Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (No More Than Three Runs) (GBB)

Southwell (AW)

18:15

Date 2024-11-04

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,858

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Maui Breeze Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	532	77	88	66	30d	—	—	-21	32.5	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Improved with each of her three runs (C&D latest) and sets the standard; high on the list
6 (5)	Spendmore Lane Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	126	—	3	-	85	54	62d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Debut 3rd at Newcastle (5f) was promising; new trip should suit; open to improvement
4 (8)	Grey Salvo Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
£18,000 breeze-up 2yo; dam a 6f winner (RPR 81); yard not renowned for winning newcomers
8 (3)	Lovesick Bay J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
First foal of a Listed-placed winner (including AW); yard has winning newcomers
1 (1)	Fancy Dancer Grey J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
60,000gns half-sis to 3 winners; yard's 2yos have done much better on turf than AW in 2024
5 (7)	Sangara Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	126	h	95	-	77	50	25d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Hasn't seen things out over 7f in two runs this autumn; drops to 6f and needs improvement
2 (4)	Jake Loves Laura Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Paul Attwater	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Paul Attwater	128	—	55	-	79	48	18d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Debut run was okay but less good on stable debut (C&D) latest; improvement required
7 (2)	Good Reward Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	124	—	87	-	62	-	17d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Big prices and well beaten in her two runs; handicaps more suitable after this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Maui Breeze	8/13	8/11	8/13	8/13	8/13
Spendmore Lane	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Grey Salvo	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Lovesick	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Fancy Dancer	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sangara	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Jake Loves Laura	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Good Reward	300/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Maui Breeze

32.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 18.7

8/11

2nd

Spendmore Lane

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Lovesick

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Grey Salvo

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Fancy Dancer

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Sangara

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Jake Loves Laura

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Good Reward

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maui Breeze	77	88	66
Spendmore Lane	—	85	54
Grey Salvo	—	—	—
Lovesick	—	—	—
Fancy Dancer	—	—	—
Sangara	—	77	50
Jake Loves Laura	—	79	48
Good Reward	—	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Good Reward	17d ago	Fit
Jake Loves Laura	18d ago	Fit
Sangara	25d ago	Fit
Maui Breeze	30d ago	Fit
Spendmore Lane	62d ago	Fresh
Grey Salvo	—	—
Lovesick	—	—
Fancy Dancer	—	—