BetMGM: It's Showtime / EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Lingfield (AW)

12:35

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 38.35s (slow by 3.45s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Present Times (GB) James Doyle · Charlie Appleby	5/6F	Won
2nd	Venezuelan (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	14/1	1.75
3rd	Sourdough (GB) Clifford Lee · Hughie Morrison	14/1	.75
4th	Due West (FR) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	7/1	.5
5th	Best Rate (GB) Jamie Spencer · Richard Hannon	16/1	1.25
6th	Circus Of Rome (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	33/1	0.3
7th	Al Shababi (GB) Jason Watson · Owen Burrows	11/4	.75
8th	Justenzia (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	150/1	.75
9th	Harryella (GB) David Egan · James Fanshawe	150/1	22
10th	Soul Dance (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	40/1	3.25
11th	Blackbrook (GB) Ethan Jones · Jim Boyle	300/1	2.5
12th	Yellow Card (GB) Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	80/1	1.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (12)	Present Times Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	23	-	93	-	21d	—	—	-21	19.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Short-priced failure on soft ground last time; has potential but needs to settle better
1 (9)	Al Shababi Bay J:Jason Watson T:Owen Burrows	J:Jason Watson T:Owen Burrows	133	—	2	-	88	77	28d	—	—	-12	12.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Pleasing debut for a yard that's 5-17 with 2yos this season; high on the shortlist
5 (4)	Due West Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	—	6	-	79	-	21d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
150,000euros yearling who should improve now he's had a run and goes up in trip
9 (6)	Venezuelan Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	8	-	79	34	33d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Better was expected on his Kempton debut a month ago; will need a good step forward
8 (5)	Sourdough Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	133	—	56	-	77	-	21d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Again well held last time and this easier 1m on a faster surface may not be ideal
2 (10)	Best Rate Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	133	—	3	-	80	67	35d	—	—	-1	4.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Easy to back ahead of his 7f Kempton debut five weeks ago when coming home nicely
4 (7)	Circus Of Rome Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Went for 15,000euros as a yearling; may be one for handicaps over further next year
12 (1)	Soul Dance Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Trainer shows a profit with 2yos here down the years; market will guide
10 (3)	Yellow Card Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Half-brother to four winners at up to 1m out of mare who improved with time; market useful
6 (8)	Harryella Bay J:David Egan T:James Fanshawe	J:David Egan T:James Fanshawe	133	h	70	-	52	35	69d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Goes in a first-time hood having been gelded and may find life easier once handicapping
11 (11)	Justenzia Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	67	-	75	51	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
One to keep an eye on but maybe in handicaps, with Best Rate arguably her yard's best shot
3 (2)	Blackbrook Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Jim Boyle	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Jim Boyle	133	h	—	-	39	-	19d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
200-1, ran as the market suggested he might when a remote last on debut (6.5f, heavy)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Present Times	6/5	5/4	6/5	6/5	6/4
Al Shababi	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	9/4
Due West	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1
Venezuelan	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1
Sourdough	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Best Rate	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Circus Of Rome	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Soul Dance	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Yellow Card	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Harryella	80/1	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1
Justenzia	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Blackbrook	250/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Present Times

19.8

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 13.3

6/4

2nd

Al Shababi

12.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Best Rate

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Due West

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Venezuelan

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Sourdough

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Circus Of Rome

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Soul Dance

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Yellow Card

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Harryella

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Justenzia

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Blackbrook

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Present Times	—	93	—
Al Shababi	—	88	77
Due West	—	79	—
Venezuelan	—	79	34
Sourdough	—	77	—
Best Rate	—	80	67
Circus Of Rome	—	—	—
Soul Dance	—	—	—
Yellow Card	—	—	—
Harryella	—	52	35
Justenzia	—	75	51
Blackbrook	—	39	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Justenzia	14d ago	Fit
Blackbrook	19d ago	Fit
Present Times	21d ago	Fit
Due West	21d ago	Fit
Sourdough	21d ago	Fit
Al Shababi	28d ago	Fit
Venezuelan	33d ago	Fit
Best Rate	35d ago	Fit
Harryella	69d ago	Fresh
Circus Of Rome	—	—
Soul Dance	—	—
Yellow Card	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.