Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div II) – Ripon

Ripon

4:40

Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Thornaby Pearl b J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	137	—	598345	64	79	64	15d	—	—	-12	12.3	11/4 27%
Two-time C&D winner who arrives in pretty good form and can make a bold bid
4 (6)	Havana Pursuit ch J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	—	956872	62	75	68	5d	—	—	-8	14.7	10/3 23%
Course winner who went close at Hamilton on Tuesday and is on the shortlist
7 (2)	Without Flaw b J:Joanna Mason T:Tina Jackson	J:Joanna Mason T:Tina Jackson	128	—	364485	57	76	60	18d	—	—	-6	4.6	15/2 12%
Just 1-16 but well treated on this year's best C&D form and not a forlorn hope
1 (9)	Oso Rapido b J:Oisin Orr T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Oisin Orr T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	139	p	629057	66	73	65	15d	—	—	-4	8.6	11/2 15%
Went very close last month but unable to replicate that form on his four starts since
5 (3)	Canaria Queen bl J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tim Easterby	131	—	337070	58	80	73	7d	—	—	-4	5.3	15/2 12%
Signs of return to form at Hamilton and not written off despite subsequent disappointment
9 (8)	Mr Trevor b J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	119	b	269852	46	75	63	18d	—	—	-1	7.1	11/1 8%
Ran well from the front when runner-up over 7f on soft ground last time
3 (7)	Stormy Pearl b J:Tom Eaves T:David Thompson	J:Tom Eaves T:David Thompson	136	p	211007	63	77	61	11d	—	—	+3	10.2	12/1 8%
Two 6f wins in July and encouraging run over 5f at Redcar recently
8 (4)	Tilsworth Turf ch J:Connor Beasley T:J R Jenkins	J:Connor Beasley T:J R Jenkins	122	—	81P088	49	68	57	28d	—	—	0	2.3	33/1 3%
Hard to fancy on vast majority of form but he was a 125-1 winner on soft going in April
6 (5)	Obligatory b J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	130	—	504082	59	74	27	38d	—	—	+6	7.8	40/1 2%
Ten-race maiden but runner-up in Carlisle novice last month and is not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Thornaby Pearl	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Havana Pursuit	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	10/3
Without Flaw	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	15/2
Oso Rapido	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Canaria Queen	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Mr Trevor	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Stormy Pearl	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Tilsworth Turf	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Obligatory	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Havana Pursuit

14.7

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Thornaby Pearl

12.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Stormy Pearl

10.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Oso Rapido

8.6

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Obligatory

7.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Mr Trevor

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Canaria Queen

5.3

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Without Flaw

4.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Tilsworth Turf

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 1.6 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Oso Rapido Top Rated	66	73	65
Thornaby Pearl	64	79	64
Stormy Pearl	63	77	61
Havana Pursuit	62	75	68
Obligatory	59	74	27
Canaria Queen	58	80	73
Without Flaw	57	76	60
Tilsworth Turf	49	68	57
Mr Trevor	46	75	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Havana Pursuit	5d ago	Quick return
Canaria Queen	7d ago	Quick return
Stormy Pearl	11d ago	Quick return
Thornaby Pearl	15d ago	Fit
Oso Rapido	15d ago	Fit
Without Flaw	18d ago	Fit
Mr Trevor	18d ago	Fit
Tilsworth Turf	28d ago	Fit
Obligatory	38d ago	Fit