At The Races App Form Study Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:55

At The Races App Form Study Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-07

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Invincible Crown Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Richard Hughes	J:Richard Kingscote T:Richard Hughes	136	—	332302	71	73	63	19d	—	—	-14	27.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Solid effort (behind useful rivals) on sole AW attempt; interesting back in this sphere
4 (4)	Son Of Wind Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Raul Da Silva T:Ismail Mohammed	135	—	763122	70	78	66	32d	—	—	+5	25.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has form figures of 3122 since handicapping; good second over C&D most recently; solid
1 (2)	Over Spiced Bay J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Paul Attwater	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Paul Attwater	137	—	416333	72	77	-	21d	—	—	+2	19.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Place possibilities, provided her consistency is sustained on AW/nursery debut
8 (6)	Ghostman Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	131	b	6508	66	71	-	20d	—	—	-5	7.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
This new scenario needs to prompt improvement
11 (5)	Piranha Rama Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	128	—	621413	63	77	-	49d	—	—	+13	18.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two nursery wins on turf this summer; bred to be as effective on AW; not dismissed
6 (1)	Woodhay Whisper Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	132	—	25474	67	77	49	32d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	6.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has failed to build on debut promise; held by Son Of Wind on latest effort
10 (7)	Toolatetonegotiate Grey J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Daisy Hitchins	129	—	3767	64	75	53	37d	—	—	+2	5.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Handicap debutante who has a question mark over the surface
3 (8)	Kodibeat Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	135	—	1548	70	74	38	23d	—	—	+7	8.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Tailed off at Chester last month on debut for new yard; hard to support
NR (9)	Spiritualism Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	135	tb	4393	70	73	60	32d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
May show progress, having shaped as if this drop in distance will suit; not ruled out
NR (11)	Oakley Boy Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	132	v	674646	67	76	60	18d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Inconsistent since June win; chance depends on how well he responds to headgear
NR (10)	Mirage Mistress Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	t	558	65	74	59	42d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Out of a Listed winner for one of her owners; interesting off mark of 65 on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Invincible Crown	11/10	11/10	11/10	evn	6/5
Son Of Wind	10/3	7/2	10/3	3/1	3/1
Over Spiced	5/1	9/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Ghostman	8/1	13/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Piranha Rama	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Woodhay Whisper	22/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Toolatetonegotiate	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Kodibeat	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Invincible Crown

27.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Son Of Wind

25.6

OR: 5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Over Spiced

19.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 5

11/2

Piranha Rama

18.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 14 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Spiritualism

9.5

OR: 5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Kodibeat

8.2

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ghostman

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Woodhay Whisper

6.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Toolatetonegotiate

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

28/1

Oakley Boy

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mirage Mistress

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Over Spiced	72	77	—
Invincible Crown	71	73	63
Son Of Wind	70	78	66
Kodibeat	70	74	38
Spiritualism	70	73	60
Woodhay Whisper	67	77	49
Oakley Boy	67	76	60
Ghostman	66	71	—
Mirage Mistress	65	74	59
Toolatetonegotiate	64	75	53
Piranha Rama	63	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oakley Boy	18d ago	Fit
Invincible Crown	19d ago	Fit
Ghostman	20d ago	Fit
Over Spiced	21d ago	Fit
Kodibeat	23d ago	Fit
Son Of Wind	32d ago	Fit
Woodhay Whisper	32d ago	Fit
Spiritualism	32d ago	Fit
Toolatetonegotiate	37d ago	Fit
Mirage Mistress	42d ago	Fit
Piranha Rama	49d ago	Fresh