Livescore Bet Handicap Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)

Ayr

3:28

Date 2024-10-28

Distance 2m110y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Home Free b J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	167	t	215-21	119	121	111	22d	—	—	-13	32.6	10/11 52%
Won cosily by a neck at Uttoxeter this month and remains unexposed over fences
6	Travail d'Orfevre gr J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	153	t	22232-	105	127	111	187d	—	—	+12	31.6	7/2 22%
Very consistent last season (including over C&D) and ought to be on the premises again
5	Rattling Road b J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	154	t	/5534-	106	-	-	187d	—	—	+7	19.7	7/1 13%
Placed in 15-runner novice hurdle last season and open to improvement in handicap chases
1	Carcaci Castle b J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	168	p	3P-513	120	126	104	98d	—	—	+11	20.2	17/2 11%
Still on workable mark after Hexham win in June and versatile ground-wise; shortlisted
4	Thistle Ask b J:Brian Hughes T:James Ewart	J:Brian Hughes T:James Ewart	156	ht	/4271/	108	-	-	598d	—	—	+23	28.6	14/1 7%
Wide-margin maiden hurdle winner here in March 2023; makes chase debut after long absence
3	Captain Ivan ch J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	161	t	3/114-	113	122	-	466d	—	—	+15	18.7	28/1 3%
Dual chase winner in early part of last season but makes stable debut after long absence
7	Ardera Cross ch J:Sean Quinlan T:William Young Jnr	J:Sean Quinlan T:William Young Jnr	142	—	1645P-	94	124	108	204d	—	—	+10	12.1	40/1 2%
Very unreliable nowadays but this nine-time course winner returns on a workable mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Home Free	5/6	10/11	5/6	4/5	5/6
Travail d'Orfevre	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rattling Road	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Carcaci Castle	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Thistle Ask	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Captain Ivan	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Ardera Cross	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Home Free

32.6

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Travail d'Orfevre

31.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Thistle Ask

28.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Carcaci Castle

20.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Rattling Road

19.7

OR: 14 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Captain Ivan

18.7

OR: 15.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ardera Cross

12.1

OR: 11 Form: 0.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Carcaci Castle Top Rated	120	126	104
Home Free	119	121	111
Captain Ivan	113	122	—
Thistle Ask	108	—	—
Rattling Road	106	—	—
Travail d'Orfevre	105	127	111
Ardera Cross	94	124	108

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Home Free	22d ago	Fit
Carcaci Castle	98d ago	Long break
Travail d'Orfevre	187d ago	Long break
Rattling Road	187d ago	Long break
Ardera Cross	204d ago	Long break
Captain Ivan	466d ago	Long break
Thistle Ask	598d ago	Long break