Frank Lynch & Co Chartered Certified Accountants Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle

Fairyhouse

16:05

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 2m

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Ragmans Corner Brown J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Gerard Keane	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Gerard Keane	174	—	85-271	101	94	77	4d	—	—	-4	20	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Carries a 7lb penalty for Galway win, could be more to come from the locally trained 5yo
3	Flashthelights Bay J:James Smith(7) T:Noel C Kelly	J:James Smith(7) T:Noel C Kelly	166	tp	-61341	93	96	89	66d	—	—	+13	30.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Up 5lb for Wexford win on latest, trip and ground fine, should go well again
2	Breagagh Bay J:Mr N Gault(7) T:S Michael Millar	J:Mr N Gault(7) T:S Michael Millar	166	p	P3-522	93	99	92	1d	—	—	0	15.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Dual-purpose maiden, went close last start over timber, declared at Downpatrick on Friday
6	Moulane West Bay J:Oakley Brown(5) T:Mark Michael McNiff	J:Oakley Brown(5) T:Mark Michael McNiff	160	tp	3F3354	87	98	90	12d	—	—	0	15.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-24 over hurdles, placed in four of last six runs, place claims in first-time cheekpieces
9	Papa Barns Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Tom Dreaper	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Tom Dreaper	153	—	48-720	80	101	74	86d	—	—	+1	9.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Third over C&D at this meeting last year, good effort at Punchestown in June, interesting
4	Blackcastle Storm Black J:Keith Donoghue T:Matthew J Smith	J:Keith Donoghue T:Matthew J Smith	162	t	P80-80	89	86	38	—	—	—	+5	11.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-5 over hurdles, no promise in four maidens and a handicap, can only watch down in trip
11	Romella Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	J:Danny Gilligan T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	153	tp	874676	80	98	80	9d	—	—	+3	9.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
No win over hurdles since 2021, well-handicapped on old form but others look more likely
8	Blackstone Cliff Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gerard Keane	J:Sam Ewing T:Gerard Keane	153	t	/8955F	80	92	82	55d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Promise at Wexford on penultimate, fell on latest, place claims if jumping improves
5	Cleopatra's Needle Chestnut J:Sean Flanagan T:H Rogers	J:Sean Flanagan T:H Rogers	160	ht	795	87	91	82	—	—	—	+7	10.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Handicap hurdle debutante, ordinary efforts in maidens, best watched unless money comes
12	Kp's Ladyofknock Brown J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	152	—	-00PP0	80	94	58	8d	—	—	+6	7.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Huge odds and well-beaten all six starts; hard to make a case for on all known form
NR	Dream Escape Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Thomas Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Thomas Mullins	159	h	00-903	86	99	67	8d	—	—	—	9	—	—
0-7 over hurdles, best effort yet at Gowran on latest, can go close if he settles better
NR	Rene Artois Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:J A Nash	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:J A Nash	153	t	00P-54	80	92	63	2d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
0-6 over hurdles but promise on latest at Gowran, each-way claims if backing that up

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ragmans Corner	5/2	9/4	5/2
Flashthelights	10/3	7/2	4/1
Breagagh	11/2	9/2	5/1
Moulane West	6/1	5/1	5/1
Papa Barns	8/1	10/1	17/2
Blackcastle Storm	11/1	11/1	11/1
Romella	16/1	14/1	14/1
Blackstone Cliff	14/1	18/1	16/1
Cleopatra's Needle	20/1	22/1	20/1
Kp's Ladyofknock	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flashthelights

30.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Ragmans Corner

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Moulane West

15.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Breagagh

15.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Blackcastle Storm

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Cleopatra's Needle

10.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Papa Barns

9.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Romella

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Dream Escape

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Blackstone Cliff

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Kp's Ladyofknock

7.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Rene Artois

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ragmans Corner	101	94	77
Flashthelights	93	96	89
Breagagh	93	99	92
Blackcastle Storm	89	86	38
Moulane West	87	98	90
Cleopatra's Needle	87	91	82
Dream Escape	86	99	67
Papa Barns	80	101	74
Romella	80	98	80
Blackstone Cliff	80	92	82
Kp's Ladyofknock	80	94	58
Rene Artois	80	92	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Breagagh	1d ago	Quick return
Rene Artois	2d ago	Quick return
Ragmans Corner	4d ago	Quick return
Kp's Ladyofknock	8d ago	Quick return
Dream Escape	8d ago	Quick return
Romella	9d ago	Quick return
Moulane West	12d ago	Quick return
Blackstone Cliff	55d ago	Fresh
Flashthelights	66d ago	Fresh
Papa Barns	86d ago	Fresh
Blackcastle Storm	—	—
Cleopatra's Needle	—	—