Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

16:55

Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Winning Time 58.52s (slow by 1.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lion Ring (IRE) Ryan Kavanagh · Andrew J Martin	6/1	Won
2nd	The Defiant (GB) Jack Dace · Luke Dace	7/2	0.2
3rd	Sankari (IRE) Jonny Peate · Jack Jones	3/1F	1.25
4th	Hi Hoh Tonto (GB) Charlie Bennett · Matt Crawley	17/2	1.25
5th	Thismydream (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Michael Attwater	15/2	1.25
6th	Spanish Angel (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	10/1	1.25
7th	Lady Nagin (IRE) Christian Howarth · Adam West	66/1	2.5
8th	Belvoir Kitten (GB) Raul Da Silva · Derek Shaw	100/1	0.1
9th	Bankrupt (IRE) Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	10/1	2.25
10th	World Of Darcy (IRE) Laura Pearson · John Ryan	20/1	5
11th	Man On A Mission (GB) Tom Queally · P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	17/2	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (1)	The Defiant Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	132	tp	832624	57	85	44	17d	—	—	-6	13.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
On a lowly mark and his last two wins have come over C&D; one to take seriously
4 (11)	Sankari Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Jack Jones	J:Jonny Peate T:Jack Jones	134	p	080887	60	82	-	34d	—	—	-13	9.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fair 2yo but struggling this season; drops in class with cheekpieces now tried
10 (7)	Lion Ring Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	125	—	290931	50	74	65	9d	—	—	+4	15.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Infrequent winner but comes here on the back of a recent Lingfield win (5f, AW); e-w shout
1 (10)	Thismydream Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	137	v	743172	62	75	49	10d	—	—	+7	16.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Not at his absolute best the last twice but his earlier Bath win brings him right into it
11 (5)	Hi Hoh Tonto Grey J:Charlie Bennett T:Matt Crawley	J:Charlie Bennett T:Matt Crawley	121	—	853903	46	71	52	18d	—	—	-2	6.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Modest maiden but has hinted at low-level ability; others look stronger
3 (6)	Man On A Mission Bay J:Tom Queally T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Tom Queally T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	136	—	330246	61	75	64	119d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	8.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Conditions to suit; on fair mark but his record fresh doesn't suggest this will be the day
6 (9)	Spanish Angel Brown J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	—	740479	58	77	53	20d	—	—	-4	4.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Dangerous mark and he has run well over C&D in the past; one to consider
8 (2)	Bankrupt Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	132	—	-80009	57	81	63	19d	—	—	-3	3.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Five wins last year; nothing this time around; revival likely to be foretold by the market
5 (3)	World Of Darcy Bay J:Laura Pearson T:John Ryan	J:Laura Pearson T:John Ryan	134	v	700898	60	80	54	35d	—	—	-1	3.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Going the wrong way at a rate of knots; drops in class but with lots to prove
9 (8)	Lady Nagin Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Adam West	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Adam West	130	h	671860	55	73	55	64d	—	—	+3	4.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
5f AW winner in May but short of that level in three subsequent runs; others safer
12 (4)	Belvoir Kitten Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Derek Shaw	J:Raul Da Silva T:Derek Shaw	120	—	-96749	46	65	48	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Unplaced all 13 starts; low-key return to action ten days ago; hard to fancy
NR (12)	Agostino Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	136	h	925657	61	80	54	17d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Course win (6f) in April off 2lb higher; mixed since; new heagear; drawn widest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
The Defiant	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sankari	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4
Lion Ring	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Thismydream	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Hi Hoh Tonto	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Man On A Mission	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Spanish Angel	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Bankrupt	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
World Of Darcy	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Lady Nagin	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Belvoir Kitten	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thismydream

16.8

OR: 3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.9

8/1

2nd

Lion Ring

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

The Defiant

13.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Sankari

9.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Man On A Mission

8.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Hi Hoh Tonto

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Lady Nagin

4.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Spanish Angel

4.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Agostino

3.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

World Of Darcy

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Bankrupt

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Belvoir Kitten

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thismydream	62	75	49
Man On A Mission	61	75	64
Agostino	61	80	54
Sankari	60	82	—
World Of Darcy	60	80	54
Spanish Angel	58	77	53
The Defiant	57	85	44
Bankrupt	57	81	63
Lady Nagin	55	73	55
Lion Ring	50	74	65
Hi Hoh Tonto	46	71	52
Belvoir Kitten	46	65	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lion Ring	9d ago	Quick return
Thismydream	10d ago	Quick return
Belvoir Kitten	10d ago	Quick return
The Defiant	17d ago	Fit
Agostino	17d ago	Fit
Hi Hoh Tonto	18d ago	Fit
Bankrupt	19d ago	Fit
Spanish Angel	20d ago	Fit
Sankari	34d ago	Fit
World Of Darcy	35d ago	Fit
Lady Nagin	64d ago	Fresh
Man On A Mission	119d ago	Long break