@leicesterraces Next Meeting Monday 28th October Handicap

Leicester

17:35

Date 2024-10-15

Distance 1m53y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 1m 55.44s (slow by 14.64s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Equion (GB) Hector Crouch · Tony Carroll	7/2	Won
2nd	Astronomica (GB) George Wood · Dr Jon Scargill	16/5F	1.5
3rd	Andromedas Kingdom (IRE) Sean D Bowen · Michael Appleby	20/1	2
4th	Swatch (IRE) Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	22/1	1.25
5th	Soi Dao (IRE) Millie Wonnacott · Adrian Wintle	12/1	1
6th	Marsh Benham (IRE) Charles Bishop · George Baker	16/1	1.25
7th	Diffident Spirit (GB) Ray Dawson · T J Kent	5/1	1.25
8th	Alika Breeze (GER) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	12/1	.75
9th	Harswell Duke (IRE) Jason Hart · Liam Bailey	8/1	0.3
10th	Blue Collar (IRE) David Nolan · David Evans	17/2	3.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (8)	Equion Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Tony Carroll	J:Hector Crouch T:Tony Carroll	133	—	504362	63	78	69	14d	—	—	-3	15	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well treated and he has run well in two of his last three races; conditions are fine
10 (7)	Astronomica Bay J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	130	—	24-025	60	78	57	31d	—	—	-9	7.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has won twice on soft; could have needed the run on the AW latest, after three months away
4 (6)	Diffident Spirit Bay J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	136	—	202-95	66	83	58	11d	—	—	-6	8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
No concrete evidence this season (following an absence) that he's as good as he was
5 (1)	Blue Collar Bay J:David Nolan T:David Evans	J:David Nolan T:David Evans	135	—	-02495	68	78	58	46d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Chance on best form but still a maiden and ground this slow could be an issue
1 (3)	Harswell Duke Bay J:Jason Hart T:Liam Bailey	J:Jason Hart T:Liam Bailey	138	—	598585	68	78	55	8d	—	—	-2	7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Suited by soft/heavy but winless since the 2023 Spring Mile; below par of late
9 (4)	Alika Breeze Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	131	—	-78781	64	79	51	14d	—	—	+8	15.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hadn't offered much in handicaps until winning off a reduced mark from Soi Dao at Bath
6 (2)	Soi Dao Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Adrian Wintle	134	—	433902	64	79	70	14d	—	—	+5	12.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has won on soft; back to form when pushing Alika Breeze to within a length at Bath
3 (5)	Marsh Benham Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	138	p	433391	68	81	61	7d	—	—	+12	19.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Perhaps flattered to win so well at Brighton as the pace collapsed up ahead of him
7 (10)	Andromedas Kingdom Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Michael Appleby	134	p	112188	64	79	62	14d	—	—	+8	13.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three-time winner this year but now needs to bounce back from quieter runs
2 (9)	Swatch Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	138	—	6-0132	68	77	59	127d	—	—	0	6.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Capable handicapper but makes stable debut after a lengthy break and that's offputting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Equion	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Astronomica	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Diffident Spirit	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Blue Collar	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Harswell Duke	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Alika Breeze	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Soi Dao	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Marsh Benham	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Andromedas Kingdom	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Swatch	20/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marsh Benham

19.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 13 Odds: 2.1

12/1

2nd

Alika Breeze

15.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

11/1

3rd

Equion

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Andromedas Kingdom

13.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Soi Dao

12.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Blue Collar

9.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Diffident Spirit

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Astronomica

7.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Harswell Duke

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Swatch

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Collar	68	78	58
Harswell Duke	68	78	55
Marsh Benham	68	81	61
Swatch	68	77	59
Diffident Spirit	66	83	58
Alika Breeze	64	79	51
Soi Dao	64	79	70
Andromedas Kingdom	64	79	62
Equion	63	78	69
Astronomica	60	78	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marsh Benham	7d ago	Quick return
Harswell Duke	8d ago	Quick return
Diffident Spirit	11d ago	Quick return
Equion	14d ago	Fit
Alika Breeze	14d ago	Fit
Soi Dao	14d ago	Fit
Andromedas Kingdom	14d ago	Fit
Astronomica	31d ago	Fit
Blue Collar	46d ago	Fresh
Swatch	127d ago	Long break