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Ayr

15:35 ✓ Result

Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2024-09-21
Distance 6f
Class Class 2
Going Good To Firm
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £92,772
Winning Time 1m 7.75s (fast by 1.25s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 20/1 Won
2nd 66/1 3
3rd 40/1 0.1
4th 28/1 .75
5th 16/1 0.2
6th 25/1 0.1
7th 11/1 0.1
8th 50/1 0.05
9th 28/1 0.2
10th 12/1 0.2
11th 14/1 0.3
12th 40/1 0.2
13th 14/1 0.3
14th 14/1 .75
15th 80/1 0.3
16th 11/4F 0.2
17th 28/1 1
18th 33/1 .5
19th 9/1 0.3
20th 40/1 .5
21th 40/1 0.3
22th 18/1 0.05
23th 28/1 1.5
24th 15/2 .5
25th 25/1 0.05

Runners (25)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
16 (4)
American Affair
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
 128 — 212231
97
119
103
 7d — — +15
36
10/3
23%
Making giant strides this year and overcame trouble to win the Portland; can do better yet
17 (8)
Rohaan
Bay
J:Tom Queally
T:David Evans
J:Tom Queally
T:David Evans
 127 v 580803
96
120
105
 14d — — +8
17
17/2
11%
On a good mark and last two runs can both be upgraded; each-way claims
9 (15)
Mostabshir
Grey
J:Jim Crowley
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Jim Crowley
T:John & Thady Gosden
 131 b -30404
100
117
108
 49d — — +7
15.5
10/1
9%
Coped well with 6f when fourth in the Stewards' Cup; this track could prove a better fit
5 (3)
Orazio
Grey
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Charles Hills
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Charles Hills
 134 — 0-3030
103
115
95
 56d — — +8
15.4
14/1
7%
Wokingham third was a fine effort; 7f too far since but he's 3lb higher than at Ascot
3 (14)
Ramazan
Bay
J:Oisin McSweeney(3)
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin McSweeney(3)
T:Richard Fahey
 137 — 228782
106
117
101
 35d — — +15
21.9
12/1
8%
Second here 12 months ago; pipped by Dare To Hope at Ripon latest; rock solid to run well
6 (22)
Room Service
Bay
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
 134 — 31-761
105
115
96
 74d — — +8
15.9
14/1
7%
Unexposed 3yo; plenty to spare at Pontefract in July; wind op since; best form on soft
7 (20)
Lethal Levi
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
 133 b 014201
102
114
101
 35d — — +23
29.1
16/1
6%
Has done well since blinkered but whether he can dominate this field remains to be seen
24 (6)
Strike Red
Bay
J:Billy Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
J:Billy Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
 124 — 505629
93
121
105
 6d — — +10
16
16/1
6%
York 2nd last month brings him into the reckoning; below best at this meeting in 2021/22
8 (17)
Jordan Electrics
Bay
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Jim Goldie
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Jim Goldie
 132 — 111172
101
119
102
 31d — — +23
29.5
12/1
8%
Seven wins this year and latest York second another fine performance; needs consideration
23 (9)
Sergeant Wilko
Bay
J:Kevin Stott
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Kevin Stott
T:Kevin Ryan
 125 — -14111
96
119
102
 27d — — +31
37.1
18/1
5%
Front-runner; 4-4 in 6f handicaps this year; may do better yet but slower ground preferred
13 (25)
Pilgrim
Grey
J:Joe Fanning
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Joe Fanning
T:David & Nicola Barron
 129 — -03110
100
115
105
 31d — 0W/0P 1 run +23
26.5
25/1
4%
Drawn on the wrong side at York latest; progressing well beforehand and still low mileage
19 (13)
Aramis Grey
Grey
J:Callum Shepherd
T:Rae Guest
J:Callum Shepherd
T:Rae Guest
 126 — 282543
95
118
108
 40d — — +13
16.8
25/1
4%
Tough and consistent mare but not sure she's handicapped to win this
22 (1)
King's Lynn
Bay
J:William Carver(3)
T:Andrew Balding
J:William Carver(3)
T:Andrew Balding
 125 — 425342
94
117
92
 6d — — +15
19.7
28/1
3%
On a losing run and although he retains significant ability, this looks too demanding
1 (12)
Commanche Falls
Brown
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
 138 b 025634
107
118
96
 21d — — +14
18.6
25/1
4%
Stable stalwart, 2nd here in 2022 off 2lb higher; good 3rd at the Ebor meeting; vulnerable
18 (18)
Billyjoh
Grey
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
 127 p 420230
96
118
106
 28d — — +14
18.1
25/1
4%
String of good runs in deep handicaps this season; not well drawn latest; one to consider
14 (11)
Glenfinnan
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:Michael Dods
J:David Nolan
T:Michael Dods
 129 — 135601
98
114
104
 21d — — +20
23.4
28/1
3%
Two wins for new yard this year but not easily recommended under a penalty
20 (21)
Dare To Hope
Bay
J:Connor Murtagh
T:Richard Fahey
J:Connor Murtagh
T:Richard Fahey
 125 — 384017
94
116
97
 28d — — +15
19.1
25/1
4%
Beat Ramazan in the Great St Wilfrid; no excuses when only seventh at York last time
4 (24)
Korker
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:K R Burke
J:Jason Hart
T:K R Burke
 135 — 930423
104
116
92
 13d — — +19
21.3
40/1
2%
Habitual slow starter; running well at York of late but the stiffer test could stretch him
21 (2)
Jehangeer
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
 125 — 3-3109
96
116
85
 28d — — +11
14.5
33/1
3%
C&D win as a 2yo; quiet since a Thirsk win in July; others look much safer
2 (23)
Northern Express
Chestnut
J:David Egan
T:Michael Dods
J:David Egan
T:Michael Dods
 137 p 572521
106
116
100
 56d — — +27
29.7
33/1
3%
Fine front-running win at Ascot in July (7f); unexposed in this headgear; 6f the concern
11 (10)
Fivethousandtoone
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Andrew Balding
J:P J McDonald
T:Andrew Balding
 130 v 904006
99
114
98
 28d — 0W/1P 1 run +10
13
40/1
2%
Better on AW now but he ran far better than the final position suggests in York G2 latest
25 (5)
Tinto
Bay
J:Rhys Elliott(7)
T:Michael Dods
J:Rhys Elliott(7)
T:Michael Dods
 124 p 717031
93
115
104
 22d — — +23
25.4
40/1
2%
Two Thirsk wins this year; second in Silver Cup 12 months ago; this looks too competitive
15 (7)
Aleezdancer
Bay
J:Sean Levey
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Sean Levey
T:Kevin Ryan
 128 b 6-3010
97
117
90
 112d — — +10
12.2
50/1
2%
York win in May brings him into it but the drying ground doesn't look ideal
10 (19)
Silky Wilkie
Bay
J:Sam Feilden(7)
T:K R Burke
J:Sam Feilden(7)
T:K R Burke
 130 v 762808
99
117
107
 7d — — +12
14.2
66/1
1%
Losing run stands at 20; recent efforts not his best; opposable despite new headgear
12 (16)
Coachello
Bay
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Mark Loughnane
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Mark Loughnane
 130 — 405070
99
113
83
 28d — — +11
12.6
80/1
1%
Not fired in three runs for new yard and looks up against it once more
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
American Affair
 10/3 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3
Rohaan
 8/1 8/1 8/1 17/2 15/2
Mostabshir
 10/1 17/2 9/1 8/1 9/1
Orazio
 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 11/1
Ramazan
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Room Service
 11/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 12/1
Lethal Levi
 14/1 12/1 14/1 16/1 14/1
Strike Red
 14/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 14/1
Jordan Electrics
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Sergeant Wilko
 18/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 16/1
Pilgrim
 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 22/1
Aramis Grey
 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 22/1
King's Lynn
 28/1 22/1 25/1 28/1 28/1
Commanche Falls
 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 22/1
Billyjoh
 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 22/1
Glenfinnan
 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 25/1
Dare To Hope
 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 22/1
Korker
 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 33/1
Jehangeer
 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1
Northern Express
 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 28/1
Fivethousandtoone
 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
Tinto
 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
Aleezdancer
 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1
Silky Wilkie
 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 50/1
Coachello
 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Sergeant Wilko
37.1
OR: 11.5 Form: 24 Odds: 1.6
18/1
2nd American Affair
36
OR: 11.8 Form: 18.1 Odds: 6.2
10/3
3rd Northern Express
29.7
OR: 14 Form: 15 Odds: 0.7
33/1
4 Jordan Electrics
29.5
OR: 12.8 Form: 15 Odds: 1.7
12/1
5 Lethal Levi
29.1
OR: 13 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.6
16/1
6 Pilgrim
26.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.1
25/1
7 Tinto
25.4
OR: 10.8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 0.6
40/1
8 Glenfinnan
23.4
OR: 12 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0.8
28/1
9 Ramazan
21.9
OR: 14 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9
12/1
10 Korker
21.3
OR: 13.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.7
40/1
11 King's Lynn
19.7
OR: 11 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.2
28/1
12 Dare To Hope
19.1
OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1
25/1
13 Commanche Falls
18.6
OR: 14.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.2
25/1
14 Billyjoh
18.1
OR: 11.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1
25/1
15 Rohaan
17
OR: 11.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5
17/2
16 Aramis Grey
16.8
OR: 11.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1
25/1
17 Strike Red
16
OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7
16/1
18 Room Service
15.9
OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
14/1
19 Mostabshir
15.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4
10/1
20 Orazio
15.4
OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
14/1
21 Jehangeer
14.5
OR: 11.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9
33/1
22 Silky Wilkie
14.2
OR: 12.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5
66/1
23 Fivethousandtoone
13
OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40/1
24 Coachello
12.6
OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
80/1
25 Aleezdancer
12.2
OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
50/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Commanche Falls
107
118
96
Ramazan
106
117
101
Northern Express
106
116
100
Room Service
105
115
96
Korker
104
116
92
Orazio
103
115
95
Lethal Levi
102
114
101
Jordan Electrics
101
119
102
Mostabshir
100
117
108
Pilgrim
100
115
105
Fivethousandtoone
99
114
98
Silky Wilkie
99
117
107
Coachello
99
113
83
Glenfinnan
98
114
104
American Affair
97
119
103
Aleezdancer
97
117
90
Rohaan
96
120
105
Sergeant Wilko
96
119
102
Billyjoh
96
118
106
Jehangeer
96
116
85
Aramis Grey
95
118
108
King's Lynn
94
117
92
Dare To Hope
94
116
97
Strike Red
93
121
105
Tinto
93
115
104

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Strike Red 6d ago Quick return
King's Lynn 6d ago Quick return
American Affair 7d ago Quick return
Silky Wilkie 7d ago Quick return
Korker 13d ago Quick return
Rohaan 14d ago Fit
Commanche Falls 21d ago Fit
Glenfinnan 21d ago Fit
Tinto 22d ago Fit
Sergeant Wilko 27d ago Fit
Billyjoh 28d ago Fit
Dare To Hope 28d ago Fit
Jehangeer 28d ago Fit
Fivethousandtoone 28d ago Fit
Coachello 28d ago Fit
Jordan Electrics 31d ago Fit
Pilgrim 31d ago Fit
Ramazan 35d ago Fit
Lethal Levi 35d ago Fit
Aramis Grey 40d ago Fit
Mostabshir 49d ago Fresh
Orazio 56d ago Fresh
Northern Express 56d ago Fresh
Room Service 74d ago Fresh
Aleezdancer 112d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Lethal Levi Front Runner
Sergeant Wilko Front Runner
Dare To Hope Mid-Pack
Aleezdancer Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 25 runners classified.