	39d ago	Fit
Night In Paris	121d ago	Long break
Pageant	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.