Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle

Fairyhouse

2:50

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 2m2f110y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	U Asking Me b J:Hugh Morgan T:Eoin Doyle	J:Hugh Morgan T:Eoin Doyle	161	t	-P0081	88	97	56	9d	—	—	+9	23.2	11/2 15%
Up 8lb for his Clonmel win but something appears to have clicked
10	Bella Be Good b/br J:E Walsh T:Edward Cawley	J:E Walsh T:Edward Cawley	156	t	0-0263	83	97	79	4d	—	—	-1	11.9	13/2 13%
No wins in 12 but placed in two of her last three races, the latest four days ago
9	Victory Star ch J:Philip Byrnes T:C Byrnes	J:Philip Byrnes T:C Byrnes	157	—	800U-6	84	82	49	149d	—	—	-3	12.9	5/1 17%
Five Flat wins; midfield finish in a handicap hurdle on stable debut; dangerous
4	Arrycan b J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	164	—	10-020	91	95	66	71d	—	—	+3	12.9	8/1 11%
All four wins have been chasing; has threatened over hurdles but wants further
11	Shesabreeze b J:Sean Flanagan T:E McNamara	J:Sean Flanagan T:E McNamara	156	ht	6P9-34	83	88	28	52d	—	—	+1	10.9	9/1 10%
Low-mileage mare who has been beaten about 14l in her last two handicaps
13	C'Est Rien b J:Danny Mullins T:Thomas Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Thomas Mullins	154	t	7-6916	81	95	60	10d	—	—	+1	10.4	17/2 11%
Recent chase win was over 2m7f and this trip might be too sharp back over hurdles
6	Oogum Boogum b J:Mr E T Mellerick(7) T:David Kenneth Budds	J:Mr E T Mellerick(7) T:David Kenneth Budds	162	—	05-997	89	99	71	24d	—	—	+4	12	9/1 10%
Under 8l away at Tramore but the tongue-tie tried there is now left off
7	Mr Macphisto b J:Alex Harvey(5) T:Eoin Griffin	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:Eoin Griffin	161	t	214-07	88	91	61	8d	—	—	+4	11.6	10/1 9%
Feasibly-treated winner and second run after a break was a step up on the first
1	Goodie Girl b J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	168	—	98276-	95	89	78	324d	—	—	+9	15.7	14/1 7%
2m1f winner but may need longer distances now and she lacks a run
15	Ardfert Mary b J:Sean O'Keeffe T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:John Patrick Ryan	153	—	83784P	80	95	80	6d	—	—	+4	8.7	20/1 5%
Placed in a maiden hurdle and her fourth of 16 at Roscommon last month wasn't too shoddy
2	Kilbride Hill gr J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	166	—	8-615P	93	98	88	22d	—	—	+8	12	25/1 4%
Jumping frailties remain a concern but he is a recent winner having made all at Sligo
12	Klassman b J:Kieren Buckley T:Shane Nolan	J:Kieren Buckley T:Shane Nolan	155	tp	0-9007	82	78	40	64d	—	—	+5	9.1	28/1 3%
Quiet in maidens and beaten 27l and 43l in his two handicaps (2m6f/3m); opposable
5	Fairytale New York b J:Donagh Meyler T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:Donagh Meyler T:Mrs C O'Leary	164	tp	7-0U70	91	93	69	12d	—	—	+8	11.1	33/1 3%
Some promise two runs back; still lightly raced and now goes in cheekpieces
3	Breakintheclouds ch J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Patrick Downey	J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Patrick Downey	165	tp	/000-7	92	97	75	15d	—	—	+9	11	66/1 1%
Flat maiden who hasn't offered much in either of his handicaps over hurdles
NR	Perfectway b J:Ricky Doyle T:Eoin Griffin	J:Ricky Doyle T:Eoin Griffin	154	—	P70-78	81	94	74	38d	—	—	—	7.8	—
Some signs of progress made the last twice and looks capable of picking up a race

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
U Asking Me	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Bella Be Good	13/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Victory Star	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Arrycan	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Shesabreeze	15/2	8/1	8/1	17/2	9/1
C'Est Rien	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Oogum Boogum	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
Mr Macphisto	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Goodie Girl	14/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Ardfert Mary	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Kilbride Hill	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Klassman	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Fairytale New York	33/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Breakintheclouds	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

U Asking Me

23.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 9.7 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Goodie Girl

15.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

3rd

Victory Star

12.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Arrycan

12.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Oogum Boogum

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Kilbride Hill

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Bella Be Good

11.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Mr Macphisto

11.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Fairytale New York

11.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Breakintheclouds

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Shesabreeze

10.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

C'Est Rien

10.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Klassman

9.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ardfert Mary

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Perfectway

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Goodie Girl Top Rated	95	89	78
Kilbride Hill	93	98	88
Breakintheclouds	92	97	75
Arrycan	91	95	66
Fairytale New York	91	93	69
Oogum Boogum	89	99	71
U Asking Me	88	97	56
Mr Macphisto	88	91	61
Victory Star	84	82	49
Bella Be Good	83	97	79
Shesabreeze	83	88	28
Klassman	82	78	40
C'Est Rien	81	95	60
Perfectway	81	94	74
Ardfert Mary	80	95	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Be Good	4d ago	Quick return
Ardfert Mary	6d ago	Quick return
Mr Macphisto	8d ago	Quick return
U Asking Me	9d ago	Quick return
C'Est Rien	10d ago	Quick return
Fairytale New York	12d ago	Quick return
Breakintheclouds	15d ago	Fit
Kilbride Hill	22d ago	Fit
Oogum Boogum	24d ago	Fit
Perfectway	38d ago	Fit
Shesabreeze	52d ago	Fresh
Klassman	64d ago	Fresh
Arrycan	71d ago	Fresh
Victory Star	149d ago	Long break
Goodie Girl	324d ago	Long break