Fitzpatricks Mercedes-Benz Irish EBF Maiden – Curragh

Curragh

14:05

Fitzpatricks Mercedes-Benz Irish EBF Maiden

Date 2024-09-29

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €11,800

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Aftermath b/br J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	133	—	23	-	106	80	15d	—	—	-29	25.2	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Champagne Stakes third sets the bar high here back in maiden company
9 (8)	Storm Piece Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	133	—	22	-	96	67	12d	—	—	-15	19.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Just denied at Punchestown over 1m; drop to 7f to suit and major player
8 (9)	Saints N Scholars Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	133	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Brother to 7f 2yo winner Mohawk Chief; blinkered for debut
13 (5)	Lady In Paris Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	6	-	70	61	50d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ordinary debut run here last month leaves her with plenty to find
6 (2)	Heldtoransom Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	133	—	3	-	70	64	19d	—	—	0	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Plenty green but showed promise at Galway recently; sure to improve for that
14 (4)	Malpeque Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-sister to Chesham winner Snellen; very interesting debutante
5 (6)	Glenderry Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Yard's juveniles do well, worth a market check
10 (14)	Thebelmontgangster Bay J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	133	—	7	-	55	35	89d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Mild debut promise over the summer but may need more time
2 (13)	Baila Conmigo Bay J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Adrian Murray	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Adrian Murray	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Respected yard but others preferred here
7 (7)	I'll Be Handy Grey J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	133	—	6	-	66	48	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Speed for long way on recent Cork debut; not sure if this longer trip will suit
4 (12)	Folk Warrior Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Nash	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Nash	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Newcomer probably best watched
12 (3)	Clementines Dream Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Churchill filly related to some decent types but probably best watched on debut
3 (10)	Bandeja Sands Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Gavin Ryan T:John Joseph Hanlon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Cheaply bought at the breeze-ups; unlikely source of a debut 2yo winner
11 (1)	Clarabell Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Adrian Sexton	128	t	87	-	66	21	8d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Well held both starts, eligible for a mark after this; tongue-tie tried

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Aftermath	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11
Storm Piece	13/8	7/4	7/4	13/8	13/8
Saints N Scholars	12/1	11/1	14/1	14/1	15/2
Lady In Paris	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	14/1
Heldtoransom	25/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	16/1
Malpeque	33/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	16/1
Glenderry	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	22/1
Thebelmontgangster	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	22/1
Baila Conmigo	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
I'll Be Handy	250/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1
Folk Warrior	250/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Clementines Dream	250/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Bandeja Sands	250/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Clarabell	250/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aftermath

25.2

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 18.7

8/11

2nd

Storm Piece

19.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 10.6

7/4

3rd

Heldtoransom

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Saints N Scholars

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

14/1

Lady In Paris

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Malpeque

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Glenderry

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Thebelmontgangster

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Baila Conmigo

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

I'll Be Handy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Folk Warrior

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Clementines Dream

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Bandeja Sands

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Clarabell

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aftermath	—	106	80
Storm Piece	—	96	67
Saints N Scholars	—	—	—
Lady In Paris	—	70	61
Heldtoransom	—	70	64
Malpeque	—	—	—
Glenderry	—	—	—
Thebelmontgangster	—	55	35
Baila Conmigo	—	—	—
I'll Be Handy	—	66	48
Folk Warrior	—	—	—
Clementines Dream	—	—	—
Bandeja Sands	—	—	—
Clarabell	—	66	21

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Clarabell	8d ago	Quick return
Storm Piece	12d ago	Quick return
Aftermath	15d ago	Fit
I'll Be Handy	18d ago	Fit
Heldtoransom	19d ago	Fit
Lady In Paris	50d ago	Fresh
Thebelmontgangster	89d ago	Fresh
Saints N Scholars	—	—
Malpeque	—	—
Glenderry	—	—
Baila Conmigo	—	—
Folk Warrior	—	—
Clementines Dream	—	—
Bandeja Sands	—	—