Native River Handicap Chase (GBB Race) – Chepstow

Chepstow

16:35

Native River Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 2m7f131y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £26,015

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Stolen Silver Grey J:Dylan Johnston(5) T:Sam Thomas	J:Dylan Johnston(5) T:Sam Thomas	164	t	P0/19-	154	167	125	315d	—	—	+13	31.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won this race very stylishly a year ago, after a break; high on the list
9	Twinjets Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	147	—	/9314-	137	166	144	288d	—	—	+19	34.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off since odds-on flop last December but won comfortably on stable deut two runs ago
5	Sail Away Grey J:Harry Atkins(7) T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Atkins(7) T:Dan Skelton	150	t	6449-P	140	167	154	148d	—	—	+17	24.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Good fourth at Doncaster in January but signed off with two disappointing runs in spring
8	Manothepeople Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	147	p	2U821-	137	161	145	178d	—	—	+29	38.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ended last season in prime form, scoring under very positive ride at Cheltenham; up 7lb
6	Ballygrifincottage Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	149	tp	P527-3	139	163	133	161d	—	—	+20	27.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well at Uttoxter in May and has possibilities if ready to roll after break
10	Pull Again Green Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal O'Brien	142	t	4-7033	132	162	118	18d	—	—	+15	22.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has twice run well to finish third in recent weeks; might have a fitness edge over some
11	Neon Moon Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	142	tb	5551-3	132	161	139	159d	—	—	+19	25.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won twice last season but is not very reliable; 4lb wrong here; others preferred
7	Toss Again Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	148	t	24-84P	138	164	89	73d	—	—	+17	24.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has become inconsistent but ran big race in Mayo National two starts ago; can't rule out
4	Arizona Cardinal Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	152	t	PP111-	142	160	144	183d	—	—	+39	46.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ended last season with game win over the big Aintree fences; resumes on career-high mark
1	Nassalam Chestnut J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	168	p	411P0-	158	165	137	182d	—	—	+30	35.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won Welsh National by wide margin here last winter; returns on a daunting handicap mark
3	Kitty's Light Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	154	—	05759-	144	162	142	168d	—	—	+21	24.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Very creditable fifth in Grand National in April; that race is his main target this season
NR	Are U Wise To That Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	142	—	14140-	132	160	135	178d	—	—	—	27.5	—	—
Dual chase winner last season; can progress again this term but is 5lb wrong today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Stolen Silver	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Twinjets	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sail Away	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Manothepeople	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Ballygrifincottage	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Pull Again Green	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Neon Moon	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	14/1
Toss Again	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Arizona Cardinal	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Nassalam	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Kitty's Light	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arizona Cardinal

46.4

OR: 23 Form: 21.3 Odds: 2.1

10/1

2nd

Manothepeople

38.5

OR: 21.8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Nassalam

35.3

OR: 27 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Twinjets

34.7

OR: 21.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Stolen Silver

31.2

OR: 26 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Are U Wise To That

27.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Ballygrifincottage

27.4

OR: 22.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Neon Moon

25.4

OR: 20.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Sail Away

24.7

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Kitty's Light

24.6

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Toss Again

24.1

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Pull Again Green

22.6

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nassalam	158	165	137
Stolen Silver	154	167	125
Kitty's Light	144	162	142
Arizona Cardinal	142	160	144
Sail Away	140	167	154
Ballygrifincottage	139	163	133
Toss Again	138	164	89
Twinjets	137	166	144
Manothepeople	137	161	145
Pull Again Green	132	162	118
Neon Moon	132	161	139
Are U Wise To That	132	160	135

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pull Again Green	18d ago	Fit
Toss Again	73d ago	Fresh
Sail Away	148d ago	Long break
Neon Moon	159d ago	Long break
Ballygrifincottage	161d ago	Long break
Kitty's Light	168d ago	Long break
Manothepeople	178d ago	Long break
Are U Wise To That	178d ago	Long break
Nassalam	182d ago	Long break
Arizona Cardinal	183d ago	Long break
Twinjets	288d ago	Long break
Stolen Silver	315d ago	Long break