William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

17:25

William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap

Date 2024-10-25

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (15)	Azahara Palace Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	141	—	186793	76	86	65	35d	—	—	-3	14.5	4/1 20%
Form of latest soft-ground Newbury third solid; player with Oisin Murphy retaining ride
10 (4)	Skinny Malinka Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	132	—	72542	71	80	55	20d	—	—	-1	17	4/1 20%
Good second over 1m2f at Redcar (soft) latest and this 3yo could have more to offer
5 (2)	Croeso Cymraeg Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:James Evans	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:James Evans	138	—	392361	73	84	77	10d	—	—	+7	23.8	9/2 18%
Escapes penalty for Leicester apprentice win under Tom Kiely-Marshall; obvious chance
3 (9)	Tele Red Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	140	—	-25743	75	85	60	24d	—	—	+4	12.8	9/1 10%
Soft-ground win last autumn; arrives in form and has to enter reckoning
1 (3)	Roxanne Bay J:James Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:James Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	142	—	-27072	77	85	24	38d	—	—	+5	15.6	10/1 9%
Soft-ground winner in Germany; back-to-form second at Yarmouth latest; contender
9 (1)	Monteria Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Stuart Kittow	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Stuart Kittow	133	tp	008052	68	83	57	16d	—	—	+5	11.1	16/1 6%
Soft-ground winner and back to form in mud this autumn, second at Nottingham latest
14 (12)	Powerful Response Bay J:David Allan T:Geoffrey Harker	J:David Allan T:Geoffrey Harker	127	p	677463	62	86	66	20d	—	—	+2	7.6	16/1 6%
On good mark; better signs when third at Redcar latest but Skinny Malinka ahead in second
6 (14)	Miaswell Bay J:Oisin Orr T:David O'Meara	J:Oisin Orr T:David O'Meara	137	t	513147	76	83	70	37d	—	—	+9	16.3	12/1 8%
Both wins on soft but yet to conclusively prove he stays 1m2f
12 (13)	Shifter Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	131	—	130567	66	85	77	62d	—	—	+2	5.7	25/1 4%
Won back to back in May (including on soft) but mixed record since; off two months
15 (10)	This Years Love Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	126	—	112910	65	81	75	35d	—	—	+12	15.1	28/1 3%
All wins at Beverley on good to firm; below par in previous outings on softer than good
8 (6)	Poet's Dawn Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	135	p	237164	70	81	68	18d	—	—	+7	12	20/1 5%
Held both starts since Carlisle win on soft in August but yard in fine form at present
4 (7)	Young Fire Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	139	v	142179	74	84	68	24d	—	—	+11	13.2	40/1 2%
13th win when landing amateur riders' event at York last month but below par twice since
13 (8)	Lunar Jet Chestnut J:Jimmy Quinn T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Steph Hollinshead	127	—	-57595	62	81	75	42d	—	—	+1	3.8	33/1 3%
Mud lover with a career-low mark and might have failed to stay 1m6/2m the latest twice
7 (11)	Mandarb Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	136	—	-16471	75	82	63	83d	—	—	+17	18.8	40/1 2%
Dual winner in France, including on heavy; betting should guide on British debut
NR (5)	Contrast Chestnut J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	0-2165	66	83	66	25d	—	—	+2	4.6	40/1 2%
Ripon win in May; below par twice since but may have needed latest after break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Azahara Palace	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Skinny Malinka	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Croeso Cymraeg	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Tele Red	8/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Roxanne	10/1	15/2	13/2	13/2	15/2
Monteria	12/1	16/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Powerful Response	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Miaswell	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Shifter	20/1	25/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
This Years Love	22/1	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Poet's Dawn	20/1	18/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Young Fire	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Lunar Jet	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	25/1
Mandarb	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Contrast	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Croeso Cymraeg

23.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 13 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Mandarb

18.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0.6

40/1

3rd

Skinny Malinka

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Miaswell

16.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Roxanne

15.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.9

10/1

This Years Love

15.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Azahara Palace

14.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

Young Fire

13.2

OR: 6 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Tele Red

12.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Poet's Dawn

OR: 5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Monteria

11.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Powerful Response

7.6

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Shifter

5.7

OR: 4 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Contrast

4.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Lunar Jet

3.8

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roxanne	77	85	24
Azahara Palace	76	86	65
Miaswell	76	83	70
Tele Red	75	85	60
Mandarb	75	82	63
Young Fire	74	84	68
Croeso Cymraeg	73	84	77
Skinny Malinka	71	80	55
Poet's Dawn	70	81	68
Monteria	68	83	57
Shifter	66	85	77
Contrast	66	83	66
This Years Love	65	81	75
Powerful Response	62	86	66
Lunar Jet	62	81	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Croeso Cymraeg	10d ago	Quick return
Monteria	16d ago	Fit
Poet's Dawn	18d ago	Fit
Skinny Malinka	20d ago	Fit
Powerful Response	20d ago	Fit
Tele Red	24d ago	Fit
Young Fire	24d ago	Fit
Contrast	25d ago	Fit
Azahara Palace	35d ago	Fit
This Years Love	35d ago	Fit
Miaswell	37d ago	Fit
Roxanne	38d ago	Fit
Lunar Jet	42d ago	Fit
Shifter	62d ago	Fresh
Mandarb	83d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Roxanne	Prominent
Miaswell	Hold Up
Young Fire	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 15 runners classified.