Victoria Racing Club Classified Stakes – Ascot

Ascot

17:05

Victoria Racing Club Classified Stakes

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,800

Winning Time 1m 44.26s (slow by 5.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ebt's Guard (GB) Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	16/5F	Won
2nd	Tareefa (IRE) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	4/1	1.75
3rd	Monkey Island (GB) Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	7/2	0.3
4th	Thunder Roar (GB) Tom Eaves · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	15/2	0.05
5th	Thyer (GB) Hollie Doyle · Marco Botti	8/1	.75
6th	Pearl Eye (GB) Jason Watson · Darryll Holland	12/1	.75
7th	Aquacell (IRE) Jimmy Quinn · Jane Chapple-Hyam	11/1	0.1
8th	Imperial Fighter (IRE) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	40/1	5.5
9th	Accidental Agent (GB) Mia Nicholls · Eve Johnson Houghton	18/1	2.75
10th	Dashing Roger (GB) Kieran Shoemark · William Stone	28/1	2.5
11th	Taskheer (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Daniel Steele	150/1	35

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (3)	Ebt's Guard Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	130	—	232066	90	102	89	6d	—	—	-3	18.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Creditable sixth in the Cambridgeshire and leading claims if this doesn't come too soon
11 (2)	Tareefa Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	411	89	104	68	76d	—	—	+12	32.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
3yo; novice wins the last twice; could be significantly better than today's grade
10 (6)	Monkey Island Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	130	—	-10533	86	98	89	42d	—	—	+6	20.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Solid efforts when third at Newmarket the last twice; unraced on slow ground
6 (4)	Thunder Roar Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	133	—	323982	82	97	91	7d	—	—	+5	18.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Would be better off if this was a h'cap but he went very close on heavy at Haydock latest
12 (10)	Thyer Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	130	—	31-1	87	96	66	18d	—	—	+12	21.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two novice wins from his three starts; could have plenty more to offer; one to consider
4 (8)	Pearl Eye Bay J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	133	b	445582	86	99	75	20d	—	—	+9	16.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Returned to form on soft ground at Chester three weeks ago; could be in the shake-up
7 (12)	Aquacell Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	162262	81	94	77	13d	—	—	+13	18.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced 3yo; runner-up at Newmarket latest; something to find today but progressive
2 (9)	Dashing Roger Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:William Stone	J:Kieran Shoemark T:William Stone	133	—	1-7050	86	102	78	126d	—	—	+12	17.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Patchy form in the spring and absent since, but two heavy-ground wins last autumn
1 (5)	Accidental Agent Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	b	577-88	89	101	76	34d	—	—	+6	11.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
10yo; merely 8th on both runs this year but showed spark on first occasion; not discounted
3 (7)	Imperial Fighter Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	133	—	04-000	89	99	69	83d	—	—	+8	10.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Third in the Irish 2,000 Guineas in 2022 but has struggled this season
5 (1)	Taskheer Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	133	ht	91141-	64	78	-	521d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+20	21.9	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Progressive in spring 2023 but absent since and faces a tough task at today's weights
NR (11)	Gushing Gold Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	27-990	89	101	63	105d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
A good case can be made on her 2yo form but she hasn't hit the same heights this season

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ebt's Guard	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
Tareefa	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Monkey Island	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Thunder Roar	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Thyer	17/2	8/1	17/2	17/2	10/1
Pearl Eye	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Aquacell	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Dashing Roger	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Accidental Agent	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Imperial Fighter	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Taskheer	80/1	125/1	100/1	80/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tareefa

32.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 17 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Thyer

21.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

10/1

3rd

Taskheer

21.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 18 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Monkey Island

20.1

OR: 9 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Thunder Roar

18.9

OR: 8 Form: 6.9 Odds: 4

6/1

Aquacell

18.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ebt's Guard

18.3

OR: 10 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Dashing Roger

17.4

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Pearl Eye

16.1

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Accidental Agent

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Imperial Fighter

10.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Gushing Gold

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ebt's Guard	90	102	89
Tareefa	89	104	68
Accidental Agent	89	101	76
Imperial Fighter	89	99	69
Gushing Gold	89	101	63
Thyer	87	96	66
Monkey Island	86	98	89
Pearl Eye	86	99	75
Dashing Roger	86	102	78
Thunder Roar	82	97	91
Aquacell	81	94	77
Taskheer	64	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ebt's Guard	6d ago	Quick return
Thunder Roar	7d ago	Quick return
Aquacell	13d ago	Quick return
Thyer	18d ago	Fit
Pearl Eye	20d ago	Fit
Accidental Agent	34d ago	Fit
Monkey Island	42d ago	Fit
Tareefa	76d ago	Fresh
Imperial Fighter	83d ago	Fresh
Gushing Gold	105d ago	Long break
Dashing Roger	126d ago	Long break
Taskheer	521d ago	Long break