BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-11-01

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Cancan In The Rain Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	666223	73	88	67	8d	—	—	-1	21.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
3lb below his last winning mark and running well in defeat lately; should go well again
2 (1)	Bajan Bandit Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	138	—	000430	78	84	-	7d	—	—	-5	14.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Patchy form on turf this year; needs to get back on track now switched to the AW
8 (5)	Alreet Cha Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	130	p	544701	71	89	30	31d	—	—	+3	20.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Easily off the mark at the 13th attempt over C&D a month ago; may still have more to offer
9 (8)	Patontheback Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	129	—	040533	69	87	78	31d	—	—	+1	13.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D winner who has finished third back here the last twice; each-way claims again
3 (7)	Modern Times Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	137	t	466200	78	87	64	41d	—	—	+2	12.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-8 and last two efforts not amongst his best; has been gelded
6 (6)	Streak Lightning Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	131	p	348916	71	86	79	31d	—	—	+9	13.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Triple C&D winner but wasn't helped by a slow break last time; capable on his day
4 (9)	Beattie Is Back Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	134	—	55-638	74	88	60	29d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Record over 7f on Tapeta reads 31612 including a win here; interesting
1 (2)	Judgment Call Brown J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	139	—	42726R	79	85	65	41d	—	—	+6	10.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Unexposed on the AW, but refused to race at Ayr last time so has something to prove
7 (3)	Angel Of England Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	131	p	075528	72	86	-	25d	—	—	+7	9.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well held on stable debut; half-brother to a Listed AW winner, but needs to step up

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Cancan In The Rain	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Bajan Bandit	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2
Alreet Cha	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	10/3
Patontheback	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Modern Times	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Streak Lightning	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Beattie Is Back	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Judgment Call	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	18/1
Angel Of England	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cancan In The Rain

21.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 9 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Alreet Cha

20.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Bajan Bandit

14.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Streak Lightning

13.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Patontheback

13.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Modern Times

12.4

OR: 7 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Judgment Call

10.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Angel Of England

9.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Beattie Is Back

7.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Judgment Call	79	85	65
Bajan Bandit	78	84	—
Modern Times	78	87	64
Beattie Is Back	74	88	60
Cancan In The Rain	73	88	67
Angel Of England	72	86	—
Alreet Cha	71	89	30
Streak Lightning	71	86	79
Patontheback	69	87	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bajan Bandit	7d ago	Quick return
Cancan In The Rain	8d ago	Quick return
Angel Of England	25d ago	Fit
Beattie Is Back	29d ago	Fit
Alreet Cha	31d ago	Fit
Patontheback	31d ago	Fit
Streak Lightning	31d ago	Fit
Modern Times	41d ago	Fit
Judgment Call	41d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.