Dragonbet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Worcester

15:45

Date 2024-09-27

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £36,421

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Flying Fortune Brown J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	153	—	52-211	115	131	126	39d	—	—	+1	22.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Won her last two and is versatile ground-wise but others may have more potential
2	Backmersackme Chestnut J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	163	p	11-664	125	131	92	—	—	—	+3	25.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Tricky to weigh up but very unexposed, and stable is always feared in valuable races
13	Letterston Lily Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	148	—	-31121	113	131	98	30d	—	—	+29	41.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Battled well to win C&D novice last month; needs to find more on this handicap debut
3	Mostly Sunny Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	21124	118	131	122	69d	—	—	+22	32.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Creditable fourth in 2m Summer Hurdle in July and likely to be suited by this longer trip
1	Fine Margin Bay J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:W P Mullins	J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:W P Mullins	168	tp	P0-111	130	133	109	21d	—	—	+13	22.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Second in major handicap last autumn and 3-3 in novice company this season; respected
11	Jacobs Acre Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	149	t	953-21	111	132	114	21d	—	—	+10	17.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Travelled strongly before asserting on recent handicap debut; has more improvement to come
4	Bob Bob Ricard Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	155	p	36-112	117	131	71	81d	—	—	+12	18.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dual chase winner in spring; ran very well behind Fine Margin when back hurdling in July
8	Ebony Warrior Brown J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	152	t	85-312	114	134	96	30d	—	—	+11	17.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
2m course winner in July and ran well over C&D last month; others look stronger, though
10	New Order Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Charlie Longsdon	149	—	2342-5	111	129	113	143d	—	—	+11	17	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-5 over hurdles and seems to have some quirks; off since below-par run in May; too risky
12	Full Monty Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	148	t	7-8214	110	132	114	30d	—	—	+12	16	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Behind two of these when fourth over C&D last month but open to improvement in handicaps
9	Shengai Enki Bay J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	150	p	3-114P	112	130	117	34d	—	—	+15	18.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won twice in the spring (2m7f/2m); cheekpieces added after poor run last month
14	Haarar Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	144	—	02-117	106	129	109	—	—	—	+13	14.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Dual novice winner in My; came last on handicap debut; recent Flat form also below par
NR	Seeyouinmydreams Bay J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Paul Nicholls	154	ht	0/P-11	116	132	121	100d	—	—	—	16.5	—	—
Headstrong mare; wide-margin winner of two novice hurdles this spring (2m4f/2m)
NR	Light Fandango Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Neil Mulholland	J:Brian Hughes T:Neil Mulholland	153	t	5313	115	129	104	37d	—	—	—	27.8	—	—
Won over 2m on stable debut in July but last month's C&D run was a shade disappointing
NR	Captain Attridge Bay J:James Turner(7) T:Henry Oliver	J:James Turner(7) T:Henry Oliver	142	p	-1223P	104	131	118	41d	—	—	—	20.1	—	—
Has done well at around 2m this season but needs to improve again over new trip here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Flying Fortune	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Backmersackme	11/4	4/1	7/2	10/3	3/1
Letterston Lily	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	7/1
Mostly Sunny	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	17/2
Fine Margin	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1	7/1
Jacobs Acre	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Bob Bob Ricard	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Ebony Warrior	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
New Order	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Full Monty	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	22/1
Shengai Enki	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	28/1
Haarar	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Letterston Lily

41.2

OR: 15.8 Form: 22.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Mostly Sunny

32.4

OR: 17 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

3rd

Light Fandango

27.8

OR: 16.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Backmersackme

25.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

4/1

Flying Fortune

22.9

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Fine Margin

22.7

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Captain Attridge

20.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 0

—

Shengai Enki

18.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

40/1

Bob Bob Ricard

18.5

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ebony Warrior

17.7

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Jacobs Acre

17.4

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

New Order

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Seeyouinmydreams

16.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Full Monty

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Haarar

14.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fine Margin	130	133	109
Backmersackme	125	131	92
Mostly Sunny	118	131	122
Bob Bob Ricard	117	131	71
Seeyouinmydreams	116	132	121
Flying Fortune	115	131	126
Light Fandango	115	129	104
Ebony Warrior	114	134	96
Letterston Lily	113	131	98
Shengai Enki	112	130	117
Jacobs Acre	111	132	114
New Order	111	129	113
Full Monty	110	132	114
Haarar	106	129	109
Captain Attridge	104	131	118

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fine Margin	21d ago	Fit
Jacobs Acre	21d ago	Fit
Letterston Lily	30d ago	Fit
Ebony Warrior	30d ago	Fit
Full Monty	30d ago	Fit
Shengai Enki	34d ago	Fit
Light Fandango	37d ago	Fit
Flying Fortune	39d ago	Fit
Captain Attridge	41d ago	Fit
Mostly Sunny	69d ago	Fresh
Bob Bob Ricard	81d ago	Fresh
Seeyouinmydreams	100d ago	Long break
New Order	143d ago	Long break
Backmersackme	—	—
Haarar	—	—