Happy Valley

13:40

Speedy Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Date 2024-10-16
Distance 6f
Class
Going Good To Firm
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Decrelot
Bay
J:TBC
T:David A Hayes
J:
T:David A Hayes
128 p
52
-
-
0.5
Reasonably well-bred debutant who did finish second in a trial race; reserve.
R14 (14)
Exuberant
Brown
J:TBC
T:C S Shum
J:
T:C S Shum
132 tb 188090
56
74
-
10d
1.5
Badly out of form in five starts since winning over C&D in April; reserve.
1 (11)
Excellent Peers
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:F C Lor
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:F C Lor
135 h -65097
59
78
-
28d
2.3
Can boast lots of C&D winning form but not since 2022; has won off 13lb higher.
2 (2)
Golden Luck
Bay
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:K L Man
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:K L Man
135 t 180601
59
70
-
28d
12.3
Raised 6lb for C&D win four weeks ago; personal best required if he is to win again.
3 (5)
Joy Coming
b/br
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
132 tb 377460
56
77
-
21d
1.5
Searching for his fourth C&D win but both recent starts have been underwhelming.
4 (10)
Circus Reel
Bay
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:D J Hall
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:D J Hall
128 8
52
57
-
15d
0.5
Did not show enough on recent debut to make him of any great interest in this company.
5 (4)
Embraces
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:Jamie Richards
J:Zac Purton
T:Jamie Richards
128 t 2057
52
75
-
21d
2
Failed to get clear run when favourite for similar contest three weeks ago; Purton booked.
6 (12)
Glory Cloud
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C Fownes
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C Fownes
128 t 403273
52
73
-
21d
6.9
Knocking at the door of a first win; wide draw may not preclude another bold show.
7 (9)
Super Treasure
Bay
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:C W Chang
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:C W Chang
126 p
50
31
-
107d
0
145-1 when last of 14 over 5f at Sha Tin in July on his only start; gelded since.
8 (6)
Champion Method
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:C S Shum
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:C S Shum
125 t 575609
49
76
-
18d
0
Badly out of form, hence he is now 3lb lower than for either of his two wins.
9 (3)
Sea Air Legend
Bay
J:H T Mo(2)
T:Y S Tsui
J:H T Mo(2)
T:Y S Tsui
124 h 890000
48
75
-
18d
0
Hood added but he's likely to suffer another heavy defeat after seven modest efforts.
10 (7)
Colonel
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
123 b 442061
47
72
-
21d
11.5
Made all over C&D last time; 7lb rise since could prove beyond this old-timer.
11 (1)
Shinkansen
Chestnut
J:Karis Teetan
T:Douglas Whyte
J:Karis Teetan
T:Douglas Whyte
121 ht 637032
45
80
-
21d
7.7
Has run well in defeat over C&D twice already this season; another bold showing expected.
12 (8)
Circuit Ten
Bay
J:Ben E Thompson
T:W Y So
J:Ben E Thompson
T:W Y So
116 het 0-7000
40
79
-
98d
0
GB import who has run poorly in HK; back from layoff for new trainer off career-low mark.

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Golden Luck
12.3
OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0
2nd Colonel
11.5
OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0
3rd Shinkansen
7.7
OR: 0 Form: 7.7 Odds: 0
4 Glory Cloud
6.9
OR: 0.5 Form: 6.4 Odds: 0
5 Excellent Peers
2.3
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
6 Embraces
2
OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
7 Exuberant
1.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Joy Coming
1.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Decrelot
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Circus Reel
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Super Treasure
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Champion Method
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Sea Air Legend
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Circuit Ten
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Excellent Peers
59
78
Golden Luck
59
70
Exuberant
56
74
Joy Coming
56
77
Decrelot
52
Circus Reel
52
57
Embraces
52
75
Glory Cloud
52
73
Super Treasure
50
31
Champion Method
49
76
Sea Air Legend
48
75
Colonel
47
72
Shinkansen
45
80
Circuit Ten
40
79

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Exuberant 10d ago Quick return
Circus Reel 15d ago Fit
Champion Method 18d ago Fit
Sea Air Legend 18d ago Fit
Joy Coming 21d ago Fit
Embraces 21d ago Fit
Glory Cloud 21d ago Fit
Colonel 21d ago Fit
Shinkansen 21d ago Fit
Excellent Peers 28d ago Fit
Golden Luck 28d ago Fit
Circuit Ten 98d ago Long break
Super Treasure 107d ago Long break
Decrelot

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.