Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

18:45

Date 2024-10-16

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 2m 19.79s (slow by 1.89s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bas Bleu (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	8/1	Won
2nd	Speriamo (GB) Adam Farragher · Philip McBride	9/1	.5
3rd	Loving Look (GB) Oisin Murphy · Hughie Morrison	11/8F	0.1
4th	Salamanca City (IRE) Ross Coakley · James Fanshawe	15/2	1.75
5th	True Wisdom (IRE) Neil Callan · Charlie Johnston	9/1	0.1
6th	Placeholder (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	16/1	.5
7th	Alvesta (GB) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	14/1	.75
8th	Miss Bielsa (GB) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	33/1	1.75
9th	Ever Hopefull (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	5/1	3.75
10th	Ellexis (IRE) Elisha Whittington · Roger Teal	66/1	11

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Loving Look Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	138	—	325213	77	80	74	26d	—	—	-4	31.7	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Low-mileage 3yo; off the mark at Kempton on penultimate run; respected back here
8 (8)	Bas Bleu Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	133	h	328323	72	83	16	42d	—	—	+5	18.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
3yo maiden who is largely consistent; possibilities if taking well to hood
9 (9)	Ever Hopefull Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	733	69	77	-	28d	—	—	+3	12.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Nicely bred and looks the type to do well now qualified for handicaps; interesting
4 (1)	True Wisdom Bay J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	138	—	776428	77	82	57	21d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Inconsistent this term and proved a disappointing favourite last time
6 (7)	Salamanca City Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	135	—	532216	74	79	15	36d	—	—	+11	20.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Disappointing last time but may still have more to offer; has shown promise here
10 (6)	Alvesta Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	127	—	435529	66	78	74	28d	—	—	+2	10.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
3yo maiden who has some respectable form; gets weight all round; not ruled out
7 (10)	Placeholder Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	135	—	4-1346	74	79	56	31d	—	—	+1	7.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Regressed the last twice; doubtful stayer upped further in trip
2 (4)	Speriamo Grey J:Adam Farragher T:Philip McBride	J:Adam Farragher T:Philip McBride	139	—	586612	73	81	23	25d	—	—	+13	19.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back in good form the last twice and remains well treated on historical data
5 (2)	Miss Bielsa Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	137	t	139	76	78	22	127d	—	—	+11	14.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Fair form in two runs at Wolverhampton; absent since poor effort on turf in June
1 (5)	Ellexis Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Roger Teal	140	—	7464-1	74	78	44	271d	—	—	+14	16.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Absent since clearcut win over 9.5f in January; stamina to prove over new trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Loving Look	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	11/8
Bas Bleu	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Ever Hopefull	15/2	15/2	15/2	13/2	15/2
True Wisdom	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Salamanca City	10/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Alvesta	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Placeholder	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Speriamo	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Miss Bielsa	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Ellexis	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Loving Look

31.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Salamanca City

20.1

OR: 6 Form: 11.6 Odds: 2.5

10/1

3rd

Speriamo

19.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 12 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Bas Bleu

18.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 9 Odds: 4

11/2

Ellexis

16.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Miss Bielsa

14.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1

28/1

Ever Hopefull

12.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

True Wisdom

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Alvesta

10.3

OR: 4 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Placeholder

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Loving Look	77	80	74
True Wisdom	77	82	57
Miss Bielsa	76	78	22
Salamanca City	74	79	15
Placeholder	74	79	56
Ellexis	74	78	44
Speriamo	73	81	23
Bas Bleu	72	83	16
Ever Hopefull	69	77	—
Alvesta	66	78	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
True Wisdom	21d ago	Fit
Speriamo	25d ago	Fit
Loving Look	26d ago	Fit
Ever Hopefull	28d ago	Fit
Alvesta	28d ago	Fit
Placeholder	31d ago	Fit
Salamanca City	36d ago	Fit
Bas Bleu	42d ago	Fit
Miss Bielsa	127d ago	Long break
Ellexis	271d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.