BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:40

BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £28,355

Winning Time 1m 37.00s (slow by 2.10s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Doom (GB) Rossa Ryan · William Haggas	5/2F	Won
2nd	Improvista (GB) Sean Levey · Mrs John Harrington	33/1	2.25
3rd	Back See Daa (GB) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	14/1	0.3
4th	Rose Prick (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ed Walker	11/1	0.3
5th	Sacred Angel (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	6/1	.75
6th	American Arrow (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	7/1	1.5
7th	Marcella (GER) David Probert · Andrew Balding	20/1	0.3
8th	Ornellaia (GB) David Egan · Ralph Beckett	4/1	.75
9th	Julia Augusta (GB) Jason Watson · David O'Meara	12/1	1
10th	Iken (FR) Alexis Pouchin · Mme J Soudan	9/1	2.75
11th	Sattwaa (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	80/1	3.75
12th	Cell Sa Beela (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	33/1	3.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Doom Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:William Haggas	J:Rossa Ryan T:William Haggas	128	t	-33296	101	116	-	59d	—	—	+1	23.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Successful in last Listed attempt and also warrants respect on the pick of her Group form
11 (6)	Sacred Angel Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	1143-0	105	114	-	192d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Very useful last term; absent since well held in 1,000 Guineas; leading chance on ratings
10 (10)	Ornellaia Grey J:David Egan T:Ralph Beckett	J:David Egan T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	3123-8	101	110	-	39d	—	—	+2	17.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Blew the start on belated reappearance; major player granted a clean break
4 (4)	Iken Bay J:Alexis Pouchin T:Mme J Soudan	J:Alexis Pouchin T:Mme J Soudan	128	—	103113	99	114	-	40d	—	—	+21	31	1.88/1	15/2 12%
French mare who ran well in Listed event at Saint-Cloud most recently; better than ever
6 (8)	Rose Prick Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	128	—	7-3255	94	110	59	24d	—	—	+5	13.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Consistent this term but still not added to 2yo win and has something to find
7 (11)	American Arrow Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	126	—	185	92	105	-	39d	—	—	+10	17.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Thrice-raced filly who needs improvement switched to AW
9 (3)	Marcella Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	126	h	590618	92	108	-	31d	—	—	+13	19.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Raced too freely last time; even if she settles better, this is a tough assignment
5 (9)	Julia Augusta Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	128	—	446857	99	114	62	95d	—	—	+7	14.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has some useful form and ties in with Doom on Royal Ascot running; possibilities
1 (12)	Back See Daa Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	-07206	89	108	-	61d	—	—	+9	13.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Fairly useful on her day but faces a stiff assignment back up in class
8 (2)	Improvista Bay J:Sean Levey T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Sean Levey T:Mrs John Harrington	126	tp	-39147	89	105	-	31d	—	—	+13	16.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Irish raider who isn't entirely solid on form; best form effort may flatter her
2 (1)	Cell Sa Beela Brown J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	31-900	90	108	-	59d	—	—	+7	11	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won in this grade on final 2023 start; not in the same form this season
12 (5)	Sattwaa Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	126	—	2-1260	90	106	54	145d	—	—	+12	14	16.50/1	66/1 1%
The only C&D winner in the field and has progressive AW form; could go well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Doom	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2
Sacred Angel	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Ornellaia	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Iken	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Rose Prick	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
American Arrow	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
Marcella	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Julia Augusta	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	10/1
Back See Daa	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Improvista	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	28/1
Cell Sa Beela	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Sattwaa	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Iken

OR: 12.3 Form: 15.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Doom

23.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 4 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Marcella

19.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

American Arrow

17.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sacred Angel

17.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Ornellaia

17.2

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Improvista

16.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1

28/1

Julia Augusta

14.2

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Sattwaa

OR: 10 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Rose Prick

13.5

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Back See Daa

13.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Cell Sa Beela

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sacred Angel	105	114	—
Doom	101	116	—
Ornellaia	101	110	—
Iken	99	114	—
Julia Augusta	99	114	62
Rose Prick	94	110	59
American Arrow	92	105	—
Marcella	92	108	—
Cell Sa Beela	90	108	—
Sattwaa	90	106	54
Back See Daa	89	108	—
Improvista	89	105	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rose Prick	24d ago	Fit
Marcella	31d ago	Fit
Improvista	31d ago	Fit
Ornellaia	39d ago	Fit
American Arrow	39d ago	Fit
Iken	40d ago	Fit
Doom	59d ago	Fresh
Cell Sa Beela	59d ago	Fresh
Back See Daa	61d ago	Fresh
Julia Augusta	95d ago	Long break
Sattwaa	145d ago	Long break
Sacred Angel	192d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.