British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

16:40

British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-09-18

Distance 1m3f104y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,505

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Overture Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	137	—	-53111	81	82	63	19d	—	—	+17	36.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Doesn't look easy but won small-field handicaps on last three outings, making all last two
8 (10)	Orchard Keeper Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	133	—	722142	77	84	71	47d	—	—	+8	23.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Up another 2lb and probably needs further progress but she's in calculations
6 (9)	Pique' Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(5) T:James Fanshawe	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:James Fanshawe	133	h	551222	77	87	78	39d	—	—	+9	25.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won at Leicester in May and second on her three starts since, all over 1m4f
3 (8)	Alhattan Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:George Boughey	J:Jim Crowley T:George Boughey	138	ht	236226	82	83	73	34d	—	—	+5	18.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Hooded on latest outing; needs to find extra and she's now tongue tied as well
9 (2)	Carpathian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	130	—	625321	74	84	68	21d	—	—	+15	24.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Made the breakthrough at Kempton (upped to 1m4f, AW) three weeks ago, comfortably at 5-6
5 (4)	She's A Novelty Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	133	t	11-521	71	87	78	30d	—	—	-1	7.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ended last term with two wins; won again at Catterick (1m4f, good to firm) one month ago
1 (7)	Let Life Happen Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	139	—	221-57	77	79	56	34d	—	—	+1	9.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Maiden win (1m4f, AW) last September; heavy defeats in 1m4f handicaps both runs this term
2 (1)	Lincoln Rockstar Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	138	t	212110	76	83	75	11d	—	—	+17	23.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Five wins this season; plenty against her at Haydock 11 days ago and she's 5lb lower today
10 (6)	Perrine Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	129	—	643	73	79	31	14d	—	—	0	12.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Having started off less than two months ago, she could bring potential to handicap debut
7 (5)	Yamamah Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Paddy Bradley T:Ismail Mohammed	133	—	53547	77	80	56	24d	—	—	-11	15.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
0-5; Listed 3rd at Meydan (1m, good) in March but that is well clear of her other form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Overture	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Orchard Keeper	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Pique'	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Alhattan	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Carpathian	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
She's A Novelty	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Let Life Happen	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Lincoln Rockstar	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Perrine	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Yamamah	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Overture

36.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 22.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Pique'

25.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 14 Odds: 4.7

4/1

3rd

Carpathian

24.7

OR: 6 Form: 16 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Lincoln Rockstar

23.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Orchard Keeper

23.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Alhattan

18.2

OR: 8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Yamamah

15.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 8

80/1

Perrine

12.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

33/1

Let Life Happen

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

She's A Novelty

7.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alhattan	82	83	73
Overture	81	82	63
Orchard Keeper	77	84	71
Pique'	77	87	78
Let Life Happen	77	79	56
Yamamah	77	80	56
Lincoln Rockstar	76	83	75
Carpathian	74	84	68
Perrine	73	79	31
She's A Novelty	71	87	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lincoln Rockstar	11d ago	Quick return
Perrine	14d ago	Fit
Overture	19d ago	Fit
Carpathian	21d ago	Fit
Yamamah	24d ago	Fit
She's A Novelty	30d ago	Fit
Alhattan	34d ago	Fit
Let Life Happen	34d ago	Fit
Pique'	39d ago	Fit
Orchard Keeper	47d ago	Fresh