Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:15

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2024-10-22

Distance 1m4f99y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,190

Winning Time 2m 40.64s (slow by 2.84s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dramatic Star (GB) Harry Davies · William Haggas	EvensF	Won
2nd	La Pulga (IRE) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	14/1	.5
3rd	King Lear (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	3/1	0.3
4th	Get Shirty (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	16/1	2.75
5th	Lucander (IRE) Hollie Doyle · George Baker	14/1	3.5
6th	Chichester (GB) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	66/1	1
7th	Kolossal (GER) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	20/1	.75
8th	Marhaba The Champ (GB) Robert Havlin · Kevin Ryan	9/1	.75
9th	Capital Theory (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	33/1	26

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (3)	Dramatic Star Bay J:Harry Davies T:William Haggas	J:Harry Davies T:William Haggas	120	—	32100	85	105	-	59d	—	—	-10	28.4	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Dam 2-2 on the AW (Polytrack) for the yard and he still has potential having been gelded
3 (9)	King Lear Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	tb	6-6627	92	105	90	38d	—	—	-3	15.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Solid effort on his Tapeta debut in August but still to conclusively prove his stamina
5 (4)	Marhaba The Champ Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Ryan	J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	9-0004	91	104	-	33d	—	—	+4	12.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Best run of the season latest and is on his last winning mark; shortlisted on his AW debut
8 (7)	Get Shirty Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	129	—	536400	88	107	-	62d	—	—	+5	12	3.00/1	12/1 8%
This is less competitive off a career-low mark; claims if stamina comes into the equation
7 (1)	La Pulga Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	632316	88	104	96	31d	—	—	+14	22.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Handicap wins have come off lower marks, mainly in smaller fields; may not get his own way
1 (6)	Kolossal Grey J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	142	—	127-87	101	105	-	108d	—	—	+8	14.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dual Group 3 winner in Germany in 2023; AW debut back from a break; can do better
2 (8)	Lucander Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	140	tb	-33500	99	106	-	126d	—	—	+9	15.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Off four months since a couple of ordinary efforts in good-quality handicaps in the summer
6 (5)	Capital Theory Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	412090	89	103	24	60d	—	—	+11	14	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two-month break since a few poor efforts in the summer; La Pulga is his yard's best chance
4 (2)	Chichester Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	133	t	7-9607	92	94	65	31d	—	—	+9	11.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
A string of poor efforts for his current yard this season leave him hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Dramatic Star	11/10	11/10	11/10
King Lear	7/2	7/2	7/2
Marhaba The Champ	17/2	9/1	17/2
Get Shirty	12/1	10/1	11/1
La Pulga	11/1	11/1	11/1
Kolossal	14/1	14/1	14/1
Lucander	16/1	16/1	16/1
Capital Theory	33/1	33/1	33/1
Chichester	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dramatic Star

28.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 12.5

11/10

2nd

La Pulga

22.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.2

11/1

3rd

King Lear

15.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Lucander

15.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Kolossal

14.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Capital Theory

OR: 9.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Marhaba The Champ

12.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Get Shirty

OR: 9.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Chichester

11.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kolossal	101	105	—
Lucander	99	106	—
King Lear	92	105	90
Chichester	92	94	65
Marhaba The Champ	91	104	—
Capital Theory	89	103	24
Get Shirty	88	107	—
La Pulga	88	104	96
Dramatic Star	85	105	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
La Pulga	31d ago	Fit
Chichester	31d ago	Fit
Marhaba The Champ	33d ago	Fit
King Lear	38d ago	Fit
Dramatic Star	59d ago	Fresh
Capital Theory	60d ago	Fresh
Get Shirty	62d ago	Fresh
Kolossal	108d ago	Long break
Lucander	126d ago	Long break