Jordan Electrics Handicap (Div II) – Ayr

Ayr

16:40

Jordan Electrics Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (12)	Abduction Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	141	v	397037	81	90	77	15d	—	—	-2	14.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
3 (5)	Desert Falcon Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	139	—	-09461	79	87	73	14d	—	—	+7	21.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Travelled well before asserting a Thirsk a fortnight ago and could still be well treated
11 (8)	Pals Battalion Brown J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	125	—	442542	68	90	76	11d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good second over 6f recently; not sure to be suited by 7f but still enters calculations
2 (7)	Mereside Diva Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	140	—	121797	80	88	63	14d	—	—	+3	14.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Dual 7f winner in the spring but has suffered a dip in form lately
8 (10)	Cloudy Skye Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	—	454613	76	87	70	12d	—	—	+10	19.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Placed off this mark since 1m win in July; contender if suited by this drop back in trip
7 (9)	Vince Le Prince Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	tp	356163	73	85	77	14d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dual 7f winner this summer; placed off today's mark recently; in the mix again
12 (11)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	124	h	442406	64	89	79	10d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Yet to win this season but is suited by this C&D and has slipped to a workable mark
4 (1)	Abruzzo Mia Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	138	—	073619	78	86	66	31d	—	—	+10	16.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Kept on gamely for Thirsk win in July but probably needs to pull out even more here
6 (4)	Chuzzlewit Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	134	p	978809	74	89	66	21d	—	—	+1	7.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not firing on all cylinders since AW win in March; headgear switch may perk him up
5 (6)	Modern Times Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	137	t	-46620	80	89	72	13d	—	—	+6	12.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Recent 6f run probably best overlooked; contender if judged on last month's 7f second
10 (3)	Starliner Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Linda Perratt	J:Kevin Stott T:Linda Perratt	128	—	540790	71	82	73	11d	—	—	+3	6.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unplaced all four starts for current stable; may settle better with blinkers now removed
9 (2)	Detective Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Dianne Sayer	J:Connor Murtagh T:Dianne Sayer	130	b	865199	70	85	72	10d	—	—	+9	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Best known as a Carlisle specialist; comes here after two poor runs there

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Abduction	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Desert Falcon	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	13/2
Pals Battalion	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Mereside Diva	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Cloudy Skye	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Vince Le Prince	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Alpine Sierra	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Abruzzo Mia	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Chuzzlewit	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Modern Times	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Starliner	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Detective	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desert Falcon

21.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Cloudy Skye

19.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Abruzzo Mia

16.6

OR: 7 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Vince Le Prince

16.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 8 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Abduction

14.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

4/1

Mereside Diva

14.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 4 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Pals Battalion

14.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Modern Times

12.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Detective

10.5

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Chuzzlewit

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Alpine Sierra

7.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Starliner

6.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Abduction	81	90	77
Mereside Diva	80	88	63
Modern Times	80	89	72
Desert Falcon	79	87	73
Abruzzo Mia	78	86	66
Cloudy Skye	76	87	70
Chuzzlewit	74	89	66
Vince Le Prince	73	85	77
Starliner	71	82	73
Detective	70	85	72
Pals Battalion	68	90	76
Alpine Sierra	64	89	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alpine Sierra	10d ago	Quick return
Detective	10d ago	Quick return
Pals Battalion	11d ago	Quick return
Starliner	11d ago	Quick return
Cloudy Skye	12d ago	Quick return
Modern Times	13d ago	Quick return
Desert Falcon	14d ago	Fit
Mereside Diva	14d ago	Fit
Vince Le Prince	14d ago	Fit
Abduction	15d ago	Fit
Chuzzlewit	21d ago	Fit
Abruzzo Mia	31d ago	Fit