At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

6:00

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (10)	Indivar b J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	142	t	730651	73	81	41	9d	—	—	+3	22.1	7/2 22%
Drop in trip/class saw him run out an easy winner at Newcastle; well in under penalty
9 (5)	Liosa b J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Kittow	J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Kittow	133	—	-48221	63	81	67	20d	—	—	+2	26.5	11/4 27%
This is tougher than the Kempton race he won last month but he did it easily; chance
3 (2)	Alfa Whiteburd b J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	136	—	48-421	67	78	71	16d	—	—	-7	8.7	5/1 17%
Got up late to win at Newcastle (6f) last month; respected despite the 2lb rise
6 (9)	Heroism b J:Jason Hart T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Jason Hart T:David & Nicola Barron	135	—	004980	65	78	-	20d	—	—	-4	6.8	8/1 11%
Not at his best this year and others come here with much less to prove
4 (12)	Oso Rapido b J:Tom Marquand T:Roger Fell	J:Tom Marquand T:Roger Fell	136	p	290572	66	83	-	12d	—	—	+3	11.2	12/1 8%
On a dangerous mark and ran okay on turf 12 days ago; widest stall to contend with
2 (11)	My Awele b J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	137	—	9631	68	74	65	45d	—	—	+12	18.5	14/1 7%
Easily saw off a subsequent winner over C&D on handicap debut; respected despite 8lb rise
10 (7)	Eldeyaar br J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	132	p	471341	62	78	62	12d	—	—	+14	18.9	18/1 5%
Two front-running 6f wins last month; well on top at Ripon latest; up in class; chance
5 (1)	Bellagio Man b J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	135	p	778609	65	80	63	17d	—	—	0	5.1	16/1 6%
Rated 12lb higher when winning at Newcastle last autumn; needs to step up on recent form
8 (4)	Callianassa b J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	—	8-8968	64	81	66	16d	—	—	+1	4.5	22/1 4%
0-14; has dropped to a lowly mark but needs to step up on recent AW efforts
12 (8)	Lion Ring b J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	127	—	093111	57	77	72	12d	—	—	+22	25.6	22/1 4%
Completed a Polytrack hat-trick last month; taking on stronger opposition this time
NR (3)	Em Jay Kay b J:TBC T:Phil McEntee	J: T:Phil McEntee	135	p	933165	65	79	59	12d	—	—	—	10.3	—
Recent Chelmsford run may have been needed but not much room for error off this mark
NR (6)	Bibendum b J:TBC T:Jessica Macey	J: T:Jessica Macey	132	t	0-5659	63	77	-	27d	—	—	—	3.3	—
Ground excuses last time and 5f too sharp the run before; not solid but could revive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Indivar	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
Liosa	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Alfa Whiteburd	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Heroism	8/1	7/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Oso Rapido	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	12/1
My Awele	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Eldeyaar	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Bellagio Man	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Callianassa	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Lion Ring	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Liosa

26.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 16 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Lion Ring

25.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 22.9 Odds: 1

22/1

3rd

Indivar

22.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Eldeyaar

18.9

OR: 3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

My Awele

18.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Oso Rapido

11.2

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Em Jay Kay

10.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Alfa Whiteburd

8.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Heroism

6.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Bellagio Man

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Callianassa

4.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Bibendum

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indivar Top Rated	73	81	41
My Awele	68	74	65
Alfa Whiteburd	67	78	71
Oso Rapido	66	83	—
Heroism	65	78	—
Bellagio Man	65	80	63
Em Jay Kay	65	79	59
Callianassa	64	81	66
Liosa	63	81	67
Bibendum	63	77	—
Eldeyaar	62	78	62
Lion Ring	57	77	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Indivar	9d ago	Quick return
Oso Rapido	12d ago	Quick return
Eldeyaar	12d ago	Quick return
Lion Ring	12d ago	Quick return
Em Jay Kay	12d ago	Quick return
Alfa Whiteburd	16d ago	Fit
Callianassa	16d ago	Fit
Bellagio Man	17d ago	Fit
Liosa	20d ago	Fit
Heroism	20d ago	Fit
Bibendum	27d ago	Fit
My Awele	45d ago	Fit