Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Redcar

13:35

Date 2024-10-05

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,320

Winning Time 1m 23.74s (slow by 3.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Arabian Angel (IRE) Dougie Costello · K R Burke	7/2	Won
2nd	Seraph Gabriel (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	6/5F	0.1
3rd	Mystical Storm (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	7/1	3.25
4th	Thanks Angel (IRE) Connor Beasley · Adrian Paul Keatley	100/30	3.25
5th	Optimatum (GB) Andrew Mullen · Charlie Johnston	50/1	2.75
6th	Fitzmaurice (IRE) Oisin Orr · William Haggas	15/2	2.75
7th	Analogical (GB) Cam Hardie · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	100/1	2.75
8th	Promise Time (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	300/1	4
9th	Drumcondra (IRE) David Allan · Declan Carroll	125/1	10
10th	Golden Crossing (GB) Ben Robinson · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	250/1	2.25
11th	Harbour Snug (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	200/1	14

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Seraph Gabriel Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	136	—	41	-	89	70	95d	—	—	-16	22.1	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Landed the odds at Lingfield (7f) in July and he's respected under penalty on return
12 (7)	Thanks Angel Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Connor Beasley T:Adrian Paul Keatley	125	—	3	-	87	77	22d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Promising third on Doncaster debut last month; big player if she can build on that
3 (10)	Arabian Angel Bay J:Dougie Costello T:K R Burke	J:Dougie Costello T:K R Burke	130	—	22	-	88	76	30d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Runner-up in both starts and has shaped as though this step up to 7f will suit; big player
9 (8)	Mystical Storm Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	130	—	3	-	86	63	30d	—	—	-7	7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Caught the eye with his debut third at Haydock and he should know more this time
6 (11)	Fitzmaurice Bay J:Oisin Orr T:William Haggas	J:Oisin Orr T:William Haggas	130	—	57	-	77	50	29d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Showed promise at Newbury but he faded at Kempton last time and others are preferred
10 (2)	Optimatum Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
£95,000 yearling; plenty to like on paper and interesting to see how he figures in market
2 (6)	Analogical Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Cam Hardie T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Gelded half-brother to some useful winners and needs checking in market on debut
5 (12)	DrumcOndra Chestnut J:David Allan T:Declan Carroll	J:David Allan T:Declan Carroll	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has good standard to aim at on debut and he's probably a longer-term prospect
8 (1)	Harbour Snug Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	130	b	75	-	25	-	11d	—	—	0	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well held in both his runs and has stacks to find here
11 (9)	Promise Time Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	—	-	44	-	25d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Dropped right out when 100-1 at Newcastle (7f, AW) last month; opposable
7 (3)	Golden Crossing Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Ben Robinson T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	130	—	—	-	44	-	25d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
40-1 for his Newcastle debut (7f, AW) last month and he finished out the back
NR (5)	Dovey Moon Bay J:TBC T:David Evans	J: T:David Evans	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Already been gelded and this looks a tough enough starting point

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Seraph Gabriel	5/4	5/4	5/4	6/5	11/8
Thanks Angel	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Arabian Angel	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Mystical Storm	7/1	13/2	15/2	7/1	9/1
Fitzmaurice	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	10/1
Optimatum	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Analogical	150/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
DrumcOndra	150/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Harbour Snug	200/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Promise Time	300/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	200/1
Golden Crossing	300/1	300/1	300/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Seraph Gabriel

22.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 12.1

11/8

2nd

Arabian Angel

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Thanks Angel

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Mystical Storm

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/1

Fitzmaurice

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Optimatum

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Analogical

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

DrumcOndra

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Harbour Snug

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Promise Time

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Golden Crossing

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Dovey Moon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Seraph Gabriel	—	89	70
Thanks Angel	—	87	77
Arabian Angel	—	88	76
Mystical Storm	—	86	63
Fitzmaurice	—	77	50
Optimatum	—	—	—
Analogical	—	—	—
DrumcOndra	—	—	—
Harbour Snug	—	25	—
Promise Time	—	44	—
Golden Crossing	—	44	—
Dovey Moon	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harbour Snug	11d ago	Quick return
Thanks Angel	22d ago	Fit
Promise Time	25d ago	Fit
Golden Crossing	25d ago	Fit
Fitzmaurice	29d ago	Fit
Arabian Angel	30d ago	Fit
Mystical Storm	30d ago	Fit
Seraph Gabriel	95d ago	Long break
Optimatum	—	—
Analogical	—	—
DrumcOndra	—	—
Dovey Moon	—	—