BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:45

BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-11-04

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 13.34s (slow by 1.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Coup De Force (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Stuart Kittow	6/5F	Won
2nd	Daytona Lady (IRE) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	16/1	0.3
3rd	Ziggy's Queen (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	17/2	.75
4th	Kitai (IRE) Jason Hart · Michael Appleby	17/2	1.75
5th	Exponista (GB) Connor Planas · David Loughnane	5/1	0.2
6th	Shallow (GB) Darragh Keenan · Richard Spencer	16/1	.5
7th	Holy Fire (GB) Rob Hornby · Charlie Fellowes	7/1	3.5
8th	Incrimination (IRE) George Wood · Conrad Allen	20/1	0.2

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Coup De Force Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Stuart Kittow	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Stuart Kittow	130	—	544115	75	93	82	5d	—	—	-8	30.8	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Came up short in hat-trick bid last week; back against fillies but needs to pull out more
3 (8)	Holy Fire Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	132	p	2P4550	77	93	91	82d	—	—	-6	12	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Quiet when last seen but down in weights and dropping to 6f/return of headgear can help
1 (3)	Kitai Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	137	—	086104	82	81	47	48d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Usually runs in better races; repeat of Goodwood win in July would make her hard to beat
8 (2)	Ziggy's Queen Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	tv	453703	70	92	75	21d	—	—	+2	11.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Finished her race off well at Wolverhampton last time but it was a strongly run affair
5 (6)	Exponista Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	129	b	466927	74	93	76	11d	—	—	+2	12.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two sound runs over C&D since blinkers went on; easy lead seems unlikely
6 (7)	Daytona Lady Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	128	p	617216	73	92	80	27d	—	—	+14	18.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Conditions to suit and while only 6th over C&D latest, she still looked in form; respected
7 (1)	Incrimination Bay J:George Wood T:Conrad Allen	J:George Wood T:Conrad Allen	127	—	433566	72	94	81	10d	—	—	+3	8.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not found her absolute best in 2024; well treated but she'll need a good pace back at 6f
2 (5)	Shallow Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:Richard Spencer	J:Darragh Keenan T:Richard Spencer	132	—	2-115	77	88	72	200d	—	—	+8	11.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Flopped in hat-trick bid in April; absent since; not fully exposed ahead of Tapeta debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Coup De Force	6/5	11/10	6/5
Holy Fire	5/1	9/2	5/1
Kitai	15/2	7/1	7/1
Ziggy's Queen	7/1	7/1	15/2
Exponista	8/1	8/1	15/2
Daytona Lady	16/1	16/1	16/1
Incrimination	20/1	20/1	18/1
Shallow	25/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Coup De Force

30.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 12.5

6/5

2nd

Daytona Lady

18.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Kitai

16.3

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Exponista

12.4

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Holy Fire

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Ziggy's Queen

11.8

OR: 5 Form: 3.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Shallow

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Incrimination

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kitai	82	81	47
Holy Fire	77	93	91
Shallow	77	88	72
Coup De Force	75	93	82
Exponista	74	93	76
Daytona Lady	73	92	80
Incrimination	72	94	81
Ziggy's Queen	70	92	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Coup De Force	5d ago	Quick return
Incrimination	10d ago	Quick return
Exponista	11d ago	Quick return
Ziggy's Queen	21d ago	Fit
Daytona Lady	27d ago	Fit
Kitai	48d ago	Fresh
Holy Fire	82d ago	Fresh
Shallow	200d ago	Long break