William Hill Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle – Kelso

Kelso

12:07

William Hill Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-11-09

Distance 2m4f189y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,922

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Luckie Seven Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	160	—	212/11	115	129	110	61d	—	—	-6	26.3	0.50/1	2/1 33%
2-2 over hurdles and he's open to more progress on handicap debut; big player
8	Forged Well Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Martin Todhunter	J:Sean Quinlan T:Martin Todhunter	152	—	3P26-3	107	125	104	16d	—	—	0	24.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Placed at Carlisle on his return and he still has potential; dangerous back up in trip
2	Bois Guillbert Chestnut J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	162	—	3644-3	117	129	113	45d	—	—	+8	24.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3-9 over hurdles and was good third when upped to 2m4f at Perth in September; respected
6	Harper Valley Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	157	v	130-53	112	124	118	20d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
His progress has stalled and he needs to find more in new headgear
9	The Navigator Grey J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Dianne Sayer	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Dianne Sayer	149	—	0-1911	104	125	118	20d	—	—	+9	15.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Resurgent 9yo who has won over C&D and at Sedgefield last twice; shortlisted
5	Romeo Brown Brown J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	158	—	55PP-7	113	125	98	16d	—	—	+12	17.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
On reduced mark but last win was almost two years ago and others are more convincing
1	Clear White Light Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	168	t	/145-P	123	126	100	—	—	—	+17	18.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Out of sorts on the Flat in last three runs and needs a major revival back over hurdles
3	Velasco Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Susan Corbett	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Susan Corbett	160	tp	1P1-4S	115	122	46	9d	—	—	+15	16.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Four hurdle wins but he probably needs more progress in this sphere to defy this mark
NR	I Am Max Chestnut J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	157	—	11-3F	112	122	114	24d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Fell over fences on his return but he's still unexposed and is respected back hurdles

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Luckie Seven	6/4	2/1	15/8	15/8	2/1
Forged Well	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4
Bois Guillbert	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Harper Valley	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
The Navigator	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Romeo Brown	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Clear White Light	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Velasco	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
I Am Max	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Luckie Seven

26.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10

2/1

2nd

Bois Guillbert

24.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Forged Well

24.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Clear White Light

18.7

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Harper Valley

18.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Romeo Brown

17.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Velasco

16.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

I Am Max

15.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

The Navigator

15.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Clear White Light	123	126	100
Bois Guillbert	117	129	113
Luckie Seven	115	129	110
Velasco	115	122	46
Romeo Brown	113	125	98
Harper Valley	112	124	118
I Am Max	112	122	114
Forged Well	107	125	104
The Navigator	104	125	118

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Velasco	9d ago	Quick return
Forged Well	16d ago	Fit
Romeo Brown	16d ago	Fit
Harper Valley	20d ago	Fit
The Navigator	20d ago	Fit
I Am Max	24d ago	Fit
Bois Guillbert	45d ago	Fit
Luckie Seven	61d ago	Fresh
Clear White Light	—	—