Goffs Orby Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

16:05

Goffs Orby Handicap

Date 2024-09-18

Distance 1m1f21y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,936

Winning Time 1m 48.77s (fast by 2.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Enthralled (USA) Ryan Moore · Sir Michael Stoute	3/1	Won
2nd	Roi De France (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	2/1F	.75
3rd	Arctic Mountain (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Saeed bin Suroor	5/1	0.3
4th	Mythical Guest (IRE) Harry Davies · George Margarson	25/1	1
5th	Long Tradition (IRE) Christian Howarth · Saeed bin Suroor	7/1	.5
6th	Lunario (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	12/1	0.2
7th	Majestic (IRE) David Probert · Jack Channon	8/1	8
8th	King's Code (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Evans	22/1	.5
9th	Sierra Blanca (IRE) Tom Marquand · Martyn Meade	40/1	1.25

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Roi De France Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	137	—	2-21	95	96	79	65d	—	—	-8	25.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Two 2nds before well on top at 10-11 in a Windsor novice (1m, good to firm) two months ago
8 (4)	James Webb Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	52251	88	98	80	42d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+10	29.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made all in 6-runner maiden here (1m2f, good to firm) latest; respected on handicap debut
2 (6)	Arctic Mountain Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Saeed bin Suroor	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Saeed bin Suroor	138	p	-321d4	91	101	90	36d	—	—	+7	21.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Can front-run; set fast pace on sole run in cheekpieces; good 4th latest despite hanging
5 (5)	Majestic Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	136	—	-54833	89	100	81	81d	—	—	+9	17.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won the 2022 Cambridgeshire; 0-13 since but most of those runs have been creditable
3 (8)	Long Tradition Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Saeed bin Suroor	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Saeed bin Suroor	137	h	82/15-	90	105	-	431d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Absent since fifth in the John Smith's Cup at York (1m2f, good to soft) in July 2023
9 (3)	Lunario Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	125	tv	223113	78	99	93	36d	—	—	+19	25.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Struck up a fine record with blinkers; serious player again if visor has no adverse effect
6 (7)	King's Code Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	134	v	294890	87	105	83	50d	—	—	+5	10.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Seven races since returned to turf, easily the best when second at York (1m2f) in May
7 (2)	Mythical Guest Bay J:Harry Davies T:George Margarson	J:Harry Davies T:George Margarson	133	—	512978	86	101	84	24d	—	—	+10	13.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Player judged on two wins this spring but last three performances are a concern
1 (9)	Sierra Blanca Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Martyn Meade	J:Tom Marquand T:Martyn Meade	139	—	/8-065	92	100	85	18d	—	—	+9	11.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
More positive on last two starts in 7f/1m2f handicaps, never dangerous at 33-1

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Roi De France	6/4	15/8	15/8	13/8	11/8
James Webb	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Arctic Mountain	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	13/2
Majestic	10/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	10/1
Long Tradition	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Lunario	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
King's Code	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Mythical Guest	33/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
Sierra Blanca	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

James Webb

29.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 14 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Lunario

25.8

OR: 7 Form: 16.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Roi De France

25.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 10.6

15/8

Arctic Mountain

21.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

13/2

Majestic

17.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mythical Guest

13.5

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Long Tradition

12.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Sierra Blanca

11.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

King's Code

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roi De France	95	96	79
Sierra Blanca	92	100	85
Arctic Mountain	91	101	90
Long Tradition	90	105	—
Majestic	89	100	81
James Webb	88	98	80
King's Code	87	105	83
Mythical Guest	86	101	84
Lunario	78	99	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sierra Blanca	18d ago	Fit
Mythical Guest	24d ago	Fit
Arctic Mountain	36d ago	Fit
Lunario	36d ago	Fit
James Webb	42d ago	Fit
King's Code	50d ago	Fresh
Roi De France	65d ago	Fresh
Majestic	81d ago	Fresh
Long Tradition	431d ago	Long break