Southwell (AW)

17:15

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB)

Date 2024-11-04
Distance 1m13y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7 (4)
Cloth Of Gold
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Jason Hart
T:Charlie Johnston
129 2
-
95
-
17d -26
20.4
0.25/1
Evens
50%
Clear second in a soft-ground Redcar novice dominated by newcomers; solid claims
5 (1)
Port Light
Bay
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Archie Watson
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Archie Watson
131 h
-
-
-
-22
10
0.41/1
13/8
38%
41,000euros 2yo breeze-up who's the second foal of a French maiden; wears a hood on debut
3 (3)
Molveno
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Marco Botti
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Marco Botti
131 t
-
72
26
24d -6
2.4
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Tough task on his Kempton debut and didn't fare too badly at a big price; should improve
1 (7)
Arcturus Flame
Bay
J:Connor Planas(3)
T:Darryll Holland
J:Connor Planas(3)
T:Darryll Holland
133 40
-
61
18
48d -4
1.6
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Low-grade handicaps are probably next on the agenda
10 (8)
Magic Runner
Bay
J:Nicola Currie
T:Andrew Balding
J:Nicola Currie
T:Andrew Balding
128 5
-
73
-
19d -4
1.4
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Didn't see it out on her heavy-ground 1m debut recently but is entitled to improve
6 (2)
West Wickham
Roan
J:Darragh Keenan
T:George Scott
J:Darragh Keenan
T:George Scott
131 7
-
70
34
11d -3
1.1
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Fair C&D debut 11 days ago; can do better for a yard enjoying a fine season with 2yos
4 (5)
Orchestral Wave
Chestnut
J:Rob Hornby
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Rob Hornby
T:Charlie Fellowes
131
-
-
-
-3
1
7.00/1
28/1
3%
25,000gns yearling who's a half-brother to six winners; the market will guide
9 (12)
Beachborough Girl
Grey
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
128 t 5
-
74
-
28d -3
1
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Needed the experience when shaping fairly well on her Yarmouth debut; each-way claims
2 (11)
Aurelius Maximus
Bay
J:Oisin Orr
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Oisin Orr
T:Ed Dunlop
131
-
41
-
23d -1
0.3
31.25/1
125/1
1%
Started 40-1 for his Chelmsford debut a few weeks ago; needs a big step forward
11 (6)
Candle Of Time
Bay
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Julie Camacho
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Julie Camacho
124 8
-
70
37
41d 0
0.1
50.00/1
200/1
0%
80-1 for her 7f debut here six weeks ago, when pulling hard over 7f and finishing last
8 (9)
Arie Gordye
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Adrian Nicholls
J:Shane Gray
T:Adrian Nicholls
128 9
-
53
34
32d 0
0.1
62.50/1
250/1
0%
Finished well beaten at 250-1 on her Newcastle debut a month ago
12 (10)
Ribbit
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Lisa Williamson
J:Cam Hardie
T:Lisa Williamson
124
-
-
-
11d 0
0.1
75.00/1
300/1
0%
200-1, finished a remote last behind West Wickham over C&D 11 days ago
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Cloth Of Gold
evn evn Evens
Port Light
13/8 13/8 13/8
Molveno
9/1 9/1 9/1
Arcturus Flame
14/1 14/1 14/1
Magic Runner
20/1 20/1 20/1
West Wickham
22/1 20/1 20/1
Orchestral Wave
28/1 28/1 28/1
Beachborough Girl
22/1 22/1 22/1
Aurelius Maximus
125/1 125/1 125/1
Candle Of Time
200/1 200/1 200/1
Arie Gordye
250/1 250/1 250/1
Ribbit
300/1 300/1 300/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Cloth Of Gold
20.4
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 15.4
Evens
2nd Port Light
10
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10
13/8
3rd Molveno
2.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
9/1
4 Arcturus Flame
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
14/1
5 Magic Runner
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20/1
6 West Wickham
1.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
22/1
7 Orchestral Wave
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28/1
8 Beachborough Girl
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
22/1
9 Aurelius Maximus
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
125/1
10 Candle Of Time
0.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1
200/1
11 Arie Gordye
0.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1
250/1
12 Ribbit
0.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1
300/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Cloth Of Gold
95
Port Light
Molveno
72
26
Arcturus Flame
61
18
Magic Runner
73
West Wickham
70
34
Orchestral Wave
Beachborough Girl
74
Aurelius Maximus
41
Candle Of Time
70
37
Arie Gordye
53
34
Ribbit

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
West Wickham 11d ago Quick return
Ribbit 11d ago Quick return
Cloth Of Gold 17d ago Fit
Magic Runner 19d ago Fit
Aurelius Maximus 23d ago Fit
Molveno 24d ago Fit
Beachborough Girl 28d ago Fit
Arie Gordye 32d ago Fit
Candle Of Time 41d ago Fit
Arcturus Flame 48d ago Fresh
Port Light
Orchestral Wave

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.