William Hill Offers Proper Prices Handicap – Punchestown

Punchestown

14:55

William Hill Offers Proper Prices Handicap

Date 2024-09-17

Distance 1m30y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (1)	Avatar Jet Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Mark Fahey	J:Gary Carroll T:Mark Fahey	133	t	461044	69	79	73	11d	—	—	-8	14.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m2f might have stretched him at Down Royal last time; has a shout off the same mark
3 (6)	Mooretown Lad Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:M D O'Callaghan	J:James Ryan(3) T:M D O'Callaghan	140	—	59-516	72	81	59	23d	—	—	-3	8.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Got off the mark over 1m1f at Leopardstown and mightn't have stayed 1m2.5f at Naas since
10 (5)	Sportingsilvermine Brown J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	135	—	592045	71	77	65	23d	—	—	0	9.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Too keen over 1m2f at Naas last time and could be suited by this drop in trip; considered
6 (2)	Stormie Outlook Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:E J O'Grady	J:Seamie Heffernan T:E J O'Grady	138	t	0-1134	70	76	63	32d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Decent efforts in defeat at Galway and Cork latest; can be in the mix again
11 (15)	Proleek Prince Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:M M Rice	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:M M Rice	134	—	67-863	66	76	67	23d	—	—	-3	6.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Third over 1m2f at Naas last time; this shorter trip can suit better as he weakened then
9 (13)	Gandolfo Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	135	p	-64872	71	78	53	14d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Just denied in a Gowran handicap over this trip last time; up 3lb but still be a player
2 (9)	Passionate Chestnut J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	141	—	0-7219	73	81	44	106d	—	—	0	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won on soft but well beaten on good since; might need rain on return
13 (11)	Purple Sky Bay J:Gabriella Hill(10) T:J S Bolger	J:Gabriella Hill(10) T:J S Bolger	129	t	556045	65	79	59	7d	—	—	-5	7.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Fourth at Gowran but a lesser effort at Galway a week ago; a chance if bouncing back
4 (7)	Trethorn Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	139	p	670	75	68	51	24d	—	—	0	8.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Cheekpieces on for handicap debut down in trip; check the market
7 (14)	Pillar Of Hope Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:C Moore	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:C Moore	136	—	084854	68	80	65	49d	—	—	0	6.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not a clear run at Galway last time; down 2lb and a chance on debut for a new yard
5 (3)	Big Island Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:W J Lanigan	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:W J Lanigan	138	—	/332-0	70	80	70	15d	—	—	+3	5.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Beaten a long way on Roscommon return and best watched for now
8 (8)	Amanirenas Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	135	—	018105	67	79	62	14d	—	—	+9	12	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won a Bellewstown claimer over this trip in July but has been poor twice since
1 (10)	Lust Bay J:Sean Bird(7) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Sean Bird(7) T:Michael Mulvany	142	t	7-0500	74	78	55	19d	—	—	+5	6.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Is off an attractive mark in theory but still needs to do more than lately
14 (12)	Seurat Bay J:Chris Hayes T:W T Farrell	J:Chris Hayes T:W T Farrell	121	—	000	57	68	30	33d	—	—	+1	2.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Beaten a long way in three maidens and will have to improve plenty even dropping in grade
NR (4)	Naisiun Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	119	t	-10300	55	80	52	23d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Won a 7f Naas handicap on heavy earlier this year; hasn't been as good since; tongue-tie

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Avatar Jet	3/1	9/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Mooretown Lad	7/1	6/1	7/1	13/2	13/2
Sportingsilvermine	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	17/2
Stormie Outlook	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Proleek Prince	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Gandolfo	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Passionate	10/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	8/1
Purple Sky	11/1	9/1	11/1	10/1	17/2
Trethorn	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Pillar Of Hope	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Big Island	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Amanirenas	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Lust	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Seurat	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Avatar Jet

14.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 6.5

9/2

2nd

Gandolfo

12.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Amanirenas

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Sportingsilvermine

9.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Mooretown Lad

8.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Trethorn

8.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Passionate

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Stormie Outlook

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Purple Sky

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/1

Proleek Prince

6.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Lust

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Pillar Of Hope

6.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Big Island

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Naisiun

4.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Seurat

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Trethorn	75	68	51
Lust	74	78	55
Passionate	73	81	44
Mooretown Lad	72	81	59
Sportingsilvermine	71	77	65
Gandolfo	71	78	53
Stormie Outlook	70	76	63
Big Island	70	80	70
Avatar Jet	69	79	73
Pillar Of Hope	68	80	65
Amanirenas	67	79	62
Proleek Prince	66	76	67
Purple Sky	65	79	59
Seurat	57	68	30
Naisiun	55	80	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Purple Sky	7d ago	Quick return
Avatar Jet	11d ago	Quick return
Gandolfo	14d ago	Fit
Amanirenas	14d ago	Fit
Big Island	15d ago	Fit
Lust	19d ago	Fit
Mooretown Lad	23d ago	Fit
Sportingsilvermine	23d ago	Fit
Proleek Prince	23d ago	Fit
Naisiun	23d ago	Fit
Trethorn	24d ago	Fit
Stormie Outlook	32d ago	Fit
Seurat	33d ago	Fit
Pillar Of Hope	49d ago	Fresh
Passionate	106d ago	Long break