Watch On Racing TV Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

15:10

Watch On Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-11-06

Distance 1m4f104y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Savrola Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	137	—	466454	67	81	68	27d	—	—	-14	12.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Hasn't convinced on the stamina front; handicapper's giving him every chance
1 (7)	Spanish Hustle Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Goldie	140	—	521535	70	75	69	44d	—	—	-3	16.8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Two autumn wins in earlier seasons; has had a consistent campaign and continues in form
6 (5)	Rory The Cat Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	128	tb	661625	58	76	62	23d	—	—	-3	12.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Goes well here; little margin for error off this mark, especially over this shorter trip
5 (3)	Tilsitt Bay J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	131	tp	402883	61	77	69	27d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stays this far and remains capable at this level but the losing run is up to 30 now
3 (6)	Spartan Warrior Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Clifford Lee T:Rebecca Menzies	136	p	-76115	71	74	69	124d	—	—	+8	20.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Picked up from Ollie Sangster for 37,000gns in July; needs a bit more for his new yard
7 (1)	Arch Legend Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	127	—	118564	62	70	65	78d	—	—	0	6.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Tailed off at a short price latest on his first run since being gelded; has it to prove
4 (8)	Stand Strong Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	135	tb	2/9785	65	72	62	19d	—	—	+4	8.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has rather struggled off a sliding mark since returning and is now given a go in headgear
8 (4)	Bulls Aye Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	121	—	727688	51	80	74	23d	—	—	0	1.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Odds-on to blow the start and there are risks involved from 2lb out of the handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Savrola	9/4	11/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Spanish Hustle	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1
Rory The Cat	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Tilsitt	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
Spartan Warrior	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Arch Legend	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Stand Strong	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Bulls Aye	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spartan Warrior

20.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 12 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Spanish Hustle

16.8

OR: 5 Form: 6.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Rory The Cat

12.9

OR: 2 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Savrola

12.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Tilsitt

10.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Stand Strong

8.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Arch Legend

6.7

OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Bulls Aye

1.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spartan Warrior	71	74	69
Spanish Hustle	70	75	69
Savrola	67	81	68
Stand Strong	65	72	62
Arch Legend	62	70	65
Tilsitt	61	77	69
Rory The Cat	58	76	62
Bulls Aye	51	80	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stand Strong	19d ago	Fit
Rory The Cat	23d ago	Fit
Bulls Aye	23d ago	Fit
Savrola	27d ago	Fit
Tilsitt	27d ago	Fit
Spanish Hustle	44d ago	Fit
Arch Legend	78d ago	Fresh
Spartan Warrior	124d ago	Long break