Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

6:00

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2024-11-05

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (5)	Tasever b J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	133	p	788362	50	69	59	8d	—	—	-9	13.2	11/4 27%
0-23 but only beaten a head over C&D last time; solid chance if backing that up
5 (11)	Mr Heinz b J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	131	b	761302	48	66	45	21d	—	—	-4	15.2	7/2 22%
Dual C&D winner and runner-up to Wheres The Crumpet last time; may reverse the form
4 (3)	Bobby Dassler b J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	132	h	-68033	49	64	55	10d	—	—	-3	8.4	6/1 14%
1-26, but has run well to finish third the last twice; each-way claims again
1 (7)	Wheres The Crumpet ch J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Thompson	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Thompson	135	p	655401	52	63	55	21d	—	—	+4	12.9	9/1 10%
Had three of these behind when winning over C&D three weeks ago; should go well again
7 (12)	Elettaria b J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	130	p	337335	47	62	53	12d	—	—	-3	6.9	9/1 10%
3lb below last winning mark and didn't enjoy a clear run last time; unexposed over 1m
9 (6)	True Nation br J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	129	—	586912	46	51	30	22d	—	—	+7	14.1	12/1 8%
Running well on turf lately, but is rated 7lb lower on the AW for a reason
12 (10)	Nasneen ch J:Rob Hornby T:Ian Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Ian Williams	128	p	666354	47	62	38	—	—	—	-4	3.4	12/1 8%
One piece of form this year, but modest otherwise and 0-12 under rules; cheekpieces on
2 (8)	Pop Favorite b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	134	—	745516	51	67	48	8d	—	—	+4	8.6	16/1 6%
Gained his sixth C&D success last month; could figure if getting a good pace to aim at
6 (2)	Hawajes b J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	131	p	761370	48	64	42	12d	—	—	+2	5.6	25/1 4%
Two modest efforts since returning to Tapeta in September,; cheekpieces on
8 (4)	Tathmeen b J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	p	856487	46	65	54	4d	—	—	-3	1	28/1 3%
Eight course wins over 5f/6f, but attempts this far for the first time on his 132nd outing
10 (1)	Cailin Saoirse b J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	129	p	-99983	46	61	50	67d	—	—	0	4	28/1 3%
Much better effort last time, but has stamina to prove; cheekpieces on
11 (9)	Our Noble Lord ch J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	129	h	9-7388	46	61	15	21d	—	—	-2	0.8	40/1 2%
0-10 and hasn't beaten many in five goes on AW; hood needs to make a dramatic difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tasever	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2
Mr Heinz	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Bobby Dassler	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Wheres The Crumpet	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Elettaria	8/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
True Nation	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Nasneen	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Pop Favorite	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Hawajes	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Tathmeen	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	22/1
Cailin Saoirse	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	20/1
Our Noble Lord	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mr Heinz

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

True Nation

14.1

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Tasever

13.2

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Wheres The Crumpet

12.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Pop Favorite

8.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Bobby Dassler

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Elettaria

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 4.2 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Hawajes

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Cailin Saoirse

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1

28/1

Nasneen

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Tathmeen

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Our Noble Lord

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wheres The Crumpet Top Rated	52	63	55
Pop Favorite	51	67	48
Tasever	50	69	59
Bobby Dassler	49	64	55
Mr Heinz	48	66	45
Hawajes	48	64	42
Elettaria	47	62	53
Nasneen	47	62	38
True Nation	46	51	30
Tathmeen	46	65	54
Cailin Saoirse	46	61	50
Our Noble Lord	46	61	15

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tathmeen	4d ago	Quick return
Tasever	8d ago	Quick return
Pop Favorite	8d ago	Quick return
Bobby Dassler	10d ago	Quick return
Elettaria	12d ago	Quick return
Hawajes	12d ago	Quick return
Mr Heinz	21d ago	Fit
Wheres The Crumpet	21d ago	Fit
Our Noble Lord	21d ago	Fit
True Nation	22d ago	Fit
Cailin Saoirse	67d ago	Fresh
Nasneen	—	—