Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

17:40

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-19

Distance 1m

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €17,700

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Desmond Castle Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	126	—	0U402	78	91	70	20d	—	—	-3	17.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Beaten 1/2l by stablemate Montpellier Green in a Curragh nursery; 3lb better off; a player
3 (3)	Yamal Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	b	3463	80	93	79	57d	—	—	-2	17.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Third in a Killarney nursery last time over this trip; blinkers now and off the same mark
2 (6)	Montpellier Green Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	b	0441	80	94	75	20d	—	—	+8	21.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won a 7f nursery at the Curragh; up 9lb but top claimer takes over so has to be respected
5 (2)	Native Honey Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	122	—	4870	74	87	68	20d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Beaten 6l by Montpellier Green on nursery debut last time but can improve from that
1 (7)	Medici Venus Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	136	b	0421	88	89	54	25d	—	—	+15	26.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won a Listowel maiden over this trip; should run a big race once handling this soft ground
6 (8)	Runninsonofagun Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Anthony Mullins	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Anthony Mullins	120	—	44613	72	89	79	43d	—	—	+9	18.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Beaten 7l in a Down Royal nursery over 7f last time; has to do better off the same mark
8 (4)	Expert Analysis Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:W Ross	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:W Ross	119	b	0769	71	92	64	20d	—	—	+1	6.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Nearly 6l behind Montpellier Green in a 7f nursery at the Curragh last time; blinkers on
9 (9)	Faoladh Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	119	t	660	71	83	79	9d	—	—	+3	6.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Encounters soft ground for nursery debut; has to improve and is 1lb out of the handicap
7 (1)	Shocker Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:E J O'Neill	J:Seamie Heffernan T:E J O'Neill	120	p	720455	72	92	50	30d	—	—	+4	7.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Second in maidens earlier in the season but was poor in a nursery and claimer lately

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Desmond Castle	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Yamal	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
Montpellier Green	11/2	11/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Native Honey	6/1	11/2	11/2	13/2	13/2
Medici Venus	6/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1
Runninsonofagun	9/1	17/2	8/1	9/1	9/1
Expert Analysis	14/1	16/1	14/1	18/1	16/1
Faoladh	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Shocker	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Medici Venus

26.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Montpellier Green

21.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Runninsonofagun

18.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Desmond Castle

17.7

OR: 7 Form: 4.6 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Yamal

17.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Native Honey

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Shocker

7.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Expert Analysis

6.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Faoladh

6.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Medici Venus	88	89	54
Yamal	80	93	79
Montpellier Green	80	94	75
Desmond Castle	78	91	70
Native Honey	74	87	68
Runninsonofagun	72	89	79
Shocker	72	92	50
Expert Analysis	71	92	64
Faoladh	71	83	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Faoladh	9d ago	Quick return
Desmond Castle	20d ago	Fit
Montpellier Green	20d ago	Fit
Native Honey	20d ago	Fit
Expert Analysis	20d ago	Fit
Medici Venus	25d ago	Fit
Shocker	30d ago	Fit
Runninsonofagun	43d ago	Fit
Yamal	57d ago	Fresh