William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

20:15

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €12,980

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Tough Talk Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	130	t	553401	88	111	71	18d	—	—	-6	33.3	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Has run well in defeat on turf this year, runaway winner at Laytown, should be in the mix
8 (8)	Pier Pressure Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:G M Lyons	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:G M Lyons	123	—	734146	81	108	-	43d	—	—	+1	18.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Fair run over 1m1f at Leopardstown last time, this trip is probably more suitable
1 (6)	Malex Bay J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	142	—	0/85-1	100	100	-	33d	—	—	+16	25.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
No trouble winning at Tipperary after a long absence, up 8lb but may remain competitive
2 (4)	I Am Superman Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	141	t	155620	99	105	-	20d	—	—	+8	18.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Vastly experienced, retains plenty of ability, went close at Gowran on penultimate start
5 (7)	Daamberdiplomat Chestnut J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	129	—	345068	87	104	85	20d	—	—	+2	12.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Useful AW form last winter, including a course 6f win, ran in a premier handicap last time
6 (3)	Bellaphina Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:John Andrew Kinsella	J:James Ryan(3) T:John Andrew Kinsella	127	t	-60341	85	102	-	11d	—	—	+16	22	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Added to last year's two wins with recent Fairyhouse success, raised 6lb, no AW experience
7 (1)	Current Option Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	125	—	150800	83	110	-	6d	—	—	+6	9.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Eight-time turf winner, has rarely competed at this track, placed twice from three visits
3 (5)	Hightimeyouwon b/br J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Jack W Davison	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Jack W Davison	130	b	978907	88	103	50	18d	—	—	+7	10.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Seven-time winner including two on AW, out of form since C&D win March, others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tough Talk	6/5	6/5	6/5	11/10	11/10
Pier Pressure	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Malex	8/1	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
I Am Superman	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	15/2
Daamberdiplomat	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Bellaphina	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Current Option	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	25/1
Hightimeyouwon	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tough Talk

33.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 12.9

6/5

2nd

Malex

25.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Bellaphina

OR: 8.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

I Am Superman

18.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Pier Pressure

18.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Daamberdiplomat

12.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Hightimeyouwon

10.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Current Option

9.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Malex	100	100	—
I Am Superman	99	105	—
Tough Talk	88	111	71
Hightimeyouwon	88	103	50
Daamberdiplomat	87	104	85
Bellaphina	85	102	—
Current Option	83	110	—
Pier Pressure	81	108	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Current Option	6d ago	Quick return
Bellaphina	11d ago	Quick return
Tough Talk	18d ago	Fit
Hightimeyouwon	18d ago	Fit
I Am Superman	20d ago	Fit
Daamberdiplomat	20d ago	Fit
Malex	33d ago	Fit
Pier Pressure	43d ago	Fit