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Newcastle (AW)

15:40

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-01
Distance 1m5y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £2,983

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (6)
U S Grant
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Joanna Mason
T:Kevin Ryan
 120 p 669
45
59
-
 54d — — -21
9.4
0.56/1
9/4
31%
Failed to beat a rival in three starts on turf; bred to be much better than that
2 (3)
Coverbridge
Bay
J:Sam James
T:Phillip Makin
J:Sam James
T:Phillip Makin
 137 p 613356
62
66
46
 22d — — -5
12.6
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Course winner over 7f who has been held in nurseries since, but this stiff mile may suit
5 (4)
Fastnet Jenkins
Bay
J:Oliver Stammers
T:Grant Tuer
J:Oliver Stammers
T:Grant Tuer
 130 — 8974
55
68
46
 17d — — -11
6.3
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Finished a staying-on fourth on nursery debut here this month; extra furlong should suit
6 (8)
Owt For Nowt
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Ollie Pears
J:Cam Hardie
T:Ollie Pears
 125 p 566537
50
62
32
 29d — — -4
4.6
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Third over C&D in September but held over 1m2f last time; frame possibilities
1 (2)
Say What You See
Grey
J:Billy Garritty
T:Liam Bailey
J:Billy Garritty
T:Liam Bailey
 137 — 456
62
61
-
 14d — — -3
5.5
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Hinted at ability in three starts on turf; open to improvement on AW/nursery debut
4 (7)
Falaise Blanc
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Katie Scott
J:Jason Hart
T:Katie Scott
 132 — 8637
57
67
40
 17d — — -1
5.8
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Finished behind Fastnet Jenkins on nursery debut here last time; more needed
3 (9)
Miss Lalita
Chestnut
J:Rowan Scott
T:Phillip Makin
J:Rowan Scott
T:Phillip Makin
 133 — 458
58
67
15
 24d — — -4
4.1
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Regressive since a fair debut here; needs to bounce back on nursery debut
NR (1)
Eva's Eyes
Bay
J:TBC
T:Ian Williams
J:
T:Ian Williams
 123 h 486
48
62
-
 48d — — —
0
— —
Well held in three starts on turf; probably only of interest if backed on nursery/AW debut
NR (5)
Sun Petal
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Simon West
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Simon West
 120 b 980509
45
64
21
 14d — — —
0
— —
Hasn't beaten many in her eight starts; blinkers on
NR (10)
Mystical Sky
Bay
J:TBC
T:Charlie Johnston
J:
T:Charlie Johnston
 120 b 6990
45
43
25
 17d — — —
0
— —
From a major yard, but has achieved a top RPR of 35 in four starts; hard to fancy
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
U S Grant
 7/4 7/4 7/4 7/4 9/4
Coverbridge
 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Fastnet Jenkins
 5/1 5/1 5/1 9/2 4/1
Owt For Nowt
 8/1 8/1 8/1 15/2 8/1
Say What You See
 17/2 9/1 9/1 8/1 8/1
Falaise Blanc
 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1
Miss Lalita
 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 11/1
Eva's Eyes
 - - - - -
Sun Petal
 - - - - -
Mystical Sky
 - - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Coverbridge
12.6
OR: 3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5.2
7/2
2nd U S Grant
9.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4
9/4
3rd Fastnet Jenkins
6.3
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5
5/1
4 Falaise Blanc
5.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9
12/1
5 Say What You See
5.5
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
9/1
6 Owt For Nowt
4.6
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5
8/1
7 Miss Lalita
4.1
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12/1
8 Eva's Eyes
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—
9 Sun Petal
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—
10 Mystical Sky
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Coverbridge
62
66
46
Say What You See
62
61
 —
Miss Lalita
58
67
15
Falaise Blanc
57
67
40
Fastnet Jenkins
55
68
46
Owt For Nowt
50
62
32
Eva's Eyes
48
62
 —
U S Grant
45
59
 —
Sun Petal
45
64
21
Mystical Sky
45
43
25

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Say What You See 14d ago Fit
Sun Petal 14d ago Fit
Fastnet Jenkins 17d ago Fit
Falaise Blanc 17d ago Fit
Mystical Sky 17d ago Fit
Coverbridge 22d ago Fit
Miss Lalita 24d ago Fit
Owt For Nowt 29d ago Fit
Eva's Eyes 48d ago Fresh
U S Grant 54d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.