Livescore Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Ayr

2:55

Date 2024-10-28

Distance 2m3f110y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Entity Of Substanz gr J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	167	—	75-6	96	98	55	25d	—	—	-14	23.3	5/4 44%
Encouraging sixth in Warwick novice on seasonal debut; back up in trip for handicap debut
8	Bridge Road b J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	159	p	050932	88	105	100	10d	—	—	+4	21.6	9/2 18%
Has modest strike-rate but ran well in defeat at Uttoxeter ten days ago; a possible
5	Beat The Retreat b J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	162	t	173P7-	91	99	71	192d	—	—	+7	14.8	12/1 8%
Course winner last December but had very mixed record afterwards; back from a break today
4	Let's Go Joe b J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	163	tp	4P-645	92	102	87	27d	—	—	+5	12.6	12/1 8%
Shaped well before weakening at Sedgefield recently, and that run might have done him good
10	Star Vantage b J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	156	h	/6F7F-	85	99	32	198d	—	—	+3	10.9	12/1 8%
0-10 over hurdles, having fallen on three of last five starts; now with new stable
9	March Wind b J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	157	—	/675-5	86	95	72	166d	—	—	+4	10.7	12/1 8%
Just a respectable fifth on handicap debut in May but remains unexposed
3	Malangen b J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lisa Harrison	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lisa Harrison	164	—	535546	93	103	90	11d	—	—	+7	13	16/1 6%
Built up big lead and was only headed at final flight at Carlisle recently; 2lb lower here
7	Ballyquin Bay br J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	160	p	8434V-	89	103	78	237d	—	—	+7	13	16/1 6%
Placed off 6lb higher last December but this 15-race maiden has been absent since March
6	Be The Difference b J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Philip Kirby	162	—	24/S55	91	98	51	22d	—	—	+6	12	16/1 6%
Dual course winner in 2021; yet to strike form since returning from mammoth absence
13	Flying Sandpiper b J:Sean Bowen T:Jackie Stephen	J:Sean Bowen T:Jackie Stephen	142	—	/0P8P-	71	91	33	204d	—	—	+3	6	28/1 3%
Showed no significant promise at huge prices in three novice/maiden hurdles
11	Celestial Fashion b J:Conor O'Farrell T:Ian Duncan	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Ian Duncan	151	h	2215-7	80	97	94	165d	—	—	+5	8.3	40/1 2%
Battled well for deserved win in March but others in this field have more potential
1	Love That ch J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	168	—	813F-4	97	93	56	166d	—	—	+10	12.3	50/1 2%
Displayed significant ability in three novice/maiden hurdles; can improve in handicaps
12	Robiola b J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	149	—	/4/P7P	78	98	24	100d	—	—	+6	7.4	100/1 1%
Has struggled this season, most recently when 50-1 for handicap debut at Cartmel in July

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Entity Of Substanz	6/5	5/4	5/4	6/5	5/4
Bridge Road	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1	7/2
Beat The Retreat	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Let's Go Joe	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Star Vantage	10/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
March Wind	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Malangen	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Ballyquin Bay	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Be The Difference	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Flying Sandpiper	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Celestial Fashion	40/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1
Love That	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Robiola	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Entity Of Substanz

23.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Bridge Road

21.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Beat The Retreat

14.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Malangen

OR: 10.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ballyquin Bay

OR: 9.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Let's Go Joe

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Love That

12.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Be The Difference

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Star Vantage

10.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

March Wind

10.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Celestial Fashion

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Robiola

7.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Flying Sandpiper

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love That Top Rated	97	93	56
Entity Of Substanz	96	98	55
Malangen	93	103	90
Let's Go Joe	92	102	87
Beat The Retreat	91	99	71
Be The Difference	91	98	51
Ballyquin Bay	89	103	78
Bridge Road	88	105	100
March Wind	86	95	72
Star Vantage	85	99	32
Celestial Fashion	80	97	94
Robiola	78	98	24
Flying Sandpiper	71	91	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bridge Road	10d ago	Quick return
Malangen	11d ago	Quick return
Be The Difference	22d ago	Fit
Entity Of Substanz	25d ago	Fit
Let's Go Joe	27d ago	Fit
Robiola	100d ago	Long break
Celestial Fashion	165d ago	Long break
March Wind	166d ago	Long break
Love That	166d ago	Long break
Beat The Retreat	192d ago	Long break
Star Vantage	198d ago	Long break
Flying Sandpiper	204d ago	Long break
Ballyquin Bay	237d ago	Long break