Brown Advisory Novices' Handicap Chase – Wincanton

Wincanton

15:52

Brown Advisory Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2024-10-27

Distance 2m4f35y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,829

Winning Time 5m 2.13s (slow by 7.13s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Camino Rocio (IRE) Jack Tudor · Jim & Suzi Best	16/5	Won
2nd	Eyed (GB) David Bass · Hughie Morrison	11/4F	3.75
3rd	Mr Sociable (GB) Philip Armson · Chris Down	16/1	1.25
4th	Celtic Fortune (IRE) James Bowen · Neil Mulholland	15/2	6.5
5th	Universal Secret (IRE) Paul O'Brien · Helen Nelmes	20/1	.75
6th	Nadim (IRE) Robbie David · Daisy Hitchins	12/1	9.5
7th	I Am Gonna Be (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Charlie Longsdon	16/1	16
8th	Poker Master (IRE) Tom Buckley · Philip McBride	22/1	25

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	American Land (IRE) Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	5/1
P.U.	Bella Ciao (GB) James Best · Martin Keighley	20/1
P.U.	Stopherandgo (IRE) Bryan Carver · Kevin Pickard	28/1
P.U.	What A Steal (IRE) Jack Hogan · Tom George	22/1

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Eyed Bay J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	168	t	4624-4	100	108	85	168d	—	—	-13	24.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-6 over fences for Paul Webber but starts off for new stable on a workable mark
3	American Land Brown J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	166	t	/479-3	98	-	-	10d	—	—	+6	18.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Third in recent maiden hurdle here; open to improvement on chase/handicap debut
NR	Paddy In The Caddy Chestnut J:TBC T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J: T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	161	—	06714-	93	-	-	191d	—	—	+10	20.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won on handicap hurdle debut in March and is an interesting prospect for fences
8	Celtic Fortune Bay J:James Bowen T:Neil Mulholland	J:James Bowen T:Neil Mulholland	157	tp	6P4-43	89	-	-	154d	—	—	+3	12.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-12 over hurdles but ran quite well in May on latest outing; could have a say
6	Nadim Bay J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	161	tp	O33063	93	96	55	20d	—	—	+5	19.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not very consistent but kept on for third on recent stable/chase debut at Stratford
2	I Am Gonna Be Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Charlie Longsdon	166	p	-P2556	98	107	83	33d	—	—	+5	16.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Second at Bangor in June but subsequent chase/hurdle form has been underwhelming
7	What A Steal Bay J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Tom George	J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Tom George	159	tp	6P-617	91	103	72	136d	—	—	+4	12.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Surprise winner at Worcester in June but back in doldrums on next outing
12	Camino Rocio Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Jack Tudor T:Jim & Suzi Best	145	v	524457	77	107	94	58d	—	—	+1	10.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Now 7lb lower than when second on chase debut in June; could be dangerous on stable debut
4	Poker Master Bay J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Philip McBride	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Philip McBride	164	—	/4355-	96	83	68	224d	—	—	+9	14.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well handicapped on hurdling form but was well beaten in both chases last season; risky
9	Stopherandgo Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Kevin Pickard	J:Bryan Carver T:Kevin Pickard	157	—	P93P8-	89	86	48	186d	—	—	+7	11.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Out of form last season, most recently when well beaten on chasing debut in April
10	Universal Secret Chestnut J:Paul O'Brien T:Helen Nelmes	J:Paul O'Brien T:Helen Nelmes	152	—	PF8-06	84	109	56	98d	—	—	+5	9.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Dual winner here over hurdles but has been out of form for a good while now
13	Bella Ciao Bay J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	142	p	/32-65	74	-	-	33d	—	—	-19	17.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-9 over hurdles and needs to up her game on this chasing debut
14	Mr Sociable Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Chris Down	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Chris Down	142	tb	0-PP54	74	99	79	5d	—	—	+3	7.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Ran well when fourth at Exeter on Tuesday but is again 9lb out of the weights here
NR	Outback Frontiers Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:John O'Shea	J:NON-RUNNER T:John O'Shea	149	—	-47126	81	-	-	37d	—	—	—	16.3	—	—
Won off career-low hurdle mark this summer but other chase debutants have more potential

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Eyed	9/2	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
American Land	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Paddy In The Caddy	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2
Celtic Fortune	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Nadim	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
I Am Gonna Be	8/1	7/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
What A Steal	9/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Camino Rocio	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Poker Master	14/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Stopherandgo	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Universal Secret	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Bella Ciao	14/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Mr Sociable	33/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eyed

24.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

9/2

2nd

Paddy In The Caddy

20.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Nadim

19.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4

11/2

American Land

18.6

OR: 12 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Bella Ciao

17.8

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

18/1

I Am Gonna Be

16.5

OR: 12 Form: 1.2 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Outback Frontiers

16.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Poker Master

14.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.5

18/1

What A Steal

12.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Celtic Fortune

12.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Stopherandgo

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0.2 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Camino Rocio

10.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Universal Secret

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Mr Sociable

7.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eyed	100	108	85
American Land	98	—	—
I Am Gonna Be	98	107	83
Poker Master	96	83	68
Paddy In The Caddy	93	—	—
Nadim	93	96	55
What A Steal	91	103	72
Celtic Fortune	89	—	—
Stopherandgo	89	86	48
Universal Secret	84	109	56
Outback Frontiers	81	—	—
Camino Rocio	77	107	94
Bella Ciao	74	—	—
Mr Sociable	74	99	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Sociable	5d ago	Quick return
American Land	10d ago	Quick return
Nadim	20d ago	Fit
I Am Gonna Be	33d ago	Fit
Bella Ciao	33d ago	Fit
Outback Frontiers	37d ago	Fit
Camino Rocio	58d ago	Fresh
Universal Secret	98d ago	Long break
What A Steal	136d ago	Long break
Celtic Fortune	154d ago	Long break
Eyed	168d ago	Long break
Stopherandgo	186d ago	Long break
Paddy In The Caddy	191d ago	Long break
Poker Master	224d ago	Long break