Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap

Date 2024-10-03

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Pinball Wizard Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	141	—	454631	69	78	50	10d	—	—	+2	23	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three-time Kempton winner; 1lb well-in under the penalty; fair chance of following up
8 (11)	Nammos Chestnut J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	135	—	788741	63	78	62	33d	—	—	-2	19.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Off the mark over C&D 13 days ago; is drawn wider upped 3lb but enters calculations
7 (4)	Super Hit Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	136	h	143587	66	75	72	43d	—	—	-5	8.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won his maiden over C&D; hood didn't make much difference when last seen six weeks ago
3 (6)	Guiteau Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	140	—	-12860	68	77	-	18d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Soft going may have been behind his latest effort but he's some way down the pecking order
1 (5)	Lord Rapscallion Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	141	v	960300	69	80	-	26d	—	—	0	8.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
The return to Polytrack could spark a revival into lesser company; watch the market
4 (8)	Ten Commitments Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	139	h	553328	69	77	66	18d	—	—	+5	13	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Soft ground a likely excuse for his blowout latest; has to bounce back over this easy 7f
12 (3)	Desert Dream Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	131	t	635311	59	73	42	23d	—	—	+17	23	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Arrives in form after two Catterick wins; not been this high in the weights in four years
9 (2)	Nazalan Chestnut J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	135	v	357656	65	72	23	13d	—	—	+1	4.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Not seen it out over further since returned to Polytrack; better showing wouldn't surprise
13 (7)	Solara Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Hugo Palmer	J:Richard Kingscote T:Hugo Palmer	130	b	03456	60	72	28	19d	—	—	+1	4.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
No excuses in a weak fillies' handicap last month
5 (12)	I Can't Believe Bay J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	137	—	853	67	67	-	38d	—	—	+5	8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Well related and likely capable of better now handicapping, so needs a market check
10 (9)	Manigordo b/br J:Sam Hitchcott T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Adrian Nicholls	133	tp	868750	61	75	-	17d	—	—	+1	3.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Makes his Polytrack debut tonight and is hard to fancy on recent efforts
11 (1)	Magic Fluke Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	132	—	-25988	62	74	47	97d	—	—	+3	4.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Undergone wind surgery; has done most racing in sprints and will need to settle better
NR (13)	Aljezur Bay J:TBC T:Luke Dace	J: T:Luke Dace	137	p	083670	67	73	47	1d	—	—	—	5.2	—	—
Drawn widest and had plenty of chances now, finishing down the field at Kempton yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pinball Wizard	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	10/3
Nammos	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Super Hit	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	13/2
Guiteau	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Lord Rapscallion	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
Ten Commitments	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Desert Dream	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Nazalan	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Solara	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
I Can't Believe	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Manigordo	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Magic Fluke	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pinball Wizard

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Desert Dream

OR: 2.3 Form: 19.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

3rd

Nammos

19.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Ten Commitments

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Guiteau

12.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Super Hit

8.9

OR: 4 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

13/2

Lord Rapscallion

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

I Can't Believe

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Aljezur

5.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Nazalan

4.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Magic Fluke

4.5

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Solara

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

25/1

Manigordo

3.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pinball Wizard	69	78	50
Lord Rapscallion	69	80	—
Ten Commitments	69	77	66
Guiteau	68	77	—
I Can't Believe	67	67	—
Aljezur	67	73	47
Super Hit	66	75	72
Nazalan	65	72	23
Nammos	63	78	62
Magic Fluke	62	74	47
Manigordo	61	75	—
Solara	60	72	28
Desert Dream	59	73	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aljezur	1d ago	Quick return
Pinball Wizard	10d ago	Quick return
Nazalan	13d ago	Quick return
Manigordo	17d ago	Fit
Guiteau	18d ago	Fit
Ten Commitments	18d ago	Fit
Solara	19d ago	Fit
Desert Dream	23d ago	Fit
Lord Rapscallion	26d ago	Fit
Nammos	33d ago	Fit
I Can't Believe	38d ago	Fit
Super Hit	43d ago	Fit
Magic Fluke	97d ago	Long break