BARONERACING.COM Winter Festival Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Fairyhouse

14:50

Date 2024-11-05

Distance 2m4f110y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Hesasmoothoperator Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	164	—	P-0P73	91	98	89	21d	—	—	-4	16	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Comes into the reckoning now following third over 2m4f at Punchestown three weeks ago
15	Papa Barns Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Tom Dreaper	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Tom Dreaper	153	—	8-7203	80	101	74	24d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fourth in a heat of this race last year, each-way chance on the best of this year's form
5	U Asking Me Bay J:Hugh Morgan T:Eoin Doyle	J:Hugh Morgan T:Eoin Doyle	163	—	P00812	90	95	74	24d	—	—	+12	26	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Beat Hatfield Hammer at Clonmel, underlined progress with second here last time, respected
1	Blue Reed Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Cian Collins	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Cian Collins	168	—	-5F896	95	90	64	33d	—	—	+4	13.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Second in heavy-ground maiden hurdle at Clonmel last autumn; no worthwhile form since
6	Hatfield Hammer Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Paul Nolan	J:Richard Deegan T:Paul Nolan	162	p	062P52	89	96	80	33d	—	—	+9	18.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Definite chance based on second to U Asking Me at Clonmel, 7lb better off now
2	Nicholas Street Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:E Bolger	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:E Bolger	166	h	06-660	94	92	53	30d	—	—	+6	13.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Poor run at Killarney a month ago, early days still and might be transformed by a hood
9	Spanish John Chestnut J:Harry Sexton(7) T:P A Fahy	J:Harry Sexton(7) T:P A Fahy	161	t	9P59-9	88	86	47	—	—	—	+4	11.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fit form Flat run, trainer and rider shared a long-priced win at Down Royal on Saturday
8	One And Only Brown J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	161	tp	707-24	88	91	-	165d	—	—	+4	11.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Weak hurdles form; showed potential over fences in a Downpatrick handicap in May
10	Sydney Cruiser Bay J:Alex Harvey(5) T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:Ciaran Murphy	161	—	663240	88	97	88	33d	—	—	+8	14.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Disappointing favourite for Clonmel race won by U Asking Me, in good form before that
13	Ardfert Mary Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:John Patrick Ryan	153	—	3784P6	80	103	80	24d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed once, appears held by runner-up U Asking Me on running at this venue last month
11	Tommies Call Bay J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Jarlath P Fahey	161	—	60-070	88	74	65	67d	—	—	+6	10.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Made a fine debut in a valuable bumper at this venue, nothing remotely comparable since
7	Jim's Cracker Grey J:Mikey Hamill T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Mikey Hamill T:Dermot A McLoughlin	161	—	0750	89	89	69	36d	—	—	+6	11.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Big price when finishing down the field on handicap debut at Roscommon in September
12	Bella Be Good b/br J:Philip Byrnes T:Edward Cawley	J:Philip Byrnes T:Edward Cawley	157	—	-0263P	84	96	78	24d	—	—	+8	11.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Reported to have burst a blood vessel here last time, some fair placed form to her credit
14	Mythical Times Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Paul Stafford	J:Simon Torrens T:Paul Stafford	153	p	5PP9U-	80	94	70	—	—	—	+6	8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has struggled over jumps, has changed stable and new trainer tries cheekpieces, no appeal
16	Western Doyen Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:V T O'Brien	J:G B Noonan(5) T:V T O'Brien	153	—	57462/	80	91	-	808d	—	—	+11	13.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Absent since second at Killarney in August 2022, trainer has fine record with veterans
NR	Glentruan Bay J:Conor McNamara T:Michael Flannery	J:Conor McNamara T:Michael Flannery	165	tb	047050	92	93	64	31d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Dual winner over hurdles in 2021, best run for this yard came in a chase at Listowel
R17	Thats All Bay J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Timothy Doyle	163	t	347508	90	81	68	33d	—	—	—	10	—	—
First reserve, placed three times in bumpers, modest maiden hurdle form, may do better now
NR	Barney Van Winkle Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:John G Carr	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:John G Carr	156	t	00/008	83	88	55	20d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
Second reserve, lightly raced for a horse of his age, nothing to suggest he can feature
NR	Petit Dejeuner Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Sean Flanagan T:Mrs Denise Foster	163	b	000-00	90	96	35	17d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Third reserve, badly out of form since Limerick win last November, blinkers tried now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hesasmoothoperator	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Papa Barns	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
U Asking Me	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Blue Reed	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Hatfield Hammer	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Nicholas Street	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Spanish John	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
One And Only	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Sydney Cruiser	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ardfert Mary	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tommies Call	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Jim's Cracker	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1	16/1
Bella Be Good	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Mythical Times	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Western Doyen	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	33/1
Glentruan	-	-	-	-	-
Barney Van Winkle	-	-	-	-	-
Petit Dejeuner	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

U Asking Me

OR: 10 Form: 12 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Hatfield Hammer

18.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 5.8 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Hesasmoothoperator

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Sydney Cruiser

14.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Blue Reed

13.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Nicholas Street

13.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Western Doyen

13.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Spanish John

11.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

One And Only

11.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Bella Be Good

11.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

22/1

Papa Barns

11.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Jim's Cracker

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Tommies Call

10.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Glentruan

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Thats All

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Petit Dejeuner

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ardfert Mary

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Barney Van Winkle

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mythical Times

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Reed	95	90	64
Nicholas Street	94	92	53
Glentruan	92	93	64
Hesasmoothoperator	91	98	89
U Asking Me	90	95	74
Thats All	90	81	68
Petit Dejeuner	90	96	35
Hatfield Hammer	89	96	80
Jim's Cracker	89	89	69
Spanish John	88	86	47
One And Only	88	91	—
Sydney Cruiser	88	97	88
Tommies Call	88	74	65
Bella Be Good	84	96	78
Barney Van Winkle	83	88	55
Papa Barns	80	101	74
Ardfert Mary	80	103	80
Mythical Times	80	94	70
Western Doyen	80	91	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Petit Dejeuner	17d ago	Fit
Barney Van Winkle	20d ago	Fit
Hesasmoothoperator	21d ago	Fit
Papa Barns	24d ago	Fit
U Asking Me	24d ago	Fit
Ardfert Mary	24d ago	Fit
Bella Be Good	24d ago	Fit
Nicholas Street	30d ago	Fit
Glentruan	31d ago	Fit
Blue Reed	33d ago	Fit
Hatfield Hammer	33d ago	Fit
Sydney Cruiser	33d ago	Fit
Thats All	33d ago	Fit
Jim's Cracker	36d ago	Fit
Tommies Call	67d ago	Fresh
One And Only	165d ago	Long break
Western Doyen	808d ago	Long break
Spanish John	—	—
Mythical Times	—	—