Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:15

Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap

Date 2024-09-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (4)	Liosa Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Kittow	J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Kittow	131	—	1-4822	56	75	61	13d	—	—	-15	19.1	6/4 40%
6f AW win last September; runner-up at Wolverhampton the last twice; should go well
2 (5)	Lilkian Chestnut J:Liam Wright(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Darryll Holland	137	—	582703	62	73	65	29d	—	—	-6	13.2	7/2 22%
Well treated on this year's best and his yard is going well; needs consideration
11 (9)	Havana Sky Brown J:Jamie Spencer T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jamie Spencer T:Ed Dunlop	124	b	-89914	51	69	63	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	11.3	7/1 13%
6f win at Thirsk last month & fair run over 5f latest; unexposed as a sprinter; e-w shout
7 (1)	Profitman Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:B F Brookhouse	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:B F Brookhouse	129	t	113047	56	74	65	25d	—	—	-5	8	7/1 13%
Two 7f AW wins in the spring; handicapper soon caught up; now drops back in trip
10 (6)	Muddy Lynn Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	128	—	66580-	53	73	-	336d	—	—	-5	2.9	12/1 8%
Impressed at Newcastle last summer; progress stalled after and now back from 11 months off
9 (12)	Seas Of Elzaam Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:John Butler	128	—	-20500	53	74	59	130d	—	—	-4	3.9	11/1 8%
Out of sorts when last seen and drawn widest for return; betting usually an accurate guide
3 (2)	Nubough Bay J:William Carson T:Mark Pattinson	J:William Carson T:Mark Pattinson	133	t	154006	58	73	63	52d	—	—	-1	3.1	25/1 4%
Last three runs have been quiet but he can go well fresh and is on a fair mark; chance
8 (10)	Kessaar Power Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	129	v	752708	54	73	45	13d	—	—	+1	3.2	33/1 3%
0-18 for this yard but he's down in the weights and could be the pick of his yard's four
4 (8)	Crocus Time Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	131	—	402578	58	73	28	15d	—	—	+2	4.1	40/1 2%
Exposed maiden; chance on even this year's best but others have less to prove
12 (3)	Kangaroo Bay J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	121	tv	759459	46	70	37	22d	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Exposed maiden who hasn't been at his best of late; one of four for his trainer
NR (11)	Alafdhal Chestnut J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	137	—	507985	62	72	-	11d	—	—	—	3	—
Not found his form after a summer break; will be 3lb lower from the weekend; opposable
NR (7)	Chiedozie Brown J:Tyler Heard T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard T:Phil McEntee	129	b	623485	56	67	48	6d	—	—	—	3.4	—
15-race maiden; not at best on last three starts; remains vulnerable for the win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Liosa	6/4	6/4	7/5	11/8	11/8
Lilkian	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
Havana Sky	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Profitman	6/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Muddy Lynn	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1
Seas Of Elzaam	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	10/1
Nubough	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Kessaar Power	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Crocus Time	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Kangaroo	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Liosa

19.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Lilkian

13.2

OR: 3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Havana Sky

11.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

7/1

Profitman

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Crocus Time

4.1

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Seas Of Elzaam

3.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Chiedozie

3.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 0

—

Kessaar Power

3.2

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Nubough

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Alafdhal

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Muddy Lynn

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Kangaroo

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lilkian	62	73	65
Alafdhal	62	72	—
Nubough	58	73	63
Crocus Time	58	73	28
Liosa	56	75	61
Profitman	56	74	65
Chiedozie	56	67	48
Kessaar Power	54	73	45
Muddy Lynn	53	73	—
Seas Of Elzaam	53	74	59
Havana Sky	51	69	63
Kangaroo	46	70	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chiedozie	6d ago	Quick return
Havana Sky	10d ago	Quick return
Alafdhal	11d ago	Quick return
Liosa	13d ago	Quick return
Kessaar Power	13d ago	Quick return
Crocus Time	15d ago	Fit
Kangaroo	22d ago	Fit
Profitman	25d ago	Fit
Lilkian	29d ago	Fit
Nubough	52d ago	Fresh
Seas Of Elzaam	130d ago	Long break
Muddy Lynn	336d ago	Long break