Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Midnight's Dream Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	135	—	2-6385	68	80	55	18d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	-11	16.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
0-5 but has shown ability as when a close fifth at Kempton last time; shortlist material
3 (1)	Barleybrown Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	135	—	449131	65	78	57	7d	—	—	+7	26.6	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Four wins over C&D this year and Billy Loughnane 2-2 on him; another big effort likely
8 (11)	Jez Bomb Bay J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	129	p	124161	62	76	59	10d	—	—	+9	23	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Made it 2-2 at Wolverhampton ten days ago; shortlisted if proving as effective back here
10 (3)	Dingwall Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	129	h	751484	62	75	68	24d	0W/1P 1 run	—	-3	9.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Caught the eye at Wolverhampton this month, but not sure the shorter trip is in his favour
4 (5)	Overlooked Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Harriet Bethell	J:Joe Fanning T:Harriet Bethell	134	—	3-6556	67	72	23	35d	—	—	+1	8.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-10 and no improvement on stable debut last time; more needed
11 (7)	Little Ted Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Tim Easterby	J:Oisin Orr T:Tim Easterby	128	p	437152	58	78	41	25d	—	—	+8	14.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D record reads 1445424422 and he should go well again despite a 1lb rise
7 (8)	Ravishing Beauty Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Jedd O'Keeffe	131	—	-53674	64	73	46	14d	—	—	0	6.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-6; not really threatened in three handicaps since joining yard; others make more appeal
1 (2)	Cusack Bay J:Jonny Peate T:David Thompson	J:Jonny Peate T:David Thompson	138	p	535008	68	78	72	14d	—	—	+3	5.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Six of his seven wins have come here, but not at his best lately; best watched for now
9 (4)	Wyvern Brown J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	129	p	500083	59	79	51	35d	—	—	+3	6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
4l behind Barleybrown over C&D five weeks ago and 11lb better off; still needs more
6 (6)	Redondo Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Daragh Bourke	J:Rowan Scott T:Daragh Bourke	131	—	283140	64	75	42	11d	—	—	+8	10	12.50/1	50/1 2%
C&D winner in February and latest effort here can be forgiven; needs to get back on track
5 (9)	Rob's Umberella Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	134	—	44500	67	74	60	12d	—	—	+3	4.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Some ability in a couple of Tapeta novices in January, but not built on it since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Midnight's Dream	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Barleybrown	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Jez Bomb	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Dingwall	6/1	5/1	6/1	13/2	7/1
Overlooked	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Little Ted	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Ravishing Beauty	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Cusack	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Wyvern	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Redondo	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Rob's Umberella	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Barleybrown

26.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Jez Bomb

OR: 3 Form: 16 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Midnight's Dream

16.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

Little Ted

14.3

OR: 2 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Redondo

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Dingwall

9.6

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Overlooked

8.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ravishing Beauty

6.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Wyvern

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Cusack

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Rob's Umberella

4.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Midnight's Dream	68	80	55
Cusack	68	78	72
Overlooked	67	72	23
Rob's Umberella	67	74	60
Barleybrown	65	78	57
Ravishing Beauty	64	73	46
Redondo	64	75	42
Jez Bomb	62	76	59
Dingwall	62	75	68
Wyvern	59	79	51
Little Ted	58	78	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barleybrown	7d ago	Quick return
Jez Bomb	10d ago	Quick return
Redondo	11d ago	Quick return
Rob's Umberella	12d ago	Quick return
Ravishing Beauty	14d ago	Fit
Cusack	14d ago	Fit
Midnight's Dream	18d ago	Fit
Dingwall	24d ago	Fit
Little Ted	25d ago	Fit
Overlooked	35d ago	Fit
Wyvern	35d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.