Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2024-10-07

Distance 1m5f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Simiyann Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	141	v	784492	61	66	43	4d	—	—	-17	19.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
0-17 but runner-up at Chelmsford last week and could be thereabouts once more
6 (7)	Advert Rules Bay J:David Probert T:Alan King	J:David Probert T:Alan King	133	b	794423	60	66	59	32d	—	—	-5	14.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
3yo who has posted encouraging runs over 1m4f here the last twice; the new trip could suit
5 (9)	Black Smoke Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Mark Loughnane	137	tb	135613	57	66	61	10d	—	—	+1	16.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two-time C&D winner, the latest two starts ago, and he's on the shortlist
4 (6)	Sophar Sogood Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	138	p	004210	58	66	54	16d	—	—	+5	13.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Tailed off at Chester two weeks ago but has much better strike-rate on AW; one to consider
9 (4)	Burlington House Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	125	p	6-5576	52	69	54	14d	—	—	-4	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
3yo who was a fair fifth on stable debut but hasn't shone on his three outings since
1 (1)	Samatian Black J:Dylan Hogan T:Kim Bailey	J:Dylan Hogan T:Kim Bailey	142	—	0879	62	63	49	16d	—	—	-2	4.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Winning hurdler but at a lowly level and he's been well beaten on all four Flat starts
3 (8)	Twoforthegutter Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Christopher Kellett	J:Rob Hornby T:Christopher Kellett	138	b	113207	58	66	-	33d	—	—	+4	8.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Below par the last twice but in good form for much of the summer and not discounted
7 (5)	Amasar Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	b	27-460	58	66	-	15d	—	—	0	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Tailed off on turf the last twice but the return to AW offers a glimmer of hope
NR (2)	Charlotte Square Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ryan Potter	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ryan Potter	130	ht	/666-9	50	-	-	2d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Lightly raced 4yo who has shown little worthwhile form across both codes

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Simiyann	11/8	6/4	11/8	11/8	11/8
Advert Rules	3/1	10/3	16/5	10/3	3/1
Black Smoke	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Sophar Sogood	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Burlington House	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Samatian	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	16/1
Twoforthegutter	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Amasar	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Simiyann

19.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Black Smoke

16.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Advert Rules

14.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Sophar Sogood

13.9

OR: 2 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Twoforthegutter

8.6

OR: 2 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Samatian

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Amasar

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Burlington House

2.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Charlotte Square

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Samatian	62	63	49
Simiyann	61	66	43
Advert Rules	60	66	59
Sophar Sogood	58	66	54
Twoforthegutter	58	66	—
Amasar	58	66	—
Black Smoke	57	66	61
Burlington House	52	69	54
Charlotte Square	50	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charlotte Square	2d ago	Quick return
Simiyann	4d ago	Quick return
Black Smoke	10d ago	Quick return
Burlington House	14d ago	Fit
Amasar	15d ago	Fit
Sophar Sogood	16d ago	Fit
Samatian	16d ago	Fit
Advert Rules	32d ago	Fit
Twoforthegutter	33d ago	Fit