Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (13)	Forever Proud Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	128	—	105243	48	70	61	9d	—	—	-15	14.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Couldn't justify favouritism at Lingfield on last week's stable debut; still a key player
1 (8)	Heerathetrack Grey J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	135	v	242024	55	68	62	19d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two good runs over 7f here last month; has form over 1m; each-way shout
3 (3)	H Key Lails Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Michael Attwater	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Michael Attwater	134	v	006093	54	71	43	28d	—	—	-4	7.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Goes well here and latest C&D third was a fine effort from the front; one to consider
2 (2)	Meng Tian Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	134	—	567327	54	69	49	24d	—	—	0	8.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On a winning mark and C&D second two runs back was a fair effort; others preferred though
11 (10)	Bold Suitor Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	126	b	350456	46	66	59	15d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
He hasn't run badly in recent starts but others bring more pressing claims
6 (11)	Handel Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	130	—	668925	50	68	54	24d	—	—	-2	5.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Hard to win with but narrowly missed out on his penultimate start; opposable for the win
13 (7)	Nasneen Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Ian Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Ian Williams	125	—	766635	49	63	40	22d	—	—	-4	4.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Placed at Windsor in July (1m, good to firm); less good over 6f latest; can go well
7 (5)	Takes Time Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Loughnane	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Loughnane	130	b	357672	54	64	49	6d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Her two runs this month have been more encouraging; drops in grade for Polytrack debut
10 (4)	Drifts Away Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:T J Kent	J:Harry Burns(3) T:T J Kent	128	—	0-67	52	56	-	35d	—	—	-2	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Latest C&D run is perhaps not solid form but he makes his handicap debut at a low level
5 (12)	United Force Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Clare Hobson	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Clare Hobson	131	—	320169	51	66	50	24d	—	—	+4	7.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Yarmouth win in July has been followed by two lesser efforts; others look safer
9 (9)	Baulac Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	128	—	648-98	48	67	33	19d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unplaced in all nine starts but some promise last year; yet to fire this time around
14 (6)	Explosively Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	125	v	8-479	49	63	29	23d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Lightly raced filly but failed to improve for the switch to handicaps at Lingfield latest
12 (1)	Kodiac Brave Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Craig Benton	J:Charlie Bennett T:Craig Benton	126	v	-04067	46	51	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor form in Hong Kong and yet to show much since joining current yard
NR (14)	Semser Bay J:TBC T:Gary & Josh Moore	J: T:Gary & Josh Moore	133	p	745655	53	72	45	30d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	0.8	—	—
All wins have come over further but he's on a dangerous mark and this is his track

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Forever Proud	15/8	15/8	15/8
Heerathetrack	9/2	4/1	9/2
H Key Lails	7/1	15/2	7/1
Meng Tian	10/1	9/1	9/1
Bold Suitor	11/1	11/1	11/1
Handel	12/1	12/1	12/1
Nasneen	11/1	17/2	11/1
Takes Time	16/1	18/1	16/1
Drifts Away	20/1	18/1	20/1
United Force	25/1	22/1	22/1
Baulac	25/1	25/1	25/1
Explosively	50/1	40/1	50/1
Kodiac Brave	150/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Forever Proud

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Heerathetrack

10.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Meng Tian

8.5

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Takes Time

7.4

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

H Key Lails

7.3

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

15/2

United Force

7.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1

25/1

Handel

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Nasneen

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Bold Suitor

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Drifts Away

1.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Baulac

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Semser

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Explosively

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Kodiac Brave

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heerathetrack	55	68	62
H Key Lails	54	71	43
Meng Tian	54	69	49
Takes Time	54	64	49
Semser	53	72	45
Drifts Away	52	56	—
United Force	51	66	50
Handel	50	68	54
Nasneen	49	63	40
Explosively	49	63	29
Forever Proud	48	70	61
Baulac	48	67	33
Bold Suitor	46	66	59
Kodiac Brave	46	51	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Takes Time	6d ago	Quick return
Forever Proud	9d ago	Quick return
Bold Suitor	15d ago	Fit
Kodiac Brave	17d ago	Fit
Heerathetrack	19d ago	Fit
Baulac	19d ago	Fit
Nasneen	22d ago	Fit
Explosively	23d ago	Fit
Meng Tian	24d ago	Fit
Handel	24d ago	Fit
United Force	24d ago	Fit
H Key Lails	28d ago	Fit
Semser	30d ago	Fit
Drifts Away	35d ago	Fit