Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Winning Time 1m 42.28s (slow by 5.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	My Cloud (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	1/6F	Won
2nd	Tancredi (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	16/5	13
3rd	Brave Musketeer (GB) Brandon Wilkie · Ian McInnes	250/1	15
4th	Maguire (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Scott Dixon	25/1	0.3
5th	Beautiful Girl (FR) Tom Eaves · Katie Scott	150/1	1.5

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	My Cloud Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	130	—	22	-	88	71	34d	—	—	-42	28.5	0.04/1	1/6 86%
Beaten at short prices in 2 7f starts, here and at Redcar; should be too good upped to 1m
4 (5)	Tancredi Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
375,000gns yearling but sold for 37,000gns this year; fine pedigree; check the market
2 (2)	Maguire Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Out of half-sister to winners over a range of trips; more than likely this will be needed
5 (4)	Beautiful Girl Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Katie Scott	J:Tom Eaves T:Katie Scott	125	—	6	-	32	-	168d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Has some glamorous relatives but never going the gallop when last of 5 on debut; new yard
1 (1)	Brave Musketeer Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Ian McInnes	133	—	5	-	16	-	11d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Came home in his own time on very belated debut at Redcar recently; can only watch

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
My Cloud	1/6	2/13	1/6	1/6	1/6
Tancredi	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Maguire	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Beautiful Girl	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1
Brave Musketeer	250/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Cloud

28.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 20

1/6

2nd

Tancredi

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Maguire

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Beautiful Girl

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Brave Musketeer

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
My Cloud	—	88	71
Tancredi	—	—	—
Maguire	—	—	—
Beautiful Girl	—	32	—
Brave Musketeer	—	16	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brave Musketeer	11d ago	Quick return
My Cloud	34d ago	Fit
Beautiful Girl	168d ago	Long break
Tancredi	—	—
Maguire	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.