Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 27.39s (slow by 3.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Barnaby (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	3/1F	Won
2nd	King's School (GB) Billy Loughnane · Gemma Tutty	7/1	0.05
3rd	Finn Ironside (GB) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	11/1	2.5
4th	Beale Street (GB) David Nolan · Bryan Smart	4/1	.75
5th	Rainwater (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	25/1	3.25
6th	Arantes Nascimento (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	17/2	0.3
7th	Profit Street (IRE) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	14/1	1.25
8th	Front Gunner (IRE) Joe Fanning · Ann Duffield	9/1	0.3
9th	Mereside Madness (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	6/1	1.25
10th	Fariha (IRE) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	25/1	1
11th	Likeashadow (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Alan Brown	50/1	3.25
12th	Buttercross Flyer (IRE) Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	40/1	1.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Barnaby Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	134	—	604611	64	82	43	7d	—	—	+5	27.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Bids for a C&D hat-trick under a 6lb penalty for an impressive success a week ago
3 (1)	Beale Street Bay J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	136	—	-63373	66	79	57	26d	—	—	-3	14.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-8 but has gone well here as when a close third last time; should go well again
2 (4)	Mereside Madness Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	137	—	295274	67	76	56	26d	—	—	-1	9.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two narrow wins over C&D at start of year and not beaten far into fourth here last time
4 (9)	Arantes Nascimento Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	135	h	-84784	65	81	57	11d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-4	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Awarded the nursery on this card last year; suggested return to 7f might suit last time
9 (6)	King's School Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gemma Tutty	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gemma Tutty	130	tp	553452	60	77	56	26d	—	—	+2	11.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-10; had three of these behind when a close second over C&D last time; leading player
10 (8)	Front Gunner Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	130	—	953871	60	76	58	14d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dictated a steady pace when off the mark over C&D last time; 5lb higher in a better race
5 (5)	Finn Ironside Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	135	—	302134	65	70	-	44d	—	—	+8	14.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has run well on Tapeta and in good form on turf in recent months; shortlisted
1 (11)	Profit Street Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	137	—	441547	67	75	45	26d	—	1W/2P 2 runs	+3	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Both wins over 5f/7f here, but well held over C&D last time and just 1lb lower
12 (12)	Fariha Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	126	—	29-636	56	76	71	17d	—	—	-1	2.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
0-8; best performances in a change of headgear, but other efforts less convincing
11 (7)	Buttercross Flyer Bay J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	129	—	537427	59	81	67	15d	—	—	+4	7.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
1-17 with her win coming over C&D in August last year; not at her best last time
7 (3)	Rainwater Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	p	725079	62	77	55	15d	—	—	+2	4.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
0-10; runner-up at Chester in July but has regressed since
8 (2)	Likeashadow Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	132	—	333225	62	75	63	215d	—	—	+9	11.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
2-18 but consistent, both wins coming here this time last year; off seven months

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Barnaby	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Beale Street	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Mereside Madness	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2
Arantes Nascimento	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
King's School	8/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Front Gunner	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Finn Ironside	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Profit Street	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Fariha	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Buttercross Flyer	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Rainwater	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Likeashadow	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Barnaby

27.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 17 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Front Gunner

15.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Beale Street

14.4

OR: 4 Form: 5.4 Odds: 5

4/1

Finn Ironside

14.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

King's School

11.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Likeashadow

11.1

OR: 3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Mereside Madness

9.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Profit Street

8.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Buttercross Flyer

7.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Arantes Nascimento

6.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Rainwater

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Fariha

2.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mereside Madness	67	76	56
Profit Street	67	75	45
Beale Street	66	79	57
Arantes Nascimento	65	81	57
Finn Ironside	65	70	—
Barnaby	64	82	43
Rainwater	62	77	55
Likeashadow	62	75	63
King's School	60	77	56
Front Gunner	60	76	58
Buttercross Flyer	59	81	67
Fariha	56	76	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barnaby	7d ago	Quick return
Arantes Nascimento	11d ago	Quick return
Front Gunner	14d ago	Fit
Buttercross Flyer	15d ago	Fit
Rainwater	15d ago	Fit
Fariha	17d ago	Fit
Beale Street	26d ago	Fit
Mereside Madness	26d ago	Fit
King's School	26d ago	Fit
Profit Street	26d ago	Fit
Finn Ironside	44d ago	Fit
Likeashadow	215d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.