Curragh

3:50

Lavazza Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-29
Distance 7f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 2yo
Prize €11,800

Runners (16)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
11 (4)
The Marty Party
b
J:Wayne Hassett(5)
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J:Wayne Hassett(5)
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
128 690212
66
87
61
5d -2
27.4
9/4
31%
Excellent second at Listowel on Tuesday, big chance providing this does not come too soon
8 (2)
Moonhall Church
b
J:Luke McAteer
T:Alan McIntyre
J:Luke McAteer
T:Alan McIntyre
134 4551
72
81
76
6d +5
19.9
11/2
15%
Won a Fairyhouse claimer on Monday in the style of an improving filly, merits respect
1 (8)
Heishybrid
ch
J:Colin Keane
T:Noel Meade
J:Colin Keane
T:Noel Meade
138 p 9231
76
76
44
38d +13
24.2
8/1
11%
Already had this rating before his Leopardstown maiden win, should be competitive
9 (3)
Montpellier Green
b
J:Dylan Browne McMonagle
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J:Dylan Browne McMonagle
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
133 b 044
71
70
70
18d -1
7.5
10/1
9%
Seemed to find 6f too short at Cork, yard may have a better chance with The Marty Party
13 (13)
Dandy Khan
b
J:Shane Foley
T:Mrs John Harrington
J:Shane Foley
T:Mrs John Harrington
125 p 0704
63
76
59
40d -2
5.4
14/1
7%
Roscommon fourth was a step in the right direction, may improve with cheekpieces fitted
10 (1)
Mykonian Odyssey
b
J:Seamie Heffernan
T:Brendan W Duke
J:Seamie Heffernan
T:Brendan W Duke
133 5081
71
79
60
10d +10
17.4
14/1
7%
Handed a 4lb rise for 1m Naas win, the shorter trip may be a bigger issue than weight
15 (7)
Ottoman
b
J:Chris Hayes
T:Eddie & Patrick Harty
J:Chris Hayes
T:Eddie & Patrick Harty
122 07943
60
80
63
10d +1
7.2
14/1
7%
Kept on for third behind Mykonian Odyssey over 1m at Naas, shorter trip may not be ideal
3 (5)
Mood Altering
ch
J:Darragh O'Sullivan(7)
T:J A Stack
J:Darragh O'Sullivan(7)
T:J A Stack
138 p 380
76
77
50
55d +3
9.9
18/1
5%
No improvement since her debut third behind the talented Babouche, cheekpieces tried now
4 (11)
Shiota
ch
J:Gary Carroll
T:Joseph G Murphy
J:Gary Carroll
T:Joseph G Murphy
138 610
76
77
59
55d +11
14.6
20/1
5%
Long-priced winner over 6f at Naas, faced a tough task in a sales race last time
7 (9)
Expert Analysis
b
J:Ronan Whelan
T:W Ross
J:Ronan Whelan
T:W Ross
134 076
72
78
49
12d +1
7.1
20/1
5%
Does not appeal as being attractively handicapped, drop from 1m to 7f may help his cause
2 (16)
Irish Acclamation
b
J:Gavin Ryan
T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
J:Gavin Ryan
T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
138 345
76
70
46
119d +4
9.4
22/1
4%
Hard to assess but has had time to mature since her third run, first time over 7f
5 (14)
Native Honey
b
J:Rory Cleary
T:J S Bolger
J:Rory Cleary
T:J S Bolger
137 487
75
74
53
116d +2
7.9
22/1
4%
Has kept good company in maidens, feasible that he can find his level in handicaps
12 (15)
Tofino
b
J:Robert Whearty(3)
T:Gavin Cromwell
J:Robert Whearty(3)
T:Gavin Cromwell
126 000
64
75
66
35d 0
4.9
20/1
5%
Weak form in maidens but potentially interesting in the event of market support
16 (12)
Tomarlo
b
J:Andrew Slattery
T:David Marnane
J:Andrew Slattery
T:David Marnane
122 609
60
75
53
89d +1
3.2
40/1
2%
First run over 5f better than two subsequent efforts, hard to make a strong case for him
6 (10)
Desmond Castle
ch
J:Declan McDonogh
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J:Declan McDonogh
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
134 0U40
72
67
62
12d +4
6
66/1
1%
Galway fourth was respectable, probably not the best of his trainer's three runners
14 (6)
Tiger Kitten
ch
J:Nathan Crosse
T:S M Duffy
J:Nathan Crosse
T:S M Duffy
124 089
62
77
39
26d -48
23
150/1
1%
Not an obvious contender on the form of three maiden outings over this trip
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
The Marty Party
15/8 2/1 15/8 7/4 9/4
Moonhall Church
9/2 5/1 5/1 11/2 9/2
Heishybrid
8/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 8/1
Montpellier Green
10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
Dandy Khan
14/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1
Mykonian Odyssey
14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1
Ottoman
14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1 14/1
Mood Altering
16/1 18/1 16/1 18/1 16/1
Shiota
20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 18/1
Expert Analysis
20/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 16/1
Irish Acclamation
20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1
Native Honey
22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 18/1
Tofino
20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 18/1
Tomarlo
40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
Desmond Castle
66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1
Tiger Kitten
150/1 125/1 125/1 80/1 100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st The Marty Party
27.4
OR: 4 Form: 14.5 Odds: 8.9
9/4
2nd Heishybrid
24.2
OR: 6.5 Form: 14.6 Odds: 3.1
8/1
3rd Tiger Kitten
23
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 20
150/1
4 Moonhall Church
19.9
OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4
11/2
5 Mykonian Odyssey
17.4
OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1
14/1
6 Shiota
14.6
OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1
20/1
7 Mood Altering
9.9
OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9
18/1
8 Irish Acclamation
9.4
OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4
22/1
9 Native Honey
7.9
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
22/1
10 Montpellier Green
7.5
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
10/1
11 Ottoman
7.2
OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7
14/1
12 Expert Analysis
7.1
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
20/1
13 Desmond Castle
6
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66/1
14 Dandy Khan
5.4
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
14/1
15 Tofino
4.9
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20/1
16 Tomarlo
3.2
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Heishybrid Top Rated
76
76
44
Mood Altering
76
77
50
Shiota
76
77
59
Irish Acclamation
76
70
46
Native Honey
75
74
53
Moonhall Church
72
81
76
Expert Analysis
72
78
49
Desmond Castle
72
67
62
Montpellier Green
71
70
70
Mykonian Odyssey
71
79
60
The Marty Party
66
87
61
Tofino
64
75
66
Dandy Khan
63
76
59
Tiger Kitten
62
77
39
Ottoman
60
80
63
Tomarlo
60
75
53

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
The Marty Party 5d ago Quick return
Moonhall Church 6d ago Quick return
Mykonian Odyssey 10d ago Quick return
Ottoman 10d ago Quick return
Expert Analysis 12d ago Quick return
Desmond Castle 12d ago Quick return
Montpellier Green 18d ago Fit
Tiger Kitten 26d ago Fit
Tofino 35d ago Fit
Heishybrid 38d ago Fit
Dandy Khan 40d ago Fit
Mood Altering 55d ago Fresh
Shiota 55d ago Fresh
Tomarlo 89d ago Fresh
Native Honey 116d ago Long break
Irish Acclamation 119d ago Long break