£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Kitaab Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Philip Kirby	134	—	237513	68	83	72	18d	—	—	-9	26.5	0.38/1	6/4 40%
C&D winner at the start of the month and did well to finish so close at Kempton last time
4 (4)	Buzz Box Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	137	—	06-124	72	80	69	24d	—	—	-5	9.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Lightly raced 3yo who has dead-heated and been narrowly beaten in two visits here
2 (1)	Indivar Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	139	t	306515	74	85	54	19d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner at start of month and had excuses last time; could go well back here
8 (7)	Golden Duke Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	133	—	655343	67	83	75	35d	—	—	+1	11.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Finished a close third over C&D last time and the form has been boosted; considered
5 (6)	Fiscal Policy Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	137	—	713155	71	84	72	12d	—	—	+7	15.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hasn't enjoyed the best of luck in his last two starts; could make his presence felt
6 (8)	Moyola Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	136	t	313505	71	83	-	28d	—	—	+3	10.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
2-4 here and just 2lb higher than when winning at Hamilton in June; not dismissed easily
3 (9)	The Ridler Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	137	—	320358	71	84	68	21d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-15 since winning the Norfolk Stakes as a 2yo; well held in both visits here
1 (3)	Sovereign Knight Bay J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	139	tb	195120	74	79	73	40d	—	—	+11	15.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Bit of a mixed bag this year; needs to be back to his best; blinkers replace cheekpieces
9 (2)	Fletchers Dream Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	130	p	904095	65	81	55	26d	—	—	+2	4.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Made a winning debut for another yard over C&D last December, but mainly held for this one

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kitaab	6/4	6/4	6/4	5/4	6/4
Buzz Box	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Indivar	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Golden Duke	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Fiscal Policy	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	9/1
Moyola	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
The Ridler	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Sovereign Knight	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Fletchers Dream	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kitaab

26.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Indivar

16.1

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Fiscal Policy

15.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Sovereign Knight

15.7

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Golden Duke

11.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Moyola

10.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Buzz Box

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

The Ridler

9.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Fletchers Dream

4.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indivar	74	85	54
Sovereign Knight	74	79	73
Buzz Box	72	80	69
Fiscal Policy	71	84	72
Moyola	71	83	—
The Ridler	71	84	68
Kitaab	68	83	72
Golden Duke	67	83	75
Fletchers Dream	65	81	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fiscal Policy	12d ago	Quick return
Kitaab	18d ago	Fit
Indivar	19d ago	Fit
The Ridler	21d ago	Fit
Buzz Box	24d ago	Fit
Fletchers Dream	26d ago	Fit
Moyola	28d ago	Fit
Golden Duke	35d ago	Fit
Sovereign Knight	40d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.