Success Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

12:05

Success Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Date 2024-10-16

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £49,296

Winning Time 1m 10.12s (slow by 0.42s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Woodfire Champ (NZ) C Y Ho · C W Chang	73/10	Won
2nd	E Glory (AUS) Matthew Chadwick · W K Mo	81/10	0.3
3rd	Verbier (FR) Brenton Avdulla · C Fownes	29/10F	.75
4th	Podium (AUS) Matthew Poon · David Eustace	9/1	0.05
5th	Wind Speeder (AUS) Alexis Badel · Y S Tsui	19/1	0.05
6th	Hero Star (AUS) Hugh Bowman · K L Man	63/10	.5
7th	The Concentration (AUS) L J Ferraris · P F Yiu	39/1	.5
8th	Falcon Court (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · David A Hayes	57/10	0.3
9th	Super Eagle (AUS) Karis Teetan · W Y So	32/1	0.3
10th	Gorgeous Vitality (AUS) Lyle Hewitson · F C Lor	30/1	0.3
11th	Speedy Chariot (NZ) Zac Purton · Douglas Whyte	9/2	0.3
12th	Alloy King (AUS) Harry Bentley · Jimmy Ting	35/1	2.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Same To You Brown J:TBC T:Mark Newnham	J: T:Mark Newnham	133	het	863717	37	56	-	15d	—	—	—	7.9	—	—
Broke his maiden tag on return last month; held off his elevated mark since
R14 (14)	Happy Feeling b/br J:TBC T:Jamie Richards	J: T:Jamie Richards	129	tb	003006	33	62	-	35d	—	—	—	0.9	—	—
Placed twice in better company last season but was generally inconsistent; held on return
1 (5)	Hero Star b/br J:Hugh Bowman T:K L Man	J:Hugh Bowman T:K L Man	135	t	416970	39	65	-	21d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Cut little ice since upped in Class; return to this level today is a big positive
2 (6)	The Concentration br/bl J:L J Ferraris T:P F Yiu	J:L J Ferraris T:P F Yiu	135	et	001000	39	54	-	31d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Made his breakthrough in June but his three subsequent outings have been disappointing
3 (1)	Falcon Court b/br J:Andrea Atzeni T:David A Hayes	J:Andrea Atzeni T:David A Hayes	133	tp	963300	37	60	-	28d	—	—	—	2.4	—	—
Twice placed in a higher grade last season; likely to come on for his return last month
4 (9)	Gorgeous Vitality Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:F C Lor	J:Lyle Hewitson T:F C Lor	132	t	976046	36	58	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Posted a fair effort on his seasonal return last month; more than capable of striking
5 (12)	Speedy Chariot Bay J:Zac Purton T:Douglas Whyte	J:Zac Purton T:Douglas Whyte	132	tb	377042	36	61	-	21d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Built upon an encouraging seasonal return when second last month; may break through
6 (11)	Super Eagle Chestnut J:Karis Teetan T:W Y So	J:Karis Teetan T:W Y So	132	t	744630	36	63	-	21d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
Modest strike-rate but nearly always gives his running; can bounce back from a tame effort
7 (3)	Verbier Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:C Fownes	J:Brenton Avdulla T:C Fownes	132	b	000044	36	52	-	10d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	—	0	—	—
Has shown improvement in recent times; further progress makes him a place contender
8 (7)	Woodfire Champ Bay J:C Y Ho T:C W Chang	J:C Y Ho T:C W Chang	128	tp	596983	32	60	-	21d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Took a big step forward when making the frame on his reappearance; likely more to come
9 (2)	E Glory Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:W K Mo	J:Matthew Chadwick T:W K Mo	127	tb	-40904	31	66	-	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Posted a creditable effort when fourth two weeks ago; now needs to build on that run
10 (8)	Alloy King Bay J:Harry Bentley T:Jimmy Ting	J:Harry Bentley T:Jimmy Ting	125	v	006080	29	65	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
5-57; out of form towards the end of last season and has continued that trend this term
11 (4)	Podium Brown J:Matthew Poon(2) T:David Eustace	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:David Eustace	123	t	000007	27	61	-	104d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Switch in stable brought about no improvement last season; now with his third trainer
12 (10)	Wind Speeder Bay J:Alexis Badel T:Y S Tsui	J:Alexis Badel T:Y S Tsui	121	—	594986	25	62	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Losing sequence dates back to July 2022; awkward stall to overcome here

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Same To You

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Speedy Chariot

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

The Concentration

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Woodfire Champ

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Falcon Court

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0

—

Super Eagle

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Hero Star

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Happy Feeling

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Gorgeous Vitality

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Verbier

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

E Glory

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Alloy King

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Podium

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Wind Speeder

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hero Star	39	65	—
The Concentration	39	54	—
Same To You	37	56	—
Falcon Court	37	60	—
Gorgeous Vitality	36	58	—
Speedy Chariot	36	61	—
Super Eagle	36	63	—
Verbier	36	52	—
Happy Feeling	33	62	—
Woodfire Champ	32	60	—
E Glory	31	66	—
Alloy King	29	65	—
Podium	27	61	—
Wind Speeder	25	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Verbier	10d ago	Quick return
Same To You	15d ago	Fit
E Glory	15d ago	Fit
Hero Star	21d ago	Fit
Speedy Chariot	21d ago	Fit
Super Eagle	21d ago	Fit
Woodfire Champ	21d ago	Fit
Alloy King	21d ago	Fit
Wind Speeder	21d ago	Fit
Falcon Court	28d ago	Fit
Gorgeous Vitality	28d ago	Fit
The Concentration	31d ago	Fit
Happy Feeling	35d ago	Fit
Podium	104d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.